08-29-08, 12:21 AM
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#1
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Philosophy Frog
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Guys GET ON THIS RICE OVER WITH ME!!!
I don't use terms like "lock", because there is no such thing...
But this game is so so sweet.
What little doubt I may have had washed away when heavy-running teams Oregon State and Stanford just put up 64 points despite a very slow start.
Rice returns virtually its entire offense, led by QB Chase Clement and WR beast Jarett Dillard. This team simply loves to pass and will do so early and often. They will have no trouble at all putting up points on SMU.
The main reason the under has been getting hit hard (went from 74.5 to 69.5!) is the benching of Justin Willis, SMU's alltime leading touchdown passer, in favor of a true freshman. But when you think about it, it speaks volumes for how much faith Jones has in this kid; to bench a successful QB in favor of a true freshman is quite an odd move to make. Until you search Bo Levi Mitchell on youtube and watch his highlight reel. He is Colt Brennan reincarnate. Cannon arm, rolls out of the pocket with speed, throws seamlessly cross-body on the move... There just isn't any way this kid won't put up points in a pass happy system on a bad Rice defense. And if he throws 3 picks, guess what... that just means Rice is heading the other way to score!
In what should be a true shootout through and through, the over 69.5 is an absolute steal. The question then is who wins? All of the tiebreakers go to Rice;
- At Home
- Returning offensive players and coach, as opposed to new QB and new coach/system in SMU
- Motivation; while SMU will be motivated under new coach Jones, Rice has high hopes this year and also lost their season opener embarrassingly to Nicholls State last year; they will be amped up to make sure this does not happen again.
-3.5 points isn't bad at all, but to be super safe, the ML should suffice.
Clock stops on 1st downs and incomplete passes and there will be a whole hell of a lot of em. Do not miss this. The public/bookmakers are so worried about Thursday and Saturday's games that they apparently let this one slip through the cracks.
"Myrmidons! My brothers of the sword! I would rather fight beside you than any army of thousands! Let no man forget how menacing we are, we are lions! Do you know what's waiting beyond that beach? Immortality! Take it! It's yours!"
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08-29-08, 12:23 AM
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#2
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fool me once...
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It sounds like your case points more to the Rice side play than the over...
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08-29-08, 12:32 AM
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#3
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Good pick USC. I ride with you over SMU/Rice 69.5
__________________
A loss makes you wiser
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08-29-08, 01:35 AM
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#4
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Philosophy Frog
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smitch124
It sounds like your case points more to the Rice side play than the over...
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On the contrary, in a game I expect to be a shootout back and forth, a few bounces go the wrong way and SMU could pull off the upset. 10 TDs, however, is cake in this one.
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08-29-08, 01:38 AM
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#5
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This game should go to 72, over is the play!!!
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08-29-08, 05:45 AM
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#6
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Philosophy Frog
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13 hours away!
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08-29-08, 08:58 AM
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#7
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My first SBR post, and I'm with you on this!
"Mitchell, who will start the opener at Rice, passed for 2,451 yards, 37 touchdowns and just four interceptions last season at Class 5A state champion Katy (Texas) High."

Last edited by intangible fate; 08-29-08 at 09:02 AM..
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08-29-08, 01:51 PM
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#8
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Philosophy Frog
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Welcome to the board bud!
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08-29-08, 01:57 PM
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#9
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I got Over 69.5 [-107] at Matchy, man do I love those soft lines at matchy...
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08-29-08, 02:22 PM
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#10
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Ok...I drank the kool-aid! CFN.Scout has it at 44-38 Rice and I like Chase Clements alot. June Jones + Clement should equal a ton of points!
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08-29-08, 02:29 PM
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#11
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Philosophy Frog
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brady2Moss
I got Over 69.5 [-107] at Matchy, man do I love those soft lines at matchy...
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Beautiful... 5dimes had it reduced to -105 yesterday and I was  As I have it at 70 not 69.5 AND -110...
No matter, I'm expecting 80+ 
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08-29-08, 02:33 PM
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#12
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I'm on for a small amount. 
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08-29-08, 02:35 PM
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#13
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Get a matchy account, those lines are soo soft, especially for NFL and NCAAB action (mlb lines usually suck compared to 5dimes)
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08-29-08, 03:55 PM
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#14
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Philosophy Frog
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Hope some of you got it at 69.5, back to 70... smart money is coming on on the OVER. Be some of that smart money!
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08-29-08, 03:58 PM
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#15
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rice and army tonite
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08-29-08, 04:00 PM
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#16
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Rice - 3.5 5 units
Rice-3.5/Over 70 parlay 2 units
Take em to the bank
CD
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08-29-08, 04:01 PM
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#17
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Philosophy Frog
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LOVE IT Cane lets get em!!!
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08-29-08, 04:01 PM
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#18
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still at 69.5 at betjam im got some action on the over
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08-29-08, 04:03 PM
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#19
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dont worry about the lines gamble with confidence.Works for me
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08-29-08, 04:07 PM
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#20
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How can you go against someone that made an avatar for a game
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08-29-08, 04:09 PM
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#21
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Tailing you on this good luck 
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08-29-08, 04:15 PM
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#22
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let's cash $$$ 
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08-29-08, 04:36 PM
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#23
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I'm on this over at 70, I also have the Army-Temple Over 41.5. It seems as though the lines went up a little by the time I made to my book.
GL Tonight!!
__________________
Sammy needs to do more work...
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08-29-08, 04:48 PM
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#24
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OVER in this game=SQUARE
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08-29-08, 04:52 PM
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#25
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This is stupid, there's no way this game is going to produce 10 touchdowns. crap.
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08-29-08, 05:20 PM
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#26
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Well, we will see how the first half is played. We might very well see 40-50 in the first half. If that happens its cake from there. Oh, dont forget about the possibility of the overtime. No big deal though for tonight, it will be fun to watch, that is for sure.
__________________
Sammy needs to do more work...
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08-29-08, 05:34 PM
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#27
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 i might be wrong here
but how do you guys get this is going to be a high scoring affair???
__________________
“Government is not reason, it is not eloquence—it is force.” – George Washington
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08-29-08, 06:46 PM
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#28
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Philosophy Frog
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Quote:
Originally Posted by accuscoresucks
 i might be wrong here
but how do you guys get this is going to be a high scoring affair???
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Jones system = Offense
Rice = Offense
Defenses both terrible, Rice gave up less then 30 only twice last year...
More details in my original post.
I'd wish you all luck, but we shouldn't need it. As long as theres no BAD luck, we should be fine.
Lets cash this fellas have fun enjoy the game 
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08-29-08, 07:11 PM
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#29
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1 TD down...9 to go...lol! 43-42 last year....here comes more of the same!
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08-29-08, 07:35 PM
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#30
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what's up...not looking too good?
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08-29-08, 07:45 PM
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#31
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That missed extra point better not fk me in the ass
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08-29-08, 07:52 PM
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#32
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Ok was Jk over looking goooooooooooooood 
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08-29-08, 07:59 PM
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#33
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The Over is in the books.
CD
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08-29-08, 08:27 PM
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#34
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damn, missed this, but you guys were right on the over, or so it seems...
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08-29-08, 08:35 PM
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#35
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Rice minus the points was probably easier than the over...but both should be easy! Didn't know SMU was the youngest team in NCAA!
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