[shaggy3000]

profit it might be cause im a HUGE gator fan but how do you not take florida tomorrow? maybe its me being cocky but i would take florida all the way up to -55 and thats assuming miami(ohio) gets some freak defensive touchdown. they might as well be playing a high school team. please find a way to talk me out of this before i bet the house on florida in the first half, overall, and team total

[THE PROFIT]

Im not touching any of those 30+ spread games as of now, not even capping them, nothing to cap, its just how bad do they want to stomp them in the ground

[windwind]

Im not touching any of those 30+ spread games as of now, not even capping them, nothing to cap, its just how bad do they want to stomp them in the ground

good point

[Fischnasty]

beanie wells is hurt

[THE PROFIT]

Guys, one of the most intriguing games on the board is Cincy/Fresno St. With all the success Cincy had LY, but now has a new HC, against a team that got their ass handed to them in their bowl game as a huge favorite. I remember that game so well, had ALOT riding on Wyoming.

Anyway, at first glance you have to wonder why Cincy is now a dog in this matchup, but lets look closer.

Post season favs who were fav by 7+ & lose SU are 32-15 ATS on season openers
Fresno lost to Cincy LY 28-20, so there is a strong revenge factor now & Cincy is not near as loaded as LY.
Fresno is 31-12 ATS as non-conf dogs or favs of 3 or less
New head coaches are always an auto fade ATS

This is a tough pick to stomach either way, but this little bit of propaganda, I mean info, helps

Cincinnati heading out west to face Fresno State, however, is what makes me do a double take. The Bearcats were posted as 1 ½-point road favorites when the Hilton initially posted this line. Yet Pat Hill’s team will most likely be coming into this affair as a 2 ½-point home “chalk.”

VegasInsider.com’s expert handicapper Chip Chirimbes believes that change in the ranks is why the line is set as such. “Ryan Matthews may not still be at Fresno State, but they still have eight starters coming back on offense. Plus, Cincy is bringing Butch Jones into take over for Brian Kelly. It’s hard to think that Butch Jones has a coaching advantage over the Bulldogs’ Pat Hill.”

While Matthews was won of the best running backs in college last season, he is far from irreplaceable. Take into account that he rushed for 1,808 yards and had 122 receiving yards. Fresno State gained a total of 5,597 yards on the attack in 2009.

Sportsbook.com’s Dave Staley puts the Bulldogs into more perspective, where they are posted as three-point home faves. “(There are) 15 starters returning for Fresno State from a team that went 8-5 last year. Even though Ryan Matthews is now with the Chargers, there is still plenty of firepower on the offense.”



The ‘Dogs have four of their five offensive linemen coming back this year to protect senior quarterback Ryan Colburn. What is a big issue for Fresno State is how he will handle being the main man of the attack. Colburn was never asked to really carry the team at any point last season, reaching above 30 pass attempts just three times. The plus side for him is that he learned to make better decisions, evidenced by the fact Colburn had six interceptions in the first three games of the year and five picks the rest of the way.

Cincinnati holds the edge on the quarterback area with Zach Collaros taking over as a full-time starter. Collaros was called into duty on more than one occasion for Tony Pike in ’09. He completed 75 percent of his passes for 1,434 yards with 10 touchdowns and two picks. Collaros will also have three starters back on the o-line. And if that wasn’t enough, Armon Binns and D.J. Woods are back to provide reliable receiving targets.

Something else that gamblers should consider is how these teams have fared in meaningful games. Collaros guided the Bearcats to strong wins last season over Connecticut and West Virginia in consecutive weeks. You know the last two wins that the Bulldogs have had over BCS schools? Last year against Illinois and a 2007 triumph over Kansas State – two teams that were less than garbage at the time. Yet Fresno State are favored in this game.

“I’m a little surprised that only 29% of the bettors are on the Bearcats in this game,” says Dave Staley. I’m surprised, too.

[THE PROFIT]

Wiz, that is actually an argument for Fresno. When a sportsbook owner is saying he doesnt understand why only 29% of his bettors is on Cincy, that tells you something IMO, I will not mess with this game

[THE PROFIT]

Mizzou -12.5 1.1 to win 1

no need for a writeup, just outmatched. If this goes down it will be a board burier, but I dont see it happening

[shaggy3000]

Guys, one of the most intriguing games on the board is Cincy/Fresno St. With all the success Cincy had LY, but now has a new HC, against a team that got their ass handed to them in their bowl game as a huge favorite. I remember that game so well, had ALOT riding on Wyoming. Anyway, at first glance you have to wonder why Cincy is now a dog in this matchup, but lets look closer. Post season favs who were fav by 7+ & lose SU are 32-15 ATS on season openers Fresno lost to Cincy LY 28-20, so there is a strong revenge factor now & Cincy is not near as loaded as LY. Fresno is 31-12 ATS as non-conf dogs or favs of 3 or less New head coaches are always an auto fade ATS This is a tough pick to stomach either way, but this little bit of propaganda, I mean info, helps Cincinnati heading out west to face Fresno State, however, is what makes me do a double take. The Bearcats were posted as 1 ½-point road favorites when the Hilton initially posted this line. Yet Pat Hill’s team will most likely be coming into this affair as a 2 ½-point home “chalk.” VegasInsider.com’s expert handicapper Chip Chirimbes believes that change in the ranks is why the line is set as such. “Ryan Matthews may not still be at Fresno State, but they still have eight starters coming back on offense. Plus, Cincy is bringing Butch Jones into take over for Brian Kelly. It’s hard to think that Butch Jones has a coaching advantage over the Bulldogs’ Pat Hill.” While Matthews was won of the best running backs in college last season, he is far from irreplaceable. Take into account that he rushed for 1,808 yards and had 122 receiving yards. Fresno State gained a total of 5,597 yards on the attack in 2009. Sportsbook.com’s Dave Staley puts the Bulldogs into more perspective, where they are posted as three-point home faves. “(There are) 15 starters returning for Fresno State from a team that went 8-5 last year. Even though Ryan Matthews is now with the Chargers, there is still plenty of firepower on the offense.” The ‘Dogs have four of their five offensive linemen coming back this year to protect senior quarterback Ryan Colburn. What is a big issue for Fresno State is how he will handle being the main man of the attack. Colburn was never asked to really carry the team at any point last season, reaching above 30 pass attempts just three times. The plus side for him is that he learned to make better decisions, evidenced by the fact Colburn had six interceptions in the first three games of the year and five picks the rest of the way. Cincinnati holds the edge on the quarterback area with Zach Collaros taking over as a full-time starter. Collaros was called into duty on more than one occasion for Tony Pike in ’09. He completed 75 percent of his passes for 1,434 yards with 10 touchdowns and two picks. Collaros will also have three starters back on the o-line. And if that wasn’t enough, Armon Binns and D.J. Woods are back to provide reliable receiving targets. Something else that gamblers should consider is how these teams have fared in meaningful games. Collaros guided the Bearcats to strong wins last season over Connecticut and West Virginia in consecutive weeks. You know the last two wins that the Bulldogs have had over BCS schools? Last year against Illinois and a 2007 triumph over Kansas State – two teams that were less than garbage at the time. Yet Fresno State are favored in this game. “I’m a little surprised that only 29% of the bettors are on the Bearcats in this game,” says Dave Staley. I’m surprised, too.

my friend was talking about this game too. im taking cincy cause theyve beeen better and better every year and they seem to run scores up

[THE PROFIT]

Also, a little early teaser for fun for 1 unit. 1.4 to win 1

Mizzou-3
Georgia -20
Fla St -26

These should hit, will be back later in the afternoon with more serious plays, just wanted to get the early morning butterfly plays out of the way. Go Missouri

[shaggy3000]

two others that pop out to me is kentucky -3, think ths is the year they start getting things in order again. and purdue +11, they covered and played well in a bunch of games last year and no. dame is basically just a name at this point.

[RASHANANT]

I like your purdue pick shaggy,I was leaning towards that as well I dont think notre dame is gonna be that dominant, besides I think the former miami hurricane qb purdue has something to prove!

[RASHANANT]

florida really gonna miss teabow they dont have fight in them that teabow brought to the table, I think their offense is gonna really struggle this year, teabow did alot!

[shaggy3000]

florida really gonna miss teabow they dont have fight in them that teabow brought to the table, I think their offense is gonna really struggle this year, teabow did alot!

i know teebow did a lotand i dont want to turn this thread into a cheer for your team thread. but we do have a great quarterback that is a leader has proven he can win and will win by a bunch this year. we just got the kick we needed with the pick 6 and the flood gates are opening. florida is going to do big things this year year. the team knows it and most importantly for what were all here for. vegas knows it with the odds theyre giving florida for the year.... thats all ill say for florida so it doesnt become a cheer off. love this thread too much!


now we need mizz and its starting to look a lot better for us then it did in the first

[CappinTerp]

Nice write ups profit, good luck today.! So far Iam on1 game got WASH +2 OVER BYU. If the line moves more Imay go for a middle. That VT/BOSIE ST. SHOULD BE A GREAT GAME. Any opinion on that one.??

[THE PROFIT]

that BYU/Wash is a PK now, I like Wash but BYU should actually be faved by a lot more, one to leave alone IMO. I wish I had left Mizzou alone, those non blockin' fuks!

[THE PROFIT]

Michigan -3 1.1 to win 1
Clemson-28 1.1 to win 1

[shaggy3000]

Michigan -3 1.1 to win 1 Clemson-28 1.1 to win 1

lets turn this boat around

[itchypickle]

Got Clemson at 27 1/2 at BetJam Let's cash it Profit!

[THE PROFIT]

ok guys, Mizzou suked ass 1st half & passed opportunities to cover, so good thing I played that teaser to cover my losses. 1-1 on the day just losing juice, no biggie. Lets get this Michigan & Clemson & I'll have a play or two on the evening & late games

[THE PROFIT]

The 2 losses make me sick, even though not down a half unit, I HATE fukin losing. My goal every week is to be up by Monday night!
NEVER PAY THE FUKIN MAN!

[CappinTerp]

Chill brother your a good capper its a long season and many ,many more games to cap.!

[THE PROFIT]

Thanks terp, just like to have a good weekend out of the gate

[Rose']

Thanks terp, just like to have a good weekend out of the gate

Hey Profit how many games are you playing tonight? Sounds like you kno your stuff Im waiting on your picks for tonight

[bluegg]

NEVER PAY THE FUKIN MAN!

haha werd bruh

[shaggy3000]

you got a feeling on wash?

[THE PROFIT]

fuk Clemson!!!

Arkansas State +31 1.1 to win 1

[THE PROFIT]

I would stay away from the wash game & the fresno game tonight

[THE PROFIT]

both will be great games to watch but too much line movement, If I was gonna play I would take BYU & Cincy now with the fukin points

[THE PROFIT]

games arent until 7:10 so we have 10 minutes.

[THE PROFIT]

Eastern Mich +9.5 1.1 to win 1
Northwestern -3 1.1 to win 1

[THE PROFIT]

kinda like Bowling green getting the points but not an official play

[THE PROFIT]

2-1 on the night, N'western couldn't cover the 3 only winning by fukin 2!!!