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09-24-2005, 08:19 PM
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#1 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 07-20-05
Posts: 20,702
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College Football Is So Unpredictable
Like rolling the dice boys
Very difficult game to beat
I would take bases over this  anyday
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09-24-2005, 08:40 PM
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#2 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 07-21-05
Location: Canada
Posts: 4,355
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+1200 ML dog South Florida leading Louisville 38-7 late in the 3rd quarter.
Go figure.
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09-24-2005, 08:43 PM
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#3 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 08-22-05
Location: Chicago burbs
Posts: 1,032
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yea i had louisville -20 tonight sucks
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09-24-2005, 08:54 PM
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#4 (permalink)
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SBR Wise Guy
Join Date: 08-29-05
Posts: 545
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Purdue is my major complaint of the day. Up 8 late allowing a 4th down conversion and a two point conversion. It seems as every gambler loses more close games than he wins.
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09-24-2005, 11:26 PM
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#5 (permalink)
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SBR Rookie
Join Date: 09-20-05
Posts: 25
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Yeah I'm just wondering who else got screwed over this weekend by Utah's "let them score a TD on their last drive" to f*** up the spread and also by Florida's "let's not do anything in the second half" and allow them to score 3 unanswered TD's. Got screwed over by two BS backdoor covers this week. Doesn't matter to them because they still get the W though.
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09-24-2005, 11:58 PM
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#6 (permalink)
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SBR Wise Guy
Join Date: 08-11-05
Posts: 568
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USC very strong in second half. Were down 3 at halftime.
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09-25-2005, 12:08 AM
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#7 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 08-10-05
Location: Gambling Forums
Posts: 6,456
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Seems like there are a lot of backdoor covers...i have no evidence for this but intuitively if you play more underdogs you should get a lot more of those backdoor covers like I had Kentucky today...i am not even sure what happened as i was out of town...but i also had Oregon and i left the wedding they were up 13-0...came back saw the score 45-13!
You never know what to expect in gambling...that's why you have to wait till the last second of every game!
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09-25-2005, 12:35 AM
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#8 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 08-10-05
Location: DC metropolitan
Posts: 1,191
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Mudcat
+1200 ML dog South Florida leading Louisville 38-7 late in the 3rd quarter.
Go figure.
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Did you actually put money on +1200?
The most I would imagine anyone would put down is probably $25-$100?
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09-25-2005, 01:07 AM
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#9 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 08-23-05
Posts: 174
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+1200 is a nice line on that dog. Where did you find +1200?
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09-25-2005, 02:27 AM
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#10 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 09-07-05
Posts: 283
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I had North Carolina to beat NC State , +400 
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09-25-2005, 02:30 AM
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#11 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 09-15-05
Posts: 1,051
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Montreal514
Yeah I'm just wondering who else got screwed over this weekend by Utah's "let them score a TD on their last drive" to f*** up the spread and also by Florida's "let's not do anything in the second half" and allow them to score 3 unanswered TD's. Got screwed over by two BS backdoor covers this week. Doesn't matter to them because they still get the W though.
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Obviously they don't care about the spread and one has to consider that when betting big favorites... but it works both ways and, theorically, should average out... For example I got screwed on the Purdue game today but was on the right side in the Air Force game...
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09-25-2005, 07:31 AM
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#12 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 07-20-05
Posts: 20,702
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Way too hard to predict colege kids performances as they are not pros and not as consistent as pros mentally or physically
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09-25-2005, 08:32 AM
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#13 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 08-10-05
Location: O'Fallon, MO
Posts: 1,620
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College used to be a bastian of money-grabbing for me. This year, I have absolutely sucked. No two ways about it. I need to re-evaluate.
E
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09-25-2005, 09:14 AM
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#14 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 07-21-05
Location: Canada
Posts: 4,355
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by freebie
Did you actually put money on +1200?
The most I would imagine anyone would put down is probably $25-$100?
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Relentless
+1200 is a nice line on that dog. Where did you find +1200?
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No I didn't have money on it. I'm just always researching large ML dogs on a spreadsheet. On ncaaf, I'll only bet up to around +700 right now (but it's been a disaster so far this year).
I can't tell you exactly where I found it. I was checking a few books and I didn't make a note of it. Had to be either Pinnacle or Olympic.
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09-25-2005, 09:42 AM
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#15 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 09-07-05
Posts: 108
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Really! true genius, a profound truth revealed
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09-25-2005, 10:20 AM
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#16 (permalink)
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SBR Wise Guy
Join Date: 09-20-05
Posts: 559
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The Louisville/South Florida game opened at -22 with 80% of the public on them. Line dropped to -19.5 go figure..sharps knew something was up
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09-25-2005, 10:21 AM
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#17 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 08-23-05
Posts: 174
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Mudcat, I have not found large ML dogs in college football to be a good bet, largely because of the increase in the spread between the fav and dog and the moneyline gets larger. Conversely, I would say betting on the large ML fav is even a worse bet. The lines seem to be pretty much on for these bets imo.
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09-25-2005, 10:50 AM
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#18 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 07-21-05
Location: Canada
Posts: 4,355
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Relentless
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