[angelodebo]

That data is my experience following those trends the past two years. Obviously it is not 100%, but whenever an underdog is one of the top picks (per vegasinsider) I fade that pick. Been very successful too.

TODAY'S TOP BETTING TRENDSRKTeamBet Type1Louisiana State TigersPoint Spread 2Florida GatorsPoint Spread 3Michigan WolverinesPoint Spread 4Missouri TigersPoint Spread 5Texas LonghornsPoint Spread 6Purdue BoilermakersPoint Spread 7Kentucky WildcatsPoint Spread 8Connecticut HuskiesPoint Spread 9Michigan St SpartansPoint Spread 10Washington HuskiesPoint Spread

Very rarely will and underdog make this board without the fav on the board too. For instance Uconn is on the board but Mich is higher.

[Domer]

Right now Purdue (an 11 pt underdog) is the #7 pick in country. Whenever an underdog is in the top picks group, I usually FADE.

95% of the time favorites are the top picks. So whenever the public jumps on an underdog....usually a recipe for disaster.

I like ND. I think they send a message and win easilty.

"Squares on a Dog" as the mantra goes. Solid fade logic...good post.

ND has a gigantic talent advantage, coaching advantage, and they're playing at home. I haven't bet on this myself only because I think the defense is enough of a question mark that I don't want to be pissed if ND wins by 7 or 10.