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Old 11-02-07, 04:41 PM   #1
EaglesPhan36
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Default New Mexico-TCU

Another week where TCU is still being considered a favorite in a game I believe the opposition should/could outright win the game.

NM & TCU have nearly identical stats on offense, but the edge should go to the Lobos with QB Donovan Porterie quietly becoming a solid MWC guy whereas redshirt frish Andy Dalton for TCU is still prone to making big mistakes. Lobos have already scored road wins vs. Arizona and Wyoming and TCU just is not the same team that people associate them being from previous seasons. NM's defense has also stepped up its turnover rate recently which should help vs. the young QB.

TCU does get a boost on D with the probable return of DE Tommy Blake, but he will likely play sparingly. They could be hurt on offense with RB Aaron Brown questionable to play.

I like NM +3.5 and NM ML in this one as fading TCU has been a fairly good profit this season with them being 2-5-1 ATS.
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Old 11-02-07, 05:36 PM   #2
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I would have to agree
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Old 11-02-07, 07:30 PM   #3
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EagelesPhan36

Good write-up on why New Mexico should win. I however will be on the other side T.C.U. comming off a home loss and really hasn't showed up this year. I think a over confident NM team arrives and T.C.U will be able to cover the short number at home.
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Old 11-03-07, 01:14 AM   #4
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TCU -4 for me. I should of waited and got the -3.5, but hopefully that half a point won't matter.
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Old 11-03-07, 02:28 AM   #5
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TCU's season was over after they lost to Texas. New Mexico is good, and TCU has already lost at home this season to a supposedly inferior team/ NM by 3-6
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Old 11-04-07, 03:38 PM   #6
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Onlooker

Way to get on a TCU bounce back!
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