Side with OU at Missouri
Game Time: 10/28/2006 12:00:00 PM
By: Phil Steele
http://www.phoenixsports.com
Oklahoma is the best choice this Saturday when they take on Missouri at Faurot Field in Columbia, MO.
The favorite is 1-4-1 ATS in this series, with their last meeting in 2003. Missouri is just 3-24 SU & 3-7-1 ATS vs OU.
Missouri crushed K-State last week and has a big game on deck with Nebraska. And OU is in a must-win situation with A&M on deck if the Sooners want an outside shot at the Big 12 South crown.
Mizzou QB Chase Daniel is averaging 250 ypg (67%) with a 19-5 ratio. RB Tony Temple has 662 yds (5.3). WR William Franklin has 38 rec (18.2). Tight ends Chase Coffman (PS#14) nd Martin Rucker (PS#31) have combined for 64 rec (9.5). The Tigers' D has been gashed for 176 rush ypg (4.7) in conference play.
Under head coach Bob Stoops, OU is 2-5 SU but 5-2 ATS in regular season games (not including RRR) as an AD. Paul Thompson is averaging 206 ypg (61%) through the air with an 11-5 ratio. OU rushed for 166 yds last week in Adrian Peterson’s absence as Allen Patrick (PS#50JC) broke 100 yds vs a stout Colorado defense (110 yds, 3.1). Malcolm Kelly leads a very underrated receiving corps with 30 rec (17.5).
Missouri has the offensive edge (#14-28) but OU will be the toughest defense the Tigers have faced so far (they have the #4-40 edge). OU is ranked #25 in our pass efficiency D (152 ypg, 52%, 7-7 ratio) and will be tough on an overrated Missouri team that will face its toughest opponents by far the next two weeks.
Forecast: Oklahome-24 Missouri-20
Play: Oklahoma +1½
Phil Steele: Side with OU at Missouri
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