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Old 09-24-2005, 08:19 PM   #1 (permalink)
jjgold
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Default College Football Is So Unpredictable

Like rolling the dice boys

Very difficult game to beat

I would take bases over this anyday
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Old 09-24-2005, 08:40 PM   #2 (permalink)
Mudcat
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+1200 ML dog South Florida leading Louisville 38-7 late in the 3rd quarter.

Go figure.
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Old 09-24-2005, 08:43 PM   #3 (permalink)
Mr Nuts
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yea i had louisville -20 tonight sucks
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Old 09-24-2005, 08:54 PM   #4 (permalink)
clonecat
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Purdue is my major complaint of the day. Up 8 late allowing a 4th down conversion and a two point conversion. It seems as every gambler loses more close games than he wins.
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Old 09-24-2005, 11:26 PM   #5 (permalink)
Montreal514
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Yeah I'm just wondering who else got screwed over this weekend by Utah's "let them score a TD on their last drive" to f*** up the spread and also by Florida's "let's not do anything in the second half" and allow them to score 3 unanswered TD's. Got screwed over by two BS backdoor covers this week. Doesn't matter to them because they still get the W though.
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Old 09-24-2005, 11:58 PM   #6 (permalink)
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USC very strong in second half. Were down 3 at halftime.
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Old 09-25-2005, 12:08 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Seems like there are a lot of backdoor covers...i have no evidence for this but intuitively if you play more underdogs you should get a lot more of those backdoor covers like I had Kentucky today...i am not even sure what happened as i was out of town...but i also had Oregon and i left the wedding they were up 13-0...came back saw the score 45-13!

You never know what to expect in gambling...that's why you have to wait till the last second of every game!
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Old 09-25-2005, 12:35 AM   #8 (permalink)
freebie
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mudcat
+1200 ML dog South Florida leading Louisville 38-7 late in the 3rd quarter.

Go figure.
Did you actually put money on +1200?
The most I would imagine anyone would put down is probably $25-$100?
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Old 09-25-2005, 01:07 AM   #9 (permalink)
Relentless
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+1200 is a nice line on that dog. Where did you find +1200?
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Old 09-25-2005, 02:27 AM   #10 (permalink)
aceking
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I had North Carolina to beat NC State , +400
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Old 09-25-2005, 02:30 AM   #11 (permalink)
LVHerbie
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Montreal514
Yeah I'm just wondering who else got screwed over this weekend by Utah's "let them score a TD on their last drive" to f*** up the spread and also by Florida's "let's not do anything in the second half" and allow them to score 3 unanswered TD's. Got screwed over by two BS backdoor covers this week. Doesn't matter to them because they still get the W though.
Obviously they don't care about the spread and one has to consider that when betting big favorites... but it works both ways and, theorically, should average out... For example I got screwed on the Purdue game today but was on the right side in the Air Force game...
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Old 09-25-2005, 07:31 AM   #12 (permalink)
jjgold
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Way too hard to predict colege kids performances as they are not pros and not as consistent as pros mentally or physically
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Old 09-25-2005, 08:32 AM   #13 (permalink)
EBone
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College used to be a bastian of money-grabbing for me. This year, I have absolutely sucked. No two ways about it. I need to re-evaluate.


E
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Old 09-25-2005, 09:14 AM   #14 (permalink)
Mudcat
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freebie
Did you actually put money on +1200?
The most I would imagine anyone would put down is probably $25-$100?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Relentless
+1200 is a nice line on that dog. Where did you find +1200?
No I didn't have money on it. I'm just always researching large ML dogs on a spreadsheet. On ncaaf, I'll only bet up to around +700 right now (but it's been a disaster so far this year).

I can't tell you exactly where I found it. I was checking a few books and I didn't make a note of it. Had to be either Pinnacle or Olympic.
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Old 09-25-2005, 09:42 AM   #15 (permalink)
THESCOUT
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Really! true genius, a profound truth revealed
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Old 09-25-2005, 10:20 AM   #16 (permalink)
sergfro
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The Louisville/South Florida game opened at -22 with 80% of the public on them. Line dropped to -19.5 go figure..sharps knew something was up
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Old 09-25-2005, 10:21 AM   #17 (permalink)
Relentless
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Mudcat, I have not found large ML dogs in college football to be a good bet, largely because of the increase in the spread between the fav and dog and the moneyline gets larger. Conversely, I would say betting on the large ML fav is even a worse bet. The lines seem to be pretty much on for these bets imo.
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Old 09-25-2005, 10:50 AM   #18 (permalink)
Mudcat
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Relentless