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Go Back   Sports Handicapping, Betting & Picks - SBR Forum > Sports Handicapping, Picks and Game Discussion > College Football Handicapping

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Old 08-25-2007, 06:11 PM   #1 (permalink)
pags11
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Default Pag's Plays to come soon, a couple of things to note and also some requests...

hey guys,

I just wanted to let you know that I will again be posting my Pags' Plays each Thursdy evening...I always enjoy sharing with you not only my picks, but also my analysis on each of the games I play...

remember that I start the season off with lighter units, then increase them until week 5 where I hold the units steady until week 9, ultimately slightly decreasing them starting in week 10...the reason being is that my studies have lead me to believe that the best time to play your heaviest units are in the middle of the season, whereas the beginning and end of the season things are a little more difficult...I will play 7 games every Saturday (with the exception of weeks 12 thru 14 where I play 5, 3, and 3 games respectively--less games on the card, need to be a bit more selective)...also, I play weeknight games light in comparison to my weekend games, only because I feel like weird shit goes on, especially with these ESPN primetime games...

a few requests...please don't come into the thread and say, "pags, why are you posting this game at +8 when it's at +7?"...the funny thing is, is that no one ever says shit when I post a team at +6.5, when the current line is +7.5, but when it's the opposite, they feel like they have to say something...I'm not getting paid for this shit, I will post the lines at the number I get them at...it's up to you to decide whether or not you want to play a game I have played at a different number, I'm not your daddy who controls your allowance...I'm simply a handicapper trying to give back...also, please don't come in and say, "what do you think about the game vs. so an so and so and so?"...if I haven't posted it as a play, I obviously don't have a strong opinion on the game...other than that, I'm a pretty easy going dude and want to help out when I can...

GL on the upcoming season to everyone...

Last edited by pags11 : 08-27-2007 at 02:14 AM.
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Old 08-25-2007, 08:41 PM   #2 (permalink)
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When are you posting Thursday's plays?
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Old 08-25-2007, 09:40 PM   #3 (permalink)
onlòóker
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Sounds good. Here is to a great football season.

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Old 08-25-2007, 09:43 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
...also, please don't come in and say, "what do you think about the game vs. so an so and so and so?"...if I haven't posted it as a play, I obviously don't have a strong opinion on the game..
Be nice pags
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Old 08-26-2007, 01:26 AM   #5 (permalink)
dante1
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pags

Thank you my friend. I think I can distinguish the real deal from the bs and I will be reading and playing some or most of your selections in college. However, feel no pressure because you may go 0-20 and you won't hear any bs from me.

Hope you have a great year, I will be pulling for you and for
all players and if I ever have anything of interest to contribute I will.

Good luck to everybody.

Last edited by dante1 : 08-26-2007 at 01:42 AM.
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Old 08-26-2007, 01:30 AM   #6 (permalink)
BuddyBear
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I think I speak for everyone on this forum that we are all looking forward to your insights and expert analysis on the games. No doubt you are a great resource to SBR and the entire gaming forum scene. It's posters like Pags who give credibility to the SBR forum and give gamblers a good name.
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Old 08-26-2007, 01:37 AM   #7 (permalink)
bigboydan
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Looking forward to reading your writeups this year pags
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Old 08-26-2007, 02:46 AM   #8 (permalink)
austintx05
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our fav time of year....lets do it pags!
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Old 08-26-2007, 03:00 AM   #9 (permalink)
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If anyone likes to blindly follow someone than I suggest you do so with pags.

His discipline and careful planning makes it hard for him or his followers to lose. You will notice pags getting solid lines as well.

Well enough with the e-dick sucking. pags is the people's champ!!
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Old 08-26-2007, 08:23 PM   #10 (permalink)
austintx05
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I already know what Pags is playing...

Ark St
Nevada
Okie St
Arkansas
Boston College
Tennessee
Miss St
Oregon


I know...I'm a mind reader
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Old 08-26-2007, 09:17 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Hilarious...
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Old 08-26-2007, 09:22 PM   #12 (permalink)
rjt721
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Pags thinks Miss. St. is the best play on the board.
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Old 08-26-2007, 09:38 PM   #13 (permalink)
pokernut9999
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last 5 years 31,30,51,35,and 18 points.

Would be hard to take points IMO
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Old 08-26-2007, 10:18 PM   #14 (permalink)
shrax4
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Pags, I'm very much a bandwagon-jumper, looking forward to your football plays this year.
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Old 08-26-2007, 11:26 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pokernut9999 View Post
last 5 years 31,30,51,35,and 18 points.

Would be hard to take points IMO
Just out of curiousity, and more less to play devil's advocate for a moment, the linesmaker has access to all those numbers that you just listed. In fact everyone does. Why would they open this game LSU -16 knowing that it is a national TV game, first day of betting on NCAAF, and a high profile, public team ranked in the top 5 like LSU.

If the goal is to draw even money on both sides and to take the juice the linemaker must have made a monumental error to put this number this low.

I see LSU winning but I just have a bad feeling about this game fellows. Good luck to everyone. I really don't have a stake in it...i'll hope LSU cashes the ticket for you guys.
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Old 08-26-2007, 11:37 PM   #16 (permalink)
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Well they can't make them 33 pt road favorites now can they.
Heck they were shut out 1st 2 games last year and LSU has a strong D. Would be hard to back MSU here.
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Old 08-27-2007, 12:08 AM   #17 (permalink)
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guys,

thanks for all of the kind words and support...I look forward to working with all of you this upcoming year in making some cash...
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