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  1. #1

    Default I need everyones help, Buddy jamed up BAD!!!

    Ok short story he is down biggggggg. He needs a 2 team parlay on the games early games at 11 central tomorrow. Those games are. Why a 2 team parlay early you ask? Cuz he is only willing to loose $500 more this week, so he is going to try to hit the 11 games, 2:30 games and late games to knock a dent in his hole.

    South FL -9 vs. PIT

    VT -4 vs. VIG

    BC -14 vs. MAI FL

    NCST -2.5 vs MD

    I have looked at these for him for the past 2 hours. Best I have come up with is, VIG and the points, and BC -14

    He uses a local book, he has a tendency of jacking up fav lines when top teams are playing. I think he could get VIG at +5 or 6, no worse than 4.

    The BC might get jacked up to 15 at worse, im just guessing cuz i know the bookie.

    INPUT PLEASE!!!

  2. #2

  3. #3

    Default

    BC is one of the two....they will be highly motivated since they have lost 15 straight to Miami ..haven't beat them since that Doug Flutie pass...and this team is much better then Miami and is a home game as well..I think Virginia is the other choice as well...here's a write up on Virginia...

    Game: Virginia Tech at Virginia (Saturday 11/24 12:00 PM Eastern)
    Pick: Virginia +3.5


    It's been over a decade and a half since the Virginia Cavaliers mattered in College Football. They now host a very important game against their hated cross-state rival for a trip to the ACC title game vs. Boston College. Both teams have identical records SU (9-2) and both are 6-1 in-conference. Yet, Virginia is instilled as a home dog of more than a field goal. Yes, Tech has looked very good this year, winning games on average 29-15. But Virginia is right there. The Cavaliers average 24.4 per game and allow 17.5. Against four common opponents this season, both teams are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Under Frank Beamer, Virginia Tech is 14-26 ATS off a home conference win including 1-8 ATS if the Hokies scored 35+ points. Under Al Groh, Virginia is 28-14 ATS at home including 20-7 ATS vs. conference foes and 12-3 ATS as a home underdog! We think the home field advantage, and rabid crowd, makes a difference here. Take the home team in a pretty even matchup, getting points.

    GL on what ever decision you make...

  4. #4

    Default

    I would suggest money management as there are alot of games left until tuesday morning(time to meet the man)
    I wouldn't reccommend a two team parlay simply because if you risk 500, you are probaly only going to win 1300. It would be nice to win it but there is always the possibility of losing. If he picks the games individually, he's only out 50 bucks juice if he splits the two, and if he hits both he's got a grand back! If he loses the parlay he's done. Only my opinion, but I would pick the games I liked most and risk a few hundred each. Maybe even take BC for 500. Then put 200 on a later game. Save some for Sunday, cause the nfl seems to be easier to pick than college for me this year. GL either way.
    Last edited by chandler1981; 11-24-07 at 12:57 AM.

  5. #5

    Default

    I agree on the money management thing...an idea you could do is to do if bet's with the 2 teams ....$250 if bet team 1 then team 2.....$250 if bet team 2 then team 1....if only one wins you are almost even...if they both come in you've won based on playing with $1000 instead of $500...

  6. #6

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by crazyl View Post
    Tell your "friend" to attend one of these as soon as possible.

    http://www.gamblersanonymous.org/mtgdirTOP.html

  7. #7

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by chandler1981 View Post
    I would suggest money management as there are alot of games left until tuesday morning(time to meet the man)
    I wouldn't reccommend a two team parlay simply because if you risk 500, you are probaly only going to win 1300. It would be nice to win it but there is always the possibility of losing. If he picks the games individually, he's only out 50 bucks juice if he splits the two, and if he hits both he's got a grand back! If he loses the parlay he's done. Only my opinion, but I would pick the games I liked most and risk a few hundred each. Maybe even take BC for 500. Then put 200 on a later game. Save some for Sunday, cause the nfl seems to be easier to pick than college for me this year. GL either way.
    totally agree and remember this, "choices don't mean much when there's nothing much to choose from." your buddy has until monday night to close out the parlay. good luck.

  8. #8

  9. #9

    Default

    LOL you guys are not much help. Be supportive, I grinded my ass off on these to games for him, hell I only had 4 to pick from, im just taking orders from him. He said find me a two teamer on the 11 central games, I said OK, whats a friend to do?

    I do feel some what bad as I gave him two of my plays for today and got burned as I fall to 3-4 on the week.

    I really like BC, and VIG infact im adding them in my plays for tomorrow.

    BC -14
    VIG +4 mayb 5 ill check my friends book in the morning
    KY -2.5
    GO -3
    SOCAR +3
    MIZZ +2.5

    6-0 tomorrow boys to bring me to 9-4 on the week and I have 3 solid plays on Sunday.
    Last edited by xxProviderxx; 11-24-07 at 03:21 AM.

  10. #10

    Default

    if "GO" means Georgia, i'd be weary of that play, over 90% of public on UGA, yet line is 3.5. just saying, cause i'm superstitious when i see heavy one-sided action and hardly any line movement or worse a reverse line movement. as for the original post, i would have to go with V.T. and S.Flor

  11. #11

    Default

    only play for me Mizzou +1.5 Gl to all

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  12. #12

  13. #13
    wtt0315's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-18-07
    Posts: 5,456
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    Default

    ok i hate giving advice to someone in that shape, but since you asked I have been really really hot. these are my 4 picks

    georgia-4
    clemson-3
    kansas-2
    conn +19
    75pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/23/2012

    9,055

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    39th Place 11/1/2011

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY16th Place 5/25/2012


  14. #14

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by xxProviderxx View Post
    Ok short story he is down biggggggg. He needs a 2 team parlay on the games early games at 11 central tomorrow. Those games are. Why a 2 team parlay early you ask? Cuz he is only willing to loose $500 more this week, so he is going to try to hit the 11 games, 2:30 games and late games to knock a dent in his hole.

    South FL -9 vs. PIT

    VT -4 vs. VIG

    BC -14 vs. MAI FL

    NCST -2.5 vs MD

    I have looked at these for him for the past 2 hours. Best I have come up with is, VIG and the points, and BC -14

    He uses a local book, he has a tendency of jacking up fav lines when top teams are playing. I think he could get VIG at +5 or 6, no worse than 4.

    The BC might get jacked up to 15 at worse, im just guessing cuz i know the bookie.

    INPUT PLEASE!!!
    tell your buddy suck it up and forget it happened, pay the debt and move on. Forget trying to chase you will only lose more.
    If he wants to be hard headed and go for it then bet these games.

    ask LT profits who to bet for NHL rest of weekend also consensus between westsidepete cobra king and betplom
    check nba thread and bet down unders BB plays along with a consensus from leo and tevari for NBA
    college FB ask RICK
    pro and college ask onlooker

    I am confident these guys could line him up with the games to help this week then tell him to quit.

    but some times people don't like to share the games as the monkey could jump to their back from your buddies and no one wants the cold streak attack.

  15. #15

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by louisvillekid View Post
    if "GO" means Georgia, i'd be weary of that play, over 90% of public on UGA, yet line is 3.5. just saying, cause i'm superstitious when i see heavy one-sided action and hardly any line movement or worse a reverse line movement. as for the original post, i would have to go with V.T. and S.Flor

    No shit.

    90% on Georgia, Memphis and Ball State.

    I say 2 out of those 3 do not cover.

  16. #16
    wtt0315's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-18-07
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    i think georgia covers easily. Dont really care if 100 percent or 0 percent think that. I have never based my picks one what other thinks happen. I just go off my own accord i guess. Sometimes it works sometimes it don't Not many people predicted arkansas would win straight out yesterday. I was lucky to be one of the few. I dont know about memphis and ball state.
    75pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/23/2012

    9,055

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    39th Place 11/1/2011

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY16th Place 5/25/2012


  17. #17

  18. #18

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by wtt0315 View Post
    i think georgia covers easily. Dont really care if 100 percent or 0 percent think that. I have never based my picks one what other thinks happen. I just go off my own accord i guess. Sometimes it works sometimes it don't Not many people predicted arkansas would win straight out yesterday. I was lucky to be one of the few. I dont know about memphis and ball state.
    It comes down to the fact that books don't like to just give away money. If 90% of the public is dropping money on a side and the line does not move to even it out, that should tell you something.

  19. #19

  20. #20
    wtt0315's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-18-07
    Posts: 5,456
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    ok i guess only time will tell. Like i said i have been right and have been wrong, wont be the first or last time Good luck to you guys on todays games.
    75pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/23/2012

    9,055

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    39th Place 11/1/2011

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY16th Place 5/25/2012


  21. #21

    Thumbs down

    Obviously, your buddy has a huge gambling problem. You should advise him to get help instead of trying to get him 2 teams parlay & 2 more later... You are helping him digging the hold bigger & bigger.. You are not a friend.. You are screwing him more.. And for those mo.rons are giving him picks are not helping neither... This is ridiculous...

    My math model showed Virginia Tech is going to whoop
    Virginia at their home field. It's time to face the reality, buddy.

    GL

    Quote Originally Posted by xxProviderxx View Post
    Ok short story he is down biggggggg. He needs a 2 team parlay on the games early games at 11 central tomorrow. Those games are. Why a 2 team parlay early you ask? Cuz he is only willing to loose $500 more this week, so he is going to try to hit the 11 games, 2:30 games and late games to knock a dent in his hole.

    South FL -9 vs. PIT

    VT -4 vs. VIG

    BC -14 vs. MAI FL

    NCST -2.5 vs MD

    I have looked at these for him for the past 2 hours. Best I have come up with is, VIG and the points, and BC -14

    He uses a local book, he has a tendency of jacking up fav lines when top teams are playing. I think he could get VIG at +5 or 6, no worse than 4.

    The BC might get jacked up to 15 at worse, im just guessing cuz i know the bookie.

    INPUT PLEASE!!!
    Last edited by Dr. Sports; 11-24-07 at 12:46 PM.

  22. #22

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by louisvillekid View Post
    if "GO" means Georgia, i'd be weary of that play, over 90% of public on UGA, yet line is 3.5. just saying, cause i'm superstitious when i see heavy one-sided action and hardly any line movement or worse a reverse line movement. as for the original post, i would have to go with V.T. and S.Flor
    well , my parlay hit. too bad i didn't play it myself.

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