For updated data please see my Half-Point Calculator.
<style> .ganch { font-size: 11px; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; }</style> <table border=0 cellpadding=2 cellspacing=1> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> Total </td> <td align=left class=ganch> N </td> <td align=left class=ganch> Std. Err. </td> <td align=left class=ganch> Freq.
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 33 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 65 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.64% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 4.62%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 34 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 114 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.51% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.63%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 35 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 178 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.79% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.12%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 36 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 259 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.77% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.54%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 37 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 353 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.97% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 3.40%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 38 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 474 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.69% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.32%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 39 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 615 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.46% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.30%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 40 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 747 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.58% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.54%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 41 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 886 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.63% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 3.61%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 42 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,058 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.46% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.27%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 43 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,213 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.38% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.81%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 44 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,380 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.41% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.32%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 45 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,502 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.47% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 3.40%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 46 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,587 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.33% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.76%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 47 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,677 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.38% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.50%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 48 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,718 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.38% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.56%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 49 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,723 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.37% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.44%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 50 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,702 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.35% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.17%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 51 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,682 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.43% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 3.27%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 52 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,609 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.40% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.67%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 53 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,548 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.38% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.26%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 54 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,456 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.37% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.99%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 55 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,346 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.42% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.45%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 56 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,208 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.38% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.74%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 57 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1,084 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.36% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.38%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 58 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 913 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.56% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.96%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 59 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 792 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.76% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 4.80%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 60 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 651 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.55% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.00%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 61 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 556 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.69% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.70%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 62 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 452 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.54% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.33%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 63 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 378 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.83% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.65%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 64 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 316 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.63% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.27%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 65 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 265 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.92% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 2.26%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 66 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 211 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.94% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.90%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 67 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 172 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 0.82% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.16%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 68 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 140 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.01% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.43%
</td> </tr> <tr> <td align=left class=ganch> 69 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 113 </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 1.95% </td> <td align=right class=ganch> 4.42%
</td> </tr> </table><hr><span style="font-size: 11px;">Methodology:</span>
- <span style="font-size: 11px;">All NCAA Football available regular season final scores and closing points spreads (from http://www.covers.com/) from the 1990 season through the 2006 season were analyzed (4,924 games in total) for the frequency of various totals.</span>
- <span style="font-size: 11px;">The push frequency for a given point spread was determined by the percentage of games with a closing spread within 3 points of the over/under in question ending with a total equal to that over/unders. For example, the push frequency of an over/under of 42 was determined from all games with a closing over/under between 39 and 45.</span>
- <span style="font-size: 11px;">This is based on Stanford Wong's methodology as described in Sharp Sports Betting.</span>