[JOHON8]

Well they just announced the nominees a few minutes ago... we should put up a full list with our predictions soon and start talking. Not too many surprises if you have been following movies this year.

things to note:
-10 nominees for best picture this year, in order to draw ratings. But we all know it's between The hurt locker and Avatar.
-obvious choices: Christoph Waltz, Jeff Bridges for supporting and best actor.
-foreign language film between A Prophet and The White Ribbon (the white ribbon winning almost every other award before this Oscars)

[beefcake]

take bigelow to win best director,she will be +100 or better and with a DGA award in her pocket to boot.Only 6 times since 1948 has someone who won a DGA failed to win best director...strongest play out there.

[JOHON8]

Here's the list...:
(I left a couple categories like Sound editing and make-up out, only predicting one's I'm pretty sure of) Also mind the linked words, I got the list form Eberts site.

Best Picture
"Avatar"
"The Blind Side"
"District 9"
"An Education"
"The Hurt Locker"
"Inglourious Basterds"
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push' by Sapphire"
"A Serious Man"
"Up"
"Up in the Air"

Best Direction
"Avatar," James Cameron
"The Hurt Locker," Kathryn Bigelow
"Inglourious Basterds," Quentin Tarantino
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push' by Sapphire," Lee Daniels
"Up in the Air," Jason Reitman

Actor in a Leading Role
Jeff Bridges, "Crazy Heart”
George Clooney, "Up in the Air”
Colin Firth, "A Single Man”
Morgan Freeman, "Invictus”
Jeremy Renner, "The Hurt Locker”

Actress in a Leading Role
Sandra Bullock, "The Blind Side”
Helen Mirren, "The Last Station”
Carey Mulligan, "An Education”
Gabourey Sidibe, "Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push' by Sapphire”
Meryl Streep, "Julie & Julia”

Actor in a Supporting Role
Matt Damon, "Invictus”
Woody Harrelson, "The Messenger”
Christopher Plummer, "The Last Station”
Stanley Tucci, "The Lovely Bones”
Christoph Waltz, "Inglourious Basterds”

Actress in a Supporting Role
Penelope Cruz, "Nine”
Vera Farmiga, "Up in the Air”
Maggie Gyllenhaal, "Crazy Heart”
Anna Kendrick, "Up in the Air”
Mo'Nique, "Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push' by Sapphire”

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
"District 9," Written by Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell
"An Education," Screenplay by Nick Hornby
"In the Loop," Screenplay by Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push' by Sapphire," Screenplay by Geoffrey Fletcher
"Up in the Air," Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner

Writing (Original Screenplay)
"The Hurt Locker," Written by Mark Boal
"Inglourious Basterds” Written by Quentin Tarantino
"The Messenger," Written by Alessandro Camon & Oren Moverman
"A Serious Man," Written by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
"Up," Screenplay by Bob Peterson, Pete Docter, Story by Pete Docter, Bob Peterson, Tom McCarthy

Animated Feature Film
"Coraline"
"Fantastic Mr. Fox"
"The Princess and the Frog"
"The Secret of Kells"
"Up"

Art Direction
"Avatar," Art Direction: Rick Carter and Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Kim Sinclair
"The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus," Art Direction: Dave Warren and Anastasia Masaro; Set Decoration: Caroline Smith
"Nine," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gordon Sim
"Sherlock Holmes," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
"The Young Victoria," Art Direction: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Maggie Gray

Cinematography
"Avatar," Mauro Fiore
"Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince," Bruno Delbonnel
"The Hurt Locker," Barry Ackroyd
"Inglourious Basterds," Robert Richardson
"The White Ribbon," Christian Berger

Costume Design
"Bright Star," Janet Patterson
"Coco Before Chanel," Catherine Leterrier
"The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus," Monique Prudhomme
"Nine," Colleen Atwood
"The Young Victoria," Sandy Powell

Documentary (Feature)
"Burma VJ”
"The Cove"
"Food, Inc."
"The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers”
"Which Way Home”

Film Editing
"Avatar," Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua and James Cameron
"District 9," Julian Clarke
"The Hurt Locker," Bob Murawski and Chris Innis
"Inglourious Basterds," Sally Menke
"Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push' by Sapphire," Joe Klotz

Foreign Language Film
"Ajami," Israel
"El Secreto de Sus Ojos," Argentina
"The Milk of Sorrow," Peru
"Un Prophète," France
"The White Ribbon," Germany

Music (Original Score)
"Avatar," James Horner
"Fantastic Mr. Fox," Alexandre Desplat
"The Hurt Locker," Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders
"Sherlock Holmes," Hans Zimmer
"Up," Michael Giacchino

Music (Original Song)
"Almost There” from "The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
"Down in New Orleans” from "The Princess and the Frog” Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
"Loin de Paname” from "Paris 36” Music by Reinhardt Wagner Lyric by Frank Thomas
"Take It All” from "Nine” Music and Lyric by Maury Yeston
"The Weary Kind (Theme from Crazy Heart)” from "Crazy Heart” Music and Lyric by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett

Visual Effects
"Avatar," Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham and Andrew R. Jones
"District 9," Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros and Matt Aitken
"Star Trek," Roger Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh and Burt Dalton

[Dr.Gonzo]

take bigelow to win best director,she will be +100 or better and with a DGA award in her pocket to boot.Only 6 times since 1948 has someone who won a DGA failed to win best director...strongest play out there.

Where can you get +100 or better?

[beefcake]

well she was +100 on sunday night at bet ed..now she is -165 after the nominations...

[DoubleEM]

Bigelow is down to -180. Has anyone found anything better?

[fjordo]

What are the most solid bets here? odds from Pinnacle.

Actor in a Leading Role Odds
Jeff Bridges in “Crazy Heart” -449
The Field +353

Actor in a Supporting Role Odds
Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds” -2250
The Field +1061

Actress in a Leading Role Odds
Sandra Bullock in “The Blind Side” -150
The Field +128

Actress in a Supporting Role Odds
Mo’Nique in “Precious: ‘Push’ by Sapphire” -1350
The Field +816

Animated Feature Film Odds
“Up” Pete Docter -1250
The Field +788

Art Direction Odds
Avatar Rick Carter, Robert Stromberg, Kim Sinclair -223
The Field +187

Best Picture Odds
"Avatar" -160
"The Hurt Locker" +121
The Field +1386

Cinematography Odds
Avatar” Mauro Fiore +179
The Field -213

Costume Design Odds
“Nine” Colleen Atwood +452
The Field -600

Directing Odds
“Avatar” James Cameron +178
“The Hurt Locker” Kathryn Bigelow -248
The Field +4101

Documentary (Feature) Odds
“The Cove” Nominees to be determined -1250
The Field +788

Documentary (Short Subject) Odds
“China’s Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan -165
The Field +140

Foreign Language Film Odds
“The White Ribbon” Germany -160
The Field +136

Makeup Odds
“Star Trek” Barney Burman, Mindy Hall, Joel Harlow -400
The Field +319

Music (Original Score) Odds
“Avatar” James Horner +420
The Field -550

Music (Original Song) Odds
“Take It All” from“Nine”Music & Lyric by M. Yeston +622
The Field -900

Will same movie win Best Picture & Best Director ?
Yes -111
No -105

Short Film (Animated) Odds
“French Roast” Fabrice O. Joubert +247
The Field -300

Sound Editing Odds
“Avatar” Christopher Boyes and G. Yates Whittle -340
The Field +276

Sound Mixing Odds
“Avatar” C. Boyes, G.Summers, A. Nelson, T.Jackson -227
The Field +190

How many Oscars will "Avatar" Win?
OVER 4.5 Oscars +100
UNDER 4.5 Oscars -117

How many Oscars will "The Hurt Locker" Win?
OVER 3.5 Oscars -177
UNDER 3.5 Oscars +150

How many Oscars will "Inglou.Basterds" Win?
OVER 2.5 Oscars +136
UNDER 2.5 Oscars -160

How many Oscars will "Precious" Win?
OVER 1.5 Oscars +149
UNDER 1.5 Oscars -175

How many Oscars will "Up in the Air" Win?
OVER 1.5 Oscars +420
UNDER 1.5 Oscars -550

Visual Effects Odds
“Avatar”J.Letteri, S.Rosenbaum, R.Baneham, R.Jones -5000
The Field +1621

Will "Avatar" win the most Oscars?
"Avatar" -0.5 Oscar -108
Any Other Single Film +0.5 Oscar -108

Writing (Adapted Screenplay) Odds
"Up in the Air" -270
The Field +224

Writing (Original Screenplay) Odds
“Inglourious Basterds” Written by Quentin Tarantin -162
The Field +138

[ericc]

in the case of betting on the Oscars, I think 'chalk' works....

[beefcake]

I think this year,were not going to see all the chalk win,just a gut feeling I have, over 1.5 for up in the air at +400 is a great price,since they were snubbed at the globes i think the academy would want to give them some due.
Also the field for best pic at +1350 loos appealing...WHY you ask,because we have 10 nominess now for best pic and with that many votes are going split up alot more,which in theory allows for a major upset.

[JOHON8]

Beefcake you got some good points.

I'm almost 100% that Kathryn wins Director, she was totally snubbed at the Golden Globes (as categories usually are there). I think Avatar winning the most oscars is obvious, The Hurt Locker deserves best picture, so let's see if the oscars snubs them for the billion Avatar fans or goes for the "surprise" quality pick.

[JOHON8]

bottom line for me...

I'm going for Hurt Locker over Avatar on 2 categories, anyhting else isn't really worth it.

[RobbReport]

Crazy Heart got buzz didn't see it but Jeff Bridges might win.

[whatsgood5]

I like this pick


Best Picture Odds
"Avatar" -160

[whatsgood5]

Shit, also like the chances of this one too

How many Oscars will "Avatar" Win?
OVER 4.5 Oscars +100

[fjordo]

After seeing both Avatar and Hurt Locker, I have made these bets.

Best Picture - Hurt Locker @ +133
Best Director - Katheryn Bigelow @ -248
Will same movie win Best Picture & Best Director ? - Yes @ -103
Cinematography - Avatar @ +175
How many Oscars will "Avatar" Win? - Over 4.5 @ +100
Will "Avatar" win the most Oscars? - -0.5 @ -123

Also took:

Foreign Language Film - White Ribbon @ -140
Actress in a Leading Role - Sandra Bullock @ -155

[Glitch]

sandra bullock and up seem like solid picks

[onizuka]

After seeing both Avatar and Hurt Locker, I have made these bets.

Best Picture - Hurt Locker @ +133
Best Director - Katheryn Bigelow @ -248
Will same movie win Best Picture & Best Director ? - Yes @ -103
Cinematography - Avatar @ +175
How many Oscars will "Avatar" Win? - Over 4.5 @ +100
Will "Avatar" win the most Oscars? - -0.5 @ -123

Also took:

Foreign Language Film - White Ribbon @ -140
Actress in a Leading Role - Sandra Bullock @ -155

not yet seen avatar, but agree with Hurt Locker

[xxred_hottxx]

I totally want to see Avatar. It must have been amazing because it is still in theatres and has been for about 2 months now!!

[Lincoln73]

I don't know about Bullock, the academy loves Meryl Streep.

[yisman]

bum[p