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  1. 08-22-12 04:09 PM #1
    beefcake
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    Hunch for betting on Dancing with the Stars All-Stars..

    Ok, the all star edition starts on Sept 24th on ABC and Intertops has odds up to win.I noticed that only a few contestants are paired with their professional dancing partner from the first time they were on the show. This show as we all know is one big popularity contest, but you do have to have some talent.But I was thinking if you are a habitual voter and watcher of the show, then its just human nature to still like what you saw the last time.Also, having the same partner obviously as a dancer you have more confidence to make certain moves and routines right?? I think it is a distinct advantage. So what I am going to do is play a futures bet on all these.

    And of course I could be talking out of my ass and just deluding myself into betting on this shit.My wife is going to watch it so why not have action?

    Emmit Smith +350..Same partner of Cheryl Burke(won season #3)
    Bristol Palin +2000..Same partner of Mark Ballas(3rd in season 11)
    Joey Fatone +850..Same partner of Kym Johnson(2nd on season #4
    Kirstie Alley +1400..Same Partner of Maskim Chmerkovsky(2nd on season #12)
    Melissa Rycroft..+6600..Same partner of Tony Dovolani(3rd on season #8)

    Maybe bet .25 units on Mellissa,Kirstie and Bristol and and go 1-2 units on Fatone.The price on smith you could larger on but I like big underdogs..The only all star that did not come in 1st-3rd is Pam Anderson, so you never know, all it takes is a few favs to go out early and if you have the longshots you have a decent shot!

    Also Fatone had the #10 best overall avg score in the shows history,making that +850 look even better.

    Link from Wikipedia on past results.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dancing....S._TV_series)

    Also she does not have the same partner, but Kelly Monaco is +4000 to win, she is the first season winner.Maybe a side bet on her.Cant beat a former champ at this price.
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  2. 08-24-12 09:03 PM #2
    darko3131
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    I do think the same partner is an advantage but I wouldn't use it as the sole betting method. None of those names look very juicy.
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  3. 09-24-12 07:18 AM #3
    beefcake
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    Starts today!!

    FYI..Emmitt available at +600 at Bovada..
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  4. 09-29-12 08:23 PM #4
    beefcake
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    Smith and Burke had the highest score. Emmitt now at +150 to win..Got down at +600 for him to win.Looking good!
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  5. 09-30-12 11:29 AM #5
    HeppymanVS
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    http://heppyman.ru/ - купить виагру в москве
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  6. 09-30-12 11:11 PM #6
    nic9212
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeppymanVS View Post
    http://heppyman.ru/ - купить виагру в москве
    wtf?
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  7. 10-01-12 06:14 AM #7
    beefcake
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    Not even going to click on that link..
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  8. 10-02-12 10:26 PM #8
    darko3131
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    Apolo or Shawn Johnson FTW is my guess. Small bet on Shawn.
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  9. 10-09-12 08:27 AM #9
    beefcake
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    Double elim tonight.Rycroft and Monaco got the highest scores!! Big ods looking good.Hopefully bristol does not fukk me,most likely will as the right wing fukks vote for her all the time.
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  10. 10-20-12 08:14 AM #10
    beefcake
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    Well Monaco is down to 5-1 after opening at 40-1..I think she has a great shot to make it to the final 3..Looks like I will be riding that future till the end if possible to hedge. Emmit hanging and still is 4-1..Would love to have Smith and Kelly in the final 3 and I could hedge the other to make a profit..
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  11. 10-25-12 04:59 AM #11
    Cligralimagma
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  12. 11-03-12 11:41 AM #12
    darko3131
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    Pretty crazy that Shawn, Giles and Melissa finished 1,2,3 in season 8 and are all still alive. Shawn and Giles now the frontrunners and there was a difference of less than 1% in their finale.
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  13. 11-04-12 07:46 AM #13
    beefcake
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    Monaco had that one bad week and that is the reason she is +1100 now.Good to see Ohno dropping..Emmitt holding strong.Hoping still to hedge in the next few weeks..Have a feeling shawn is too likable and Miss USA and wont be beat..
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  14. 11-04-12 10:25 AM #14
    darko3131
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    How are you going to hedge at this point? I would think its too late in the game. Shawn or Giles are down to like +150, all the value is gone. IMO you would need to ride with Emmitt and Co. a +150 bet won't make up for 6 losing tickets.
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  15. 11-09-12 07:38 PM #15
    darko3131
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    Anyone actually watching the show? Apolo at +900 and Giles at +550 on bovada seem great at this stage of the game, but I haven't seen any of this season to know how its progressing.
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  16. 11-20-12 09:20 PM #16
    beefcake
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    Darko, you were right I did not hedge!

    But I am sitting on a Monaco ticket at 40-1 and Rycroft ticket at 66-1 now!!

    Shawn should be around -300 I am guessing to win next week, so no value there, going to ride it all the way and see!

    Wish me luck!!
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  17. 11-27-12 10:02 PM #17
    beefcake
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    RYCROFT WINS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    66-1 BITCHES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  18. 11-27-12 10:04 PM #18
    darko3131
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    Darko, you were right I did not hedge!

    But I am sitting on a Monaco ticket at 40-1 and Rycroft ticket at 66-1 now!!

    Shawn should be around -300 I am guessing to win next week, so no value there, going to ride it all the way and see!

    Wish me luck!!
    Rycroft 66/1 Nicely done I had Shawn myself but I'm happy for you. Glad you didn't pour a couple hundred onto a hedge.
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  19. 11-27-12 11:35 PM #19
    bobbyk1133
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    RYCROFT WINS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    66-1 BITCHES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    I hope you bet a lot.
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  20. 11-28-12 05:51 AM #20
    Boscoe
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    175 pts

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  21. 11-28-12 07:08 AM #21
    beefcake
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    Not alot compared to some folks on here.But 5 bucks won me a couple Ben Franklins..
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