[mrmarket]

Post interesting World Series of Poker (WSOP) props here for discussion:

Bodog Lines found here: http://sports.bodog.ca/sports-betting/poker.jsp

1) 2010 WSOP - Which of the following players will last longest in the 2010 WSOP Main Event (Event #57)?
At least 1 player must cash for wager to have action.
Allen Kessler +300

2) 2010 WSOP - Which of the following players from the 2009 WSOP Main Event Final Table will last longest in the 2010 WSOP Main Event (Event #57)?
James Akenhead 5/1

3) 2010 WSOP - Will Phil Ivey cash in the 2010 WSOP Main Event (Event #57)?
No -400

4)2010 WSOP - Will Daniel Negreanu cash in the 2010 WSOP Main Event (Event #57)?
No -500

5)2010 WSOP - Will a woman make the final table of the 2010 WSOP Main Event (Event #57)?
No -1000

2010 WSOP - Will a member of Team Bodog (Evelyn Ng and Amanda Musumeci) cash in the Main Event (Event #57) of the 2010 WSOP in Las Vegas?
No -400

Last bet has probably has highest EV.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Highest EV is the no woman to make final table bet.

Negreanu has been playing well wouldn't be surprised if he cashed. I would take a stab at Dwan too. He is desperate.

[Jrod124]

Easiest 1000 ever if u have 10K to spare on that Women not to make the final. It won't happen

[mrmarket]

Highest EV is the no woman to make final table bet.

Negreanu has been playing well wouldn't be surprised if he cashed. I would take a stab at Dwan too. He is desperate.

When laying -1000 you won't be getting the highest EV of the bets listed but it is positive nonetheless IMO. Desperation really has little to do with performance in these large field tournaments as luck plays such a huge role.

[mrmarket]

jessie maupin and josh arieh have been playing well. might be worth a stab.

kessler is very good. anyone that looks like a cast member from revenge of the nerds is bettable.

Out of all the people listed for the first bet he has the lowest chance of winning the tournament. His play style maximizes the chance he will outlast the people listed in the bet before busing out with something like <3 BB.

[andywend]

2010 WSOP - Will a member of Team Bodog (Evelyn Ng and Amanda Musumeci) cash in the Main Event (Event #57) of the 2010 WSOP in Las Vegas?
No -400

Last bet has probably has highest EV.

I disagree as both of those women are good players. Assuming nothing changes and 1 in 10 still cash, then the above bet has no value whatsoever.

Highest EV is the no woman to make final table bet.

You have to be nuts to lay -1000 on no woman making the final table.

If you're handicapping this wager by thinking that only one woman has made the final table in the 40 years of WSOP, then you're neglecting to understand that the percentage of women competing is much higher now than it was in earlier years.

[mrmarket]

I disagree as both of those women are good players. Assuming nothing changes and 1 in 10 still cash, then the above bet has no value whatsoever.

I'll take the bet with you if you would like. State terms and hopefully we can come to an agreement.

[andywend]

Since 1 in 10 cash and you get 2 players and 4-1 odds, the price seems very close to accurate.

If you're willing to offer better than 4-1, I would take the bet and we can wager SBR points.

[mrmarket]

I'll lay the original terms in post #1 but no more.

[andywend]

Since I believe the NO at -400 is an accurate line, taking the YES doesn't offer any real value (taking the NO doesn't offer any value either).

I understand why you don't want to lay any more than that because then you'd be taking the worst of it.

You pretty much proved my point though.

[ufcmma36]

some dude from new york won right.... Some tall skinny dude.forgot his name. Was there till 3in the morning waiting(bicycle casino)