SBRForum - Sports Handicapping and Betting Picks

Biggest bet of the playoffs: Spurs +5.5 and ML +205

nj1035 — Sat, 25 May 2013 19:01:03 GMT

I know the natural inclination is to like Memphis @ home down 2-0 in this situation, but let's take a deeper look at the facts.

1.) The Spurs are simply the better team. This isn't really all that debatable. Memphis is a solid team, but they are the beneficiaries of some injuries to key players during their playoff run (CP3 and Westbrook). This isn't their fault and they certainly shouldn't apologize for it, but the facts are the facts. There is a reason they were the 5th seed coming into the playoffs. They just don't have the firepower on offense to keep up with the Spurs on a consistent basis. Pop is taking Randolph out of the game and forcing the other players to beat him. They won't.

2.) The 3 day layoff between games. The obvious beneficiary is the Spurs. They are old men and need their rest. They should come out fresh, energized, and healthy for this game.

3.) Last year's WCF actually helps the Spurs. Everyone is jibber jabbering about how the Spurs collapsed last year after being up 2-0. They are also talking about how Memphis has already come back down 2-0 and 1-0 this year. Who do you think benefits from this? The Spurs. You think they aren't listening? Do you think they won't be taking this game seriously? I think they come out smelling blood, knowing a victory here virtually ends this series. The importance of this game is certainly not lost on this veteran team. Let's take a look at their previous game 3's during these playoffs:

@ LAL Game 3 - After winning at home by 12 and 11, respectively, the Spurs come out and put an absolute drubbing on the Lakers by 31. Worst home defeat in Lakers playoff history.
@ GS Game 3 - With the series tied 1-1 (and almost 0-2 if not for a miracle comeback), the Spurs stroll into Oracle Arena (and the almighty 100+ decibel level), and take back control of the series behind a great performance from Parker.

It's a small sample size, but I think it's pretty obvious the Spurs understand the importance of winning the first road game in a series.

4.) Value Value Value. +5.5 and ML +205?? Crazy. It's not often you see public perception this far off from reality. I see the Spurs winning this game about 60% of the time, but the line reads the Grizzlies win 66% of the time. Again, this simply does not happen often and I just wanted to share with you guys my insights on this game. I'm certainly not one to guarantee a victory or call this a "lock" - anything can happen and I've been wrong many times before. But I have a great feeling about this one.

Where can I watch Champions League Final free on Computer???

Boxing Champ — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:57:27 GMT

Can someone help please..

Firstrow and sportlemon keep freezing up..
Any other sites???
Thanks

IC 5/25/13 All Plays

Raiderguy101 — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:28:42 GMT

Take Tulsa Shock +8.5 over Atlanta (Saturday @ 7:05pm est).

#510. Take Memphis Grizzlies -5 over San Antonio (Saturday @ 9:05pm est)

#53. Take Over 5 Goals (+130) New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins (Saturday @ 5:35pm est).

#905. Take Pittsburgh Pirates +115 over Milwaukee Brewers (Saturday @ 4:10pm est).

Picks from Mexico 25-may-2013 :)

Artieaa — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:24:20 GMT

Record 14-24
Units : +1.98

Round robin for today and few notes:

Yes Brewers own Pirates but not today IMO, Locke vs a subpar relief pitcher.
King Felix vs Holland : Holland 7-2 vs Seattle, King 12-17 vs Texas, I�ll take a shot.
Phillies at Nats: Phillies playing better , Nats overvaluated.

Pirates/Phillies +371
Pirates/Texas +330
Phillies/Texas +383

GLTA!!!!

Are we a nation of godless heathens?

pronk — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:23:37 GMT

:+clueless

Lebron James grew up with nothing, haters watch and learn.

JOHON8 — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:23:31 GMT

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCK1SoFgaMo

MMA Professor Picks 5/25

sasij — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:11:10 GMT

Glover Texiera (-290) over James te Huna. The well rounded Texiera easily overmatches Te Huna

Gray Maynard (-190) over TJ Grant. Maynard will be able to utilize his superior takedowns to take the fight to the ground & rack up ground and pound points

Unloading on the sharks tonight at +135 : Nominated Post

pavyracer — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:01:41 GMT

Originally posted on 05/24/2013:

How many times can a real gambler unload on a play before he goes bust? This clown unloads 5 times a week and loses 4.

Champions League Final In-Game Thread: Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund

Seaweed — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:01:29 GMT

:popcorn: Predictions?

Champions League Final In-Game Thread: Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund

Seaweed — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:01:29 GMT

:popcorn: Predictions?

Memphis Grizzlies -5 Tonight

amrit — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:00:51 GMT

I think Randolph has a monster game tonight at home and the Grizz win by 10+. What are your thoughts on this play?

Did anybody else get fukked by RA Dickey today???

Big Bear — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:00:24 GMT

Talk about a gas can geez!

Mets were smart to kick him to the curb

Did anybody else get fukked by RA Dickey today???

Big Bear — Sat, 25 May 2013 18:00:24 GMT

Talk about a gas can geez!

Mets were smart to kick him to the curb

SBR I got a deal for you. Shari check in. : Nominated Post

leetreaper — Sat, 25 May 2013 17:59:17 GMT

Originally posted on 05/25/2013:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carseller4

I want to make things right (and more importantly get my points back). :shades: Obviously joking (shame I have to point that out, but you never know what some people consider a joke) ie SBR Bankruptcy.....

Here is my deal.

Turn my points back on and I will send Shari 2 points a day (minimum) until I reach 418.

Enough to purchase....

$30 St. Judes donation
418 points

I just want things settled, and help out some needy kids at the same time.

It's the least I can do.

Lets do this ASAP, the kids are waiting! :grrr:

:+signs3-1

In Vegas and this is how it began.. : Nominated Post

The Kraken — Sat, 25 May 2013 17:50:35 GMT

Originally posted on 05/25/2013:

Go to an ER, get some pain meds and muscle relaxants. Get your girl to pop a few and she'll lose inhibitions and let you stick it in her ass.

Happy BDAY Riff Raff

Unloading on the sharks tonight at +135 : Nominated Post

I/O — Sat, 25 May 2013 17:48:40 GMT

Originally posted on 05/24/2013:

Quote:

Originally Posted by JR007

Schadenfreude..".delight over someone's misfortune".

That is one of my FAVORITE words!!

Wager details for ticket number *****924-1:

Wager Type: Spread (or run line)
Wager Status:Win
Risk / To Win Amount:: 100 / 199 (USD )
Accepted 5/23/2013 7:44:10 PM - PST
Amount Paid: 299

Item #1 Hockey NHL 5/23/2013
10:35:01 PM
Los Angeles Kings

Spread -1�+199 for Game
* Game Notes:
Game 5 LA/SJ series tied 2-2

Champions league final! Dortmund vs bayern : Nominated Post

Kraghen — Sat, 25 May 2013 17:43:09 GMT

Originally posted on 05/25/2013:

If Dortmund win 15% of bettors will be rich...