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Old 09-04-05, 05:48 PM   #1
BuddyBear
 
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Question FSU +3.5...should I pound it b/c of the hook?

These UM/FSU games are historically close and no reason to believe this one won't be either...national tv game, FSU revenge, good rivalry, uncertainty with new QBs...could come down to a FG either way.

FSU +3.5 (-110; canbet) i think is the play here


Is this the best value I am going to get with FSU?

What do you guys think?
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Old 09-04-05, 05:55 PM   #2
Mudcat
 
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Mansion exchange currently FSU +3.5 -104 (which works out to about -105 with the commission. $799 available.
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Old 09-04-05, 06:02 PM   #3
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Wink Canes better roll

Put those gun's away bear,

Don't pull that trigger yet,

this is one that will be a real headbangger for sure but that dog is NOT barking yet, it is not just a given here buddy. This is by far the biggest game in the state of Florida and we all know the Canes actually finished behind the Noles in the final ACC standings because of that late-season slump last year.

But don't count Coker and these Canes out yet buddy> This game is sweet revenge for coke and he wants this one BAD trust me.

College foot's, laying 3 and a hook on the road? I would NEVER do it !



I layed 3,hehehe
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Last edited by square; 09-04-05 at 06:06 PM.. Reason: added a nole
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Old 09-04-05, 06:15 PM   #4
BuddyBear
 
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Square....I want to take FSU +3.5.

Did u take Miami -3 then?
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Old 09-04-05, 06:42 PM   #5
square
 
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Default Roll Canes

I did lay the 3 Bear,

I always play the dog but just have different feelings about this big game 4 some reason buddy.

I also usually get down on a game pretty big if I play it but having NOT taken the barker in this one, I did not fire very big buddy.


good Luck man,
sq
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Old 09-04-05, 06:43 PM   #6
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I wouldnt touch this game. I might lay the points here. Miami may be just too good for the Noles. I think I would need 6 or 7 to take the road dog in this one.
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Old 09-04-05, 08:02 PM   #7
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FSU hasnt beat Miami since Miami was just off probation, no reason to think that chages here if your not getting 7 stay away!
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Old 09-04-05, 08:13 PM   #8
square
 
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Thumbs up Labor Day Weekend Question

wrong spot guy's let me move it, long day.


sq
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Last edited by square; 09-04-05 at 08:15 PM.. Reason: move to new thread
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Old 09-05-05, 03:37 AM   #9
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buddy, this would be a game I encourage people just to watch...won't be a whole lot of points scored here and should be close to the number either way...
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Old 09-05-05, 08:30 AM   #10
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If I had to bet this game I would bet Miami.

I think FSU lost some criticial players also
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Old 09-05-05, 11:14 AM   #11
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Well bets in...FSU +3.5 (-105) at SIA. I don't think I am going to find better value then that for today and i might well try to get other things done today instead of sitting in front of the computer waiting for the line to move.

I know it's not popular pick

Most of my bets this weekend have been from SIA...Just to let everyone know I've gotten an additional half point to a point from them on their lines and that is something I really emphasize. In fact, I really hope Miami wins by 3!

For an underdog player, SIA is a great choice.
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Old 09-05-05, 10:53 PM   #12
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All's well that ends well
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Old 09-05-05, 11:15 PM   #13
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Buddy were you pulling ya hair all during the game like I was?....Weatherhead was very fustrating to watch....felt sry for fsu def as they were running out of gas and no help in offence

Last edited by hoppa_long; 09-05-05 at 11:19 PM..
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Old 09-05-05, 11:38 PM   #14
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Nice call BB.
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Old 09-06-05, 01:45 AM   #15
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Good call with FSU.
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Old 09-06-05, 12:38 PM   #16
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Thanks guys...this was a nice way to close the first weekend of NCAAF. Finished up 4-3 (57% which is my overall goal).

Hoppa: it was a nightmare watching the FSU offense and I knew if FSU was gonig to cover it was going to be b/c of their defense but I really got worried when they failed to make it 13-7 as I thought Miami could win either 14-13 or 16-13 with either outcome satisfactory to me. I mean if FSU couldn't score from the 1 yeard line i knew they weren't going to score again

I was thiking a lot about this game and how fortunate i was b/c Miami just dominated them offensively and defensively but broke down in special teams.

But if you know me, you know that I employ a bet against the public strategy mainly.

If I had broken it down, i would have reached the same conclusion as everyone else MIAMI -3 but you learn that in a breakdown method, all the variables are accounted for in the line so I just prefer to bet against the public.

There is a reason sportsbooks are in business
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Old 09-06-05, 03:53 PM   #17
square
 
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Thumbs up Good bet Bear

Quote:
Originally Posted by BuddyBear
Square....I want to take FSU +3.5.

Did u take Miami -3 then?


Good job bear ,

as I said I generally bet only the barker but felt different about this one for some reason.

Heck if we could win them all no one would be in any other business right.

good man buddyB.

sq
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Old 09-06-05, 04:32 PM   #18
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Books won a fortune on second half

Everyone had Miami
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Old 09-06-05, 04:34 PM   #19
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Books cleaned house yesterday with

FSU +3.5
MISS +3
UNLV +15

Not even close in any of the games. Public was 70% on the side of favorites yesterday for each game. Now u see why i am fond of the bet against the public strategy!
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