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Old 10-05-2008, 07:33 PM   #1
pags11
 
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Default Pags' Plays 10/11

plays to be posted soon...
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Old 10-05-2008, 07:46 PM   #2
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I know myself, and a horde of others, will be looking for them.
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Old 10-05-2008, 07:59 PM   #3
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gentlemen,

let's stay focused...
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Old 10-05-2008, 08:13 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
gentlemen,

let's stay focused...
Pags I love Tulsa over SMU big time. Hopefully, you will too. Congrats on the great week. I was huge on PSU, Tulsa, and Arizona. Well done man.
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Old 10-05-2008, 08:27 PM   #5
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gambler,

thank you...congrats on a great weekend...still in the process of finalizing everything...will keep you posted...
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Old 10-05-2008, 08:30 PM   #6
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i was a little hesitant about how your week would turn out when i saw all that chalk, but damn pags

GL this week man
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Old 10-05-2008, 08:44 PM   #7
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etothep,

thanks bud...
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Old 10-05-2008, 08:46 PM   #8
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Let's kill those books again this week Pags, and keep this thing rolling. I've already posted a huge list of leans....A lot of lines jumped out at me initially
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Old 10-05-2008, 08:52 PM   #9
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Pags,

Hey man, good luck this week and thanks for all your support and advice. Hopefully we tear it up again this week. Good luck and looking forward to your picks, got a few ideas on who you might bet so far.
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Old 10-05-2008, 09:22 PM   #10
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dbldown,

sounds like a plan...I'll take a look at that list...

toby,

no problem at all...I enjoy helping a good young capper like yourself...
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Old 10-05-2008, 09:24 PM   #11
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Looking forward to it. Last week was unreal, perfectly capped. The games seemed to use your write ups as a script.
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Old 10-05-2008, 09:51 PM   #12
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Hope you have many more days like yesterday!
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:05 PM   #13
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bosterosoy,

I appreciate you recognizing that...

jacey,
thanks very much...
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:13 PM   #14
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Pags, even though the score didn't indicate it, Oklahoma State didn't have a stellar game on offense. Texas A&M committed 5 first half turnovers in the game. The offense was a little uneven and for the first time this season, Oklahoma State went without a 100 yard rusher.

The good news is that the defense stepped up this game and forced the turnovers as well as some 3 and outs for the game. The defense continues to improve.

Pags, Gundy has been running a very vanilla offense all season so far. The reason is because he hasn't had to get too fancy just running over people and throwing the ball to Dez Bryant. I think the "real" playbook comes out of storage this week against Mizzou.

I'm mentioning this for this reason -- Mizzou's defense has not been tested this season. I can very easily see Oklahoma State matching Mizzou's scoring. Even if Oklahoma State doesn't have a stellar defensive performance, I'm not sure Mizzou can stop Oklahoma State. +13.5 points is way too many points to give two teams that I see pretty even offensively and defensively. I think this line has a possibility of going up to +14 or +14.5 before it's through.

What are you thinking?
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:31 PM   #15
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soonerbs,

I respect your analysis here, but I just can't get in Missouri's way, even with Oklahoma St...I'll be intersted to hear your thoughts on other games this week...
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:31 PM   #16
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PLAY NUMBER ONE:

TCU -14 (-110) for 3 units
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:42 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
PLAY NUMBER ONE:

TCU -14 (-110) for 3 units
Wow! I don't think I have ever seen you lay DD road chalk before. You feeling alright, Pags? Not that I don't disagree with you here because I fully see your reasoning behind it even though you haven't listed any reasons.

I stepped out and made an "off the cuff" play on BYU Friday night last week. It was a stupid play. I knew better in making it before I made it, but I still made it. I guess I needed to remind myself how foolish it is to make a play on a DD road dog without researching it and studying it well in advance.

That said, I know you researched this one. Colorado State had a big win for them last weekend and now it's time to come back to reality against a TCU team that could very easily win the rest of their games this season. I'll cheer it on for you, Pags . . . . . .
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:42 PM   #18
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Any opinion on these favorites?

Utah -22.5 - Wyoming is dead in the water
Nevada -19 - don't think NMSt can stop the pistol
Tex Tech -20.5 - Nebraska D won't stop Leach from running up the score
Ore St -29.5 - WSU can't stop the run or pass
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:47 PM   #19
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soonerbs,

pags actually popped his double digit road chalk cherry last week with PSU...try to say that five times fast
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:54 PM   #20
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soonerbs,

I had Penn St. -12 last week bud...I appreciate the support...

thorpe,

no opinion on those four games...

dave,

not much gets by you man...
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Old 10-05-2008, 10:54 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dave11486 View Post
soonerbs,

pags actually popped his double digit road chalk cherry last week with PSU...try to say that five times fast
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:01 PM   #22
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Oommm.....Oommm.......No distracted comments please, let the Pags-man stay focus on capping his winning picks....Oommm.....good for you.....good for me....oommmm....
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:02 PM   #23
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pag im with you after this amazing weekend i had, lets gets the books again.
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:06 PM   #24
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Big road favs are always risky....But I really like this pick Pags. TCU has a great defense. CSU shouldnt put up more than 10 points, and TCU should be able to score against CSU's defense
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:13 PM   #25
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sportsnut,



bumppinnee,

sounds like a plan...

doubledown,

I agree with your analysis on the TCU vs. CSU game...
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:22 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SoonerBS View Post
Pags, even though the score didn't indicate it, Oklahoma State didn't have a stellar game on offense. Texas A&M committed 5 first half turnovers in the game. The offense was a little uneven and for the first time this season, Oklahoma State went without a 100 yard rusher.

The good news is that the defense stepped up this game and forced the turnovers as well as some 3 and outs for the game. The defense continues to improve.

Pags, Gundy has been running a very vanilla offense all season so far. The reason is because he hasn't had to get too fancy just running over people and throwing the ball to Dez Bryant. I think the "real" playbook comes out of storage this week against Mizzou.

I'm mentioning this for this reason -- Mizzou's defense has not been tested this season. I can very easily see Oklahoma State matching Mizzou's scoring. Even if Oklahoma State doesn't have a stellar defensive performance, I'm not sure Mizzou can stop Oklahoma State. +13.5 points is way too many points to give two teams that I see pretty even offensively and defensively. I think this line has a possibility of going up to +14 or +14.5 before it's through.

What are you thinking?
I agree, which is why it was the first and quite possibly the last, time I bet in favor of A&M. I couldnt have accounted for 2 defensive touchdowns and a punt return for TD. Overall, on the field, it wasnt as bad as the score indicated.
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:23 PM   #27
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pags what do you think about Auburn/Arkansas. Arkansas got killed by Florida at home and this game is at Auburn. The line is even less (19)

Also Tulsa plays at SMU and is favored by 24. Tulsa should at least get in 60's against SMU (Rice got in the 70's)

I know Texas A&M is terrible, but getting 3.5 at home against Kansas State should be fine. K-State has been overrated all year
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15 Star Plays: 4-0 (+4.58 units)
10 Star Plays: 4-5-1 (-1.44 units)
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2008: College Football: 36-12 (+24.3 units)
2008: College Basketball: 127-86 (+34.0 units)
2009 College Basketball: 80-50-1 (Up $4340)
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:45 PM   #28
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mv,

I was impressed with Texas A&M's fight, but in the end the mistakes by then combined with Oklahoma St.'s offense wearing them down were too much...

tpowell,

I have no opinion on the Auburn vs. Arkansas game or the Kansas State vs. Texas A&M game...laying 25 with Tulsa seems like a lot doesn't it?...
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:47 PM   #29
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PLAY NUMBER TWO:

Kansas -14 (-102) for 3 units
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:47 PM   #30
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it does but Tulsa is the REAL BCS Buster and SMU gave up 70 to Rice and we all know what happened when Rice played Tulsa. I literally think that Tulsa hangs 70+ on SMU
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15 Star Plays: 4-0 (+4.58 units)
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2008: College Football: 36-12 (+24.3 units)
2008: College Basketball: 127-86 (+34.0 units)
2009 College Basketball: 80-50-1 (Up $4340)
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:48 PM   #31
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the arkansas/florida game was actually closer than the score shows. arkansas had a good amount of yardage on offense for the game. also, im not sure auburn can score 19 points...arkansas will probably be one of my top picks this week
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:51 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
Also Tulsa plays at SMU and is favored by 24. Tulsa should at least get in 60's against SMU (Rice got in the 70's)
rice got in the 70s against north texas, not smu


edit: a team tulsa "only" got 56 on

Last edited by etothep; 10-05-2008 at 11:55 PM..
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:55 PM   #33
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that is true, for some reason I thought it was SMU. Either way I think Tulsa drops 70+ on SMU. That SMU defense is a joke and Tulsa has an incredible offense
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15 Star Plays: 4-0 (+4.58 units)
10 Star Plays: 4-5-1 (-1.44 units)
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2008: College Football: 36-12 (+24.3 units)
2008: College Basketball: 127-86 (+34.0 units)
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Old 10-05-2008, 11:56 PM   #34
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tpowell,

I understand what you are saying...

the horse,

you are right about the late TD's by Florida...

etothep,

that is correct...
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Old 10-06-2008, 12:00 AM   #35
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to add to my comments on auburn...if there wasnt a fumble in the endzone tennessee would have beaten auburn at home. tennessee is awful, (i know, i went there and am a fan) tennessee beat norhern illinois 13-9 at home last week. auburn's offense is atrocious. dont think they cover the 19 that i am getting

i'm big on the pig this weekend
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