[manofmyth]

Ok, having an okay week so far. Got bit by the shankeroo football gods with TCU, but hey that's football right. Here's some plays I like Saturday.

Tennessee half -14 1 unit

I'm basically laying the 1 unit in expectation that Tenn shows up for Tenn HC Fulmer. With his announcement this week that he'll step down, I think this will be a motivational game for the Seniors and Juniors. They were all recruited by him, played tough for him, and will want to get everyones mind off of how bad they have played with a great showing for a weak road team in Wyoming. Wyoming doesn't play well on the road, and they're coming with some injuries to their QB, FB, WR's. If there were a time for Tenn to start playing, this would be the game. Reasoning for taking the half? I expect Tenn to come out strong, motivated, a weaker opponent. Don't think Wyoming will score much as Def will be on the attack. What does Tenn have to lose?

BYU/SDSU Over 59 1 unit

SDSU on the road, and playing at higher elevations just doesn't mix. They've played 2 of L3 games on the road in higher elevation, @ Wyoming L35-10, Wyoming isn't great, but had the advantage at home. 2 games before that, they traveled to New Mexico, another higher elevation stadium and got blown 70-7. Colorado St and BYU played last week to a shootout of 45-42, while Colorado St coming into that game was only avg 22pts a game. Either 2 things will happen, BYU will roll another big win against the bottom feeder of the MWC conference, or SDSU brings some kind of gameplan from the seas of San Diego to keep up. It'll be a plus if SDSU can put something on the board. Either way, this game should see points scored, with a majority of it in BYU's favor.

Vanderbilt +24 2 units

I like this matchup. This, to me that is, is just too many points coming off of that big win against Georgia last week. Gators put a lot into that game, evidenced by Tebow saying he hurt his foot. Tebow is gimpy with foot problems, backup QB has a hurt neck. Vandy is banged up as well, but I think HC Meyer doesn't want to unleash on the Commodores, he does have a game next week against "The Head Ball Coach" at home no less. As long as Vandy can limit the big pass plays, and play tough run D like that have all year, they should keep it close. All of Vandy's games have been close, the most points they've given up are 24 and that was to Georgia at Athens. A game that could've gone the other way. With injuries, and South Carolina coming up next week, Vandy should keep it close. I'll take the points at home with Vandy.

Utah St/Boise St Over50 2units

Utah St has been playing well lately, granted they are 2-7, but the last 2 games they've scored over 30pts a game. That has to give Utah St some sort of confidence travelling to Boise for this game on the Smurf Turf. Everyone knows the offensive capabilities of Boise St. Don't forget that Boise St's D has a lot of interceptions as well. If Boise St gets an early lead and forces Utah St's QB to throw, I think there might be 2+ INT's and if that happens, possibly a pick-6. As I've said in countless other threads, top-12 BCS teams right now need to win with conviction over mediocre teams to maintain their rankings. With Boise St playing Fresno St next week, HC Peterson will have his team focused. As said above, Utah St's O is geling right now, and their QB is getting more confidence, that should help with points being put up on Utah St's side. Even if Utah only scores 10-17 pts, that means Boise St only has to cover the other 40-33? I'll take may chances and take the over.

Florida St -5.5 3units

If you watched last weeks game against GTech, FSU should've lost that game by halftime. But, they made it close with a comeback, most impressive of a young team. Yah they lost on a way you don't want to lose. But i think that only gets them more geared for Clemson. They don't have to face that dreaded triple option attack that every team in the ACC is having nightmares gameplanning for. This is back to your old conventional rock-um, sock-um ACC football rivalry. As Pags said in his write-up, you're got to be kidding yourself if you don't think Tommy hasn't been talking to his pops and Amato about player tendencies. Wouldn't you?! So with coming of that loss, bad taste in their mouth. You know, Bowden and Co (and it is a company, with the way FSU has their coaches assigned) will roll over Clemson big. There isn't nothing more that'll please Bobby Bowden, then to kick Clemson's ass, and do it with vengence.

Also like Pags other plays see his thread for reasons; Iowa, Ok St, FSU, Louisville and NC St...Nebraska is a no play for me


****The lines shown above are from a local book I use****

[maritime]

Like the Tenn. play a lot.

[manofmyth]

still looking at some games, might have a couple more, will post them later tonight. But, I think Tenn handles Wyo quite easily.

[bdat2d]

so cuz...is this what you playing...LMAO... hey bro, i hope Nevada kicks butt for the first half...really wanna see you hit that 6 teamer!

[manofmyth]

more than likely, still sifting through the games and looking at what sticks out. There are a couple more o/u lines i like, waiting for tonight to get updated weather forecasts.

Hell yah i wanna nail that 6 teamer. Will definetly make this weekend a lil bit more exciting that's for sure. Will probably hedge it with a small play on Fresno St, just in case it doesn't pan out, at least i see something come my way. Debating on the amount, that's all.

[pags11]

GL manofmyth...

[bdat2d]

well GL... hit me when you make the drop... ... gotta fly under radar... b4 summer(hawaiian word for) finds out! know what i mean! K-den

[manofmyth]

thanks pags. GL to you as well. Will be adding a few of mines and a few of yours on a parlay.

Also thanks again for the advice earlier.

[masr]

nice write up manofmyth......good luck w/ your picks

not taking Nebraska?...I LIKE HUSKERS! heres a lil info if it helps
few angles: revenge factor-due to embarrasing 76-39 loss LY in Lawrence.This win gives NEB 6 wins to become bowl eligible.
Ganz is having just as good of year as Reesing and KANSAS has proven numerous times they cant count on their D.
NEB. avg 450 ypg of total Offense, and KU hasnt won in Lincoln since 1968...and pags likes them!!
I like all those angles Im taking HUSKERS!!

Lets cash in this weekend

[manofmyth]

Originally Posted by masr

nice write up manofmyth......good luck w/ your picks

not taking Nebraska?...I LIKE HUSKERS! heres a lil info if it helps
few angles: revenge factor-due to embarrasing 76-39 loss LY in Lawrence.This win gives NEB 6 wins to become bowl eligible.
Ganz is having just as good of year as Reesing and KANSAS has proven numerous times they cant count on their D.
NEB. avg 450 ypg of total Offense, and KU hasnt won in Lincoln since 1968...and pags likes them!!
I like all those angles Im taking HUSKERS!!

Lets cash in this weekend

masr,

i TOTALLY forgot about that game last year. I remember shaking my head in awe with the first half action. I like what the new HC is doing with Nebraska, and how Ganz has played at home. Saw the Texas Tech game, and Ganz really impressed me with his play. Didn't get the win, but got those good "knowledge lumps" that'll carry him on throughout the year. On the flip side, Kansas is like laying money against Brett Farve. When you side with him, he throws a couple pick-6's, when you go against him, he was a helluva game. I've got to say, i'm leaning towards Nebraska now that I have Pags insight and yours as well. Most assured I will be looking at that matchup tonight.

Nevada up 14-7 in 2nd qtr.......we're looking good!!!

[masr]

Yes looking good...that TD at the last play b4 half would have been nice...but no stopping Kap tonight!!
Congrats on your parlay winner!
I still have one more half to go...GO Wolfpack!!

[manofmyth]

Thanks. And yes, Kaepernick and Taua are looking good tonight.

[manofmyth]

Tennessee half -14 1 unit..........L
BYU/SDSU Over 59 1 unit........L
Vanderbilt +24 2 units
Utah St/Boise St Over50 2units...........W
Florida St -5.5 3units...........W

Adding

USC -20 5 units
Ok St +3 2 units
SJSU -8 1 unit