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Old 10-14-2007, 06:24 PM   #1
pags11
 
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Default Pags Plays 10/20

Fri. 1/2 unit play...

Connecticut +3

Sat. plays all for 3 units...

Indiana +10
Navy +4
Virginia +5.5
Michigan St. +17
Auburn +11.5
Miami FL +6.5
Missouri -4
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Old 10-14-2007, 06:31 PM   #2
rjt721
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Looks good. I also played Indiana (got +9. Crazy number .... was hoping for 4), and Mizzou (got -3.5). Leaning to UConn.

Good luck this week, pags.
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Old 10-14-2007, 06:42 PM   #3
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thanks rjt...good to hear we are on Indiana and Missouri together...

I will be monitoring the Rutgers line this week, if it goes to +4, +4.5 I will most likely make a half unit play...otherwise this is it for me this week...
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Old 10-14-2007, 06:46 PM   #4
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pags= the man.


Make that money bro.
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Old 10-14-2007, 06:48 PM   #5
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thanks imgv...good talking with you earlier today to get your take on lines and games...GL this week to you bro...
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Old 10-14-2007, 06:56 PM   #6
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pags,

I like your style (+++++++++).

I usually just tell people the the "-" key on my keyboard is broken.
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Old 10-14-2007, 07:00 PM   #7
pags11
 
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LT profits,

haha...yep, you're a smart man...GL to you this upcoming week as well...
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Old 10-14-2007, 07:03 PM   #8
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On your coat tail this week pags. GL.
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Old 10-14-2007, 07:12 PM   #9
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Pags,

Good luck, thanks for the sharp information.
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Old 10-14-2007, 07:40 PM   #10
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Good luck this week pags... where you get your early numbers CRIS?
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Old 10-14-2007, 07:43 PM   #11
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Bookmaker
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Old 10-14-2007, 09:14 PM   #12
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same difference

glpags
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Old 10-14-2007, 10:57 PM   #13
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Looks good Pags, I'm all over

Mizzou
Virginia
UConn
&
Indiana

This week as well, GL..........hopefully a celebration Saturday night (In which I'll be in Lawrence, Kansas)
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Old 10-15-2007, 01:41 AM   #14
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I am with you on Indiana, but against you on Miami. I will be going with Florida State.

Good luck this coming week Pags.
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Old 10-15-2007, 01:57 AM   #15
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hawk,

understood brother...

sir,

appreciate the info. you've given me as well...

dr. luck,

yeah, I use bookmaker and matchbook as my primary two books...

austin,

thank you...GL to you as well this week...

teasem,

have fun in Kansas and GL...

onlooker,

I'm curious to hear your thoughts on why you will be laying points with FSU here vs. Miami...BOL to you...
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Old 10-15-2007, 02:03 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
onlooker,

I'm curious to hear your thoughts on why you will be laying points with FSU here vs. Miami...BOL to you...
I am really going to watch and see what happens with that line. Being a FSU fan, I know how pitiful that team is. Miami is not much better either. So I hope to see a lot of money going on Miami to give me a better line.

Plus Miami won't get that comfort of the first half at the Orange Bowl. I think they outscored their opponents 71-0 in the first half there.

So lets say its more of a lean at this point.
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Old 10-15-2007, 02:09 AM   #17
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onlooker,

oh, ok didn't realize you are an FSU fan...
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Old 10-15-2007, 02:10 AM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
onlooker,

oh, ok didn't realize you are an FSU fan...
You of all people should know I am not a homer bettor.
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Old 10-15-2007, 02:15 AM   #19
pags11
 
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if you say so onlooker...
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Old 10-15-2007, 12:52 PM   #20
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With you on all plays Pags. Here's to repeating last week!
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Old 10-15-2007, 03:13 PM   #21
pags11
 
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shrax,

we'll do our best bud...GL to you this week...
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Old 10-15-2007, 03:53 PM   #22
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love all them dogs again this week!

I also love that mizzou team coming from behind to give me a back door cover. I love them this week also.

oh by the way..awesome week pags.
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Old 10-15-2007, 04:11 PM   #23
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PAGS- CONGRATS on a great week just past
I assume you beat the Prick ??
At 6 or whatever, Miami would have a cover on FSU for the past 5 years, maybe longer.
too early for me to know what I'm doing but I'll pay attention to your plays as usual.
Look for write-ups later maybe ??
gl
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Old 10-15-2007, 04:35 PM   #24
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cashflow,

thank you sir...good to hear you are on Missouri...

taurus,

thanks bud...yeah, I finally did beat the prick, lol...I think Miami's the play here...GL to you as well this week...
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Old 10-15-2007, 10:40 PM   #25
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I'm with you on your Auburn play this week Pags.
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Old 10-15-2007, 11:11 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
Fri. 1/2 unit play...

Connecticut +3

Sat. plays all for 3 units...

Indiana +10
Navy +4
Virginia +5.5
Michigan St. +17
Auburn +11.5
Miami FL +6.5
Missouri -4
Pags....I obviously respect your plays as you are definitely one of the better cappers I've had a chance to follow. However I would like your explanation on Miami. I realize FSU is pretty limited offensively but have looked a little better w/ Lee. I mean Miami has shown absolutely noithing. Are you getting the feeling that they'll rise up in this rivalry where FSU just won't have any answers. Keep up the good posting.
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Old 10-16-2007, 12:09 AM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
Fri. 1/2 unit play...

Connecticut +3

Sat. plays all for 3 units...

Indiana +10
Navy +4
Virginia +5.5
Michigan St. +17
Auburn +11.5
Miami FL +6.5
Missouri -4
After digging in alittle more......I'm now seeing how u could consider U of Miami.
*FSU is 6-15 ATS the last 21
*FSU is 4-10 the last 14 at Home
* The underdogs ar 8-10 in this series

This gives good credance to Miami.....I just haven't seen Miami really play. I do know they won't quite under Shannon where the sure quite under coker.
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Old 10-16-2007, 12:22 AM   #28
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if i liked uconn against louisville i would wait for the line to move up a bit. the uconn defense hasn't been tested by a real quarterback this year. i expect that line to go to 3 1/2 before friday, and 4 1/2 on friday
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Old 10-16-2007, 02:54 AM   #29
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dan,

good to hear we are on Auburn together...

imastud,

thanks for the kind words...sounds like you have started to answer your own question...I'll have more for you on this game in my write-up on Thu...

idont,

you may be right regarding the Connecticut line, but one of the things I've learned in all my years of handicapping is to play games at a line that you think that makes for a good play...by waiting you leave things up to chance, you may get a better line in this one but you also may not...
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Old 10-16-2007, 09:09 AM   #30
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i bet on bodog, they arent showing the odds yet. where do you guys place your bets?
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Old 10-16-2007, 09:49 AM   #31
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I bet the good ol' fashioned way. I know a guy who knows a guy. I like the Missouri, Auburn, and Indiana plays. Connecticut might suprise, but I think I'll pass on this one. Pags, any thoughts on Thursday night's game? I was leaning Rutgers since it seems that's the way things are going this year with the unbeatens.
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Old 10-16-2007, 09:51 AM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by goodfella View Post
i bet on bodog, they arent showing the odds yet. where do you guys place your bets?

Bookmaker for your openers

Bodog will put lines up today
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Old 10-16-2007, 10:21 AM   #33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Teasem View Post
Bookmaker for your openers

Bodog will put lines up today
thanx teasem
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Old 10-16-2007, 03:22 PM   #34
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do you see value on rutgers +3? line looks off to me. should be at least 6 to throw us off or at pick (more realistic). whats your thoughts?

Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
thanks rjt...good to hear we are on Indiana and Missouri together...

I will be monitoring the Rutgers line this week, if it goes to +4, +4.5 I will most likely make a half unit play...otherwise this is it for me this week...
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Old 10-16-2007, 03:40 PM   #35
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PSU fan checking in-

Gun to my head, I take Indiana in this game but I don't really like the side. Note that PSU has historically had very little problem with Indiana (they're never lost to them since they joined the Big Ten). And that includes the really down years earlier this decade.

PSU the last couple of years has been a Jekyll/Hyde team at home vs. on the road. Great team to fade on the road. Losing Austin Scott has been a blessing for this team as it's given Evan Royster the opportunity to see some touches. PSU's offensive line is playing much better.

This looks like it could be a sandwich game between Wisky and OSU but PSU cannot afford to take any games lightly with 2 losses already.

Barring multiple (3+) turnovers, they have no chance of losing this game outright. Their defense is just too good.

The problem is that other than the last week, they've coughed up the ball 3 or more times a game so if they revert back to previous weeks, it should be a close one.
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