over/under on "the marine"

goldengoat · 10-11-2006, 12:40 PM

503 Over 6.5 million -176 Risk To Win
504 Under 6.5 million +160

1st off this line is moving very fast

god i hate when this happens cause i was doing research before i bet

i think like 45 minutes ago it was like over 6 million -171 and then when i made a move it was -230 over 6 million

damn i was pissed

anyway here's the analysis

see no evil starring kane of wwe fame got $4,581,233 in 1,270 screens (1st weekend)

cena is a more popular wrestler and the marine is showing in an estimated 2,400 screens

over looks pretty good

Illusion · 10-11-2006, 07:00 PM

They have really been pushing this movie. I think it will do 9-9.5

darkghost · 10-11-2006, 08:15 PM

goldengoat - That's some solid info!

No wonder Pinny keeps moving the number. It's sitting at 7 mil over -150. I'm in for two units.

darkghost · 10-11-2006, 08:23 PM

Here are the other two movies if anyone's interested:

Man of the Year - 12 mil +151/-167

The Grudge 2 - 25.5 mil -145/+129

Illusion · 10-11-2006, 11:34 PM

Do you guys factor weather when capping movies? The entire midwest is gonna be an icebox this weekend and I think more people will escape out to see a movie.

goldengoat · 10-12-2006, 11:09 AM

sometimes but only if the news is being real outspoken about coming conditions

holidays due play a part much bigger than weather

gummo · 10-16-2006, 03:07 PM

Looks like Man of the Year went over, Grudge 2 went under and a close call on Marine at 7 mill.

goldengoat · 10-16-2006, 05:01 PM

i figured the marine would be a tad better than that maybe 8 millionish but a win is a win

i thought that grudge 2 was gonna be under on 1st glance and then saw the original grudge did $39,128,715 which really blew me away and I would have never thought it to be that high

grudge 2 did not have near the amount of advertising so i assume they figured the 1st movie was advertisement enough

i was unsure how to approach that one so stayed away

goldengoat · 10-16-2006, 05:09 PM

i was kinda pissed with how the line moved on the marine though

maybe pinny made the line then figured it was gonna go over later

it started 6 mill and the over was like -170, then it moved to 6.5 and i saw it again at like -180, and then it went to 7 million and it was still like -170 for the over and then it goes back down to 6.5 million and still the over was around -170!!!!!!!!!!!!!

WTF!!!!!! lol maybe I was catching it at the wrong time all 20 times I checked but i don't think so

darkghost · 10-17-2006, 06:56 AM

No you weren't catching it at the wrong time. I caught all those numbers and I got it at the worst time/peak. I sweated my balls off when the estimate came out at $7 mil. And I'm lucky to have cashed.