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Old 05-14-2008, 12:11 PM   #1 (permalink)
AgainstAllOdds
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Default How do you determine the probability of a team getting swept?

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Old 05-14-2008, 01:15 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Prob of Losing Game 1 * Prob Los Gam2 * P(LG3) * P(LG4)

Last edited by durito : 05-14-2008 at 01:19 PM.
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Old 05-15-2008, 12:27 PM   #3 (permalink)
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If you wanna nerd out harder, there's likely some fat tailed distributions due to a team significantly missing its median expectation due to injury or just incorrect assessments of true talent level etc. But I don't think I've ever seen anything where this was more than a fun theoretical exercise to mentally masturbate over.
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Old 05-15-2008, 06:31 PM   #4 (permalink)
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You have to set a line on each game then do as durito said.
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