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Old 09-15-06, 02:25 PM   #1
r2d2
 
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Default toledo -5 vs kansas

thoughts. ku ml is looking good. cant see toledo dominating. discuss
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Old 09-15-06, 02:40 PM   #2
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i actually found a -5.5 at mansion. interesting.
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Old 09-15-06, 04:28 PM   #3
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I noticed bodog hung it at 6 at one point.

Maybe i'm missing something here guys, but I really think KU is the right side of this game.
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Old 09-15-06, 06:07 PM   #4
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i ended up taking the kansas money line, with a very, very small ku ml/ over 49 parlay. fingers crossed
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Old 09-15-06, 06:25 PM   #5
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Oh no guys... were fading Phil Steele Friday Night GOY
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Old 09-15-06, 06:29 PM   #6
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Toledo PK
Michigan +10

Teaser pays +102 @ 5 Dimes....
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Old 09-15-06, 06:30 PM   #7
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toledo -2.5 (half) -125
toledo -3 (half ) even

both bets 4 units
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Old 09-15-06, 06:36 PM   #8
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I got +5.5 -104 at wsex.com. Took it on the live betting in case I need to bail.

Toledo's getting action based on their home record ATS

TOLEDO is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1992.
The average score was TOLEDO 32.2, OPPONENT 17.

Toledo is 12-1 ATS @home vs. opponents off a win
Toledo is 34-2 SU on this field since 1999.
Toledo head coach Amstutz has never lost 3 games in a row
Toledo head coach Amstutz is 13-2 ATS on this field against an opponent off a win
Toledo is 15-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Toledo is 24-12 in their last 36 as a home favorite

Plus...

Mangino is 3-17 as a visitor 8-12 ATS since he's been the Kansas coach.
Kansas 3-6 ATS since '97 in their 1st road game of the season
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Old 09-15-06, 06:40 PM   #9
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nice stats feel even better about my wager. thanks MercJr
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Old 09-15-06, 07:12 PM   #10
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Good luck... I took Kansas for the game, hopefully we'll both win.
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Old 09-15-06, 07:12 PM   #11
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WTF. My computer signed up for the forums and is posting?

r2d2, is what I named my computer in the settings.
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Old 09-15-06, 07:19 PM   #12
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I took KU+5 to cover and total team points 22, +1/2 in first qtr and second qtr. Obviously I think KU is going to control this game. Toledo has allowed a total of 76 points in their first two games and KU has scored a total of 70.

Could someone explaine how the "Money Line" works?

Also, I use "The Greek" sports book. Anyone have any recommendations for a better one?

Thanks

I'm obiously new at this.
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Old 09-15-06, 07:25 PM   #13
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Pinnacle is probably the best if you win. The games start at -104 instead of -110. The don't have too many bonuses though, so if you lose and reload a lot, you might want to look for a book that will give you extra money.

wsex.com is good for tv games, you can bet after the game starts and bail out if you start losing. for example, right now Toledo just punted down 7-0 and you can take Kansas +5.5 -222 or Toledo -5.5 +177.

The money line is based on a $100 bet and theres no point spread. If its minus, thats how much you have to bet to win 100, if its plus, thats how much you win for a $100 bet.
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Old 09-15-06, 07:28 PM   #14
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Brusher, the ML bets just have to win the game, no spread.

So if the ML on the game was +150 , and you bet $100, you win $150, plus your $100 back.

I hope that helps, not to sure on what else you need to know about it.

Welcome to SBR.
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Old 09-15-06, 07:37 PM   #15
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Helps a lot! Thanks a bunch, both of you!

Also thanks for recommendations. I'll check them out.
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Old 09-15-06, 08:53 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HAPPY BOY
toledo -2.5 (half) -125
toledo -3 (half ) even

both bets 4 units
Well Ill take them anyway I can phew! dat was a close one.
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Old 09-15-06, 10:03 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brusher
Could someone explaine how the "Money Line" works?

Thanks

I'm obiously new at this.
http://www.freeunderdog.com/moneyline.html

Is pretty much a tutorial on how to bet the moneyline.

Hope this helps!

Doc JS
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Old 09-15-06, 10:06 PM   #18
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man our my picks bad. toledo -5 and the under of 51.5. not looking so hot
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Old 09-15-06, 11:12 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pickwinners
man our my picks bad. toledo -5 and the under of 51.5. not looking so hot
Never give up my man! We got Toledo...wish you would have taken the OVER though.
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Old 09-16-06, 12:14 AM   #20
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What a gift to everyone who took Toledo at -5.5!
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Old 09-16-06, 07:06 AM   #21
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I actually got TWO gifts last night...I had Toledo for the full game -5.5 and Toledo first half -2.5. I shouldn't have won either bet. Sometimes the gambling gods look down on a person. But it all evens out... Guaranteed everyone that took Toledo will lose one in similar fashion later in the season.
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Old 09-18-06, 02:51 AM   #22
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stil trying to figure that Toledo/ Kansas game out...is Toledo's offense better than I thought or Kansas's defense worse?...
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Old 09-18-06, 08:35 AM   #23
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I would say Kansas' defense is pretty bad, but not that bad. They should have won that game by two TDs. Kansas has a terrible QB. He threw four picks, one that was returned 70 yards or so for a TD. Toledo just got plain lucky. This is a time where watching teams play will come in handy in future handicapping. Toledo didn't show much offensively. They got a defensive TD, they got a hail mary TD at the end of the first half. Their winning TD in OT was a 25 scamper against a visably deflated defense that saw their offense notch turnovers in the both OT periods. Toledo's coach is so confident in his kicker he elected to go for it on fourth and goal from the 25 in the first OT rather than try for the 43-yard FG.
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Old 09-18-06, 04:11 PM   #24
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saw that Toledo's QB was injured in this one at the beginning of the game...might of been some of the reason for his poor performance...
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