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Wednesday Plays

Buffalo -3 (-125). 4 units

Ball St. +14 (-110). 2 units

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Buffalo vs. Mia, OH.

Buffalo has lost 3 straight, tough games and now faces 1-10 Mia, OH. I hate playing the due factor because it is a stupid philosophy, but I just don't see a Turner Gill team losing 4 in a row, let alone to Mia, Oh.

Buff has the better offense and should score at will tonight, hopefully the D can do their part.

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CMU vs. Ball St.

Backing 1-9 Ball St for the following reason, they never get blown out of games and find a way to stay in it. Hopefully that will hold true tonight and feel 14 is just to many to give this team at home.

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Ball St average loss margin is around 9.1 points, and if you take out the only game they got blown out, 24 pt loss at Auburn, it drops to around 7 points.

I will take my chances with this generous spread at home.

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Adding

Buff/Mia Over 25.5 1st half (-105). 2 units

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Buffalo -3 (-125). 4 units

Ball St. +14 (-110). 2 units

Buff/Mia Over 25.5 1st half (-105). 2 units

1-2 for (-$30)

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Thursday LEANS

Colorado +17

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Actually gonna lock this play in now because think it will drop to 16.5 or 16 by kickoff.

Colorado +17 (-110). 3 units

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Friday

Utah St +23 (-110). 2u

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Friday

Akron +11 (-120). 2 units

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Saturday Leans (Not Plays)

Ohio St -11.5

Nwestern +7

Mary/FSU Over 59

NC +3.5

Wyoming +31.5

UCONN +6

Air Force +10

UTEP -6.5

SDSU +20

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Lockin in the following plays

Wyoming +31.5 (-110). 5u

Mary/FSU Over 59 (-110). 2u

NC +3.5 (-110). 2u

UTEP -6.5 (-110). 2u

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And

Air Force +10 (-110). 2u

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Staying away from the B10 and not 100 percent confident in SDSU.

Appreciate thoughts/feedback.

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Forgot 1 play

Uconn +6 (-110). 2u

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PLAYS

Buffalo -3 (-125). 4 units

Ball St. +14 (-110). 2 units

Buff/Mia Over 25.5 1st half (-105). 2 units

Colorado +17 (-110). 3 units

Utah St +23 (-110). 2u

Akron +11 (-120). 2 units

Wyoming +31.5 (-110). 5u

Mary/FSU Over 59 (-110). 2u

NC +3.5 (-110). 2u

UTEP -6.5 (-110). 2u

Air Force +10 (-110). 2u

Uconn +6 (-110). 2u

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Colorado at Okla St.

The Buffs will keep up with Ok St on the scoreboard. Contemplated taking the over, but feel the Buffs is a stronger play and don't see them losing by more than 10.

Not sure the extent of Robinson's head injury, but would still make this play even if he is 100 percent, just to many points for Ok St. to cover. The Buffs will keep this one close.

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Boise St at Utah St.

Again, just too many points in this spot. Boise has the pressure of staying unbeaten, every team in the conference wants to knock them off, Utah St is in front of the home crowd, and Boise almost got beaten in their last road game.

Even though the world will probably be on Boise St. I expect to see a little RLM and see this one dropping down to 21 by kickoff. IMO, it won't matter because I don't see them winning my more than 17 in this spot and it would not surprise me if the outcome was still in doubt in the 4th.

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In addition, Utah St. is 3-1 at home with its only loss coming to Nevada 35-32.

This one should be tight down the stretch, however even if its in the teens, I don't see it hitting the 20s.

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Akron at BGU

Akron sucks on the road (0-5) and BGU sucks at home (1-3), first indication to play the points.

In the past 6 h2h, only 1 meeting was over the set spread, 2nd indication to play the points.

Finally, pressure, BG has won 2 straight, need 1 more win to become bowl eligible (doubt they even get in even with a win, but hey 6 wins is bowl eligible), and their in front of the hometown crowd. Akron has nothing to lose and can play loose, leading to fewer mistakes.

Call it more of a BG fade or whatever, but Akron will keep this one within single digits.

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MD at FSU

Maryland gives up 32.7 points per game while FSU isn't much better giving up 30.6 points per game.

Over is 8-3 in FSU last 11 home games.

The past 2 h2h have gone under the posted total but I don't see that happening here for two reasons:

1. Maryland has lost 5 straight and are 2-8 and I'm entering the we don't give a shit plan, air it out.

2. FSU is having another mediocore season and needs 1 more win to become bowl eligible, plus they have put up 41, 24, 45, 30, 44 in their last 5 games.

Bottom line I need at least 20 from Maryland and FSU will handle the rest.

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NC at BC

NC has won the last 2 h2h and are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak.

That doesn't really hold too much weight because BC is riding a 2 game winning streak and hold a 6-0 home record.

I don't give a shit if their undefeated at home, vegas is giving me the hook and I am playing this game because of one variable, NC's D.

NC's D will keep this within a FG, win or lose, they cover this one on the road.

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UCONN at ND

Huskies 9-1 ATS in their last 10 overall.

ND 2-7 ATS in their last 9 overall.

ND 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs Big East.

UCONN entering this match up on a 3 game skid by a combined 10 points, if that does not piss you off and make you hungry for a win, I don't know what the heck would.

ND lost last 2 overall.

Key Point: The Irish Fn Suck.

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Throw in the fact that UCONN can get to the 500 mark with a win after the stuff they have overcome this season, I will take my chances with the harder nosed team against a bunch of pansy from South Bend.

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AF at BYU

AF gives up 13.3 points per game

BYU is not great at home with a 2-2 mark.

BYU has taken the last 5 h2h (No school would forget this stat, let alone a military school).

I know what kind of effort I am going to get from AF and feel they match up well against BYU.

10 points is too many here, this game will be decided by 4 or less IMO.

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UTEP at Rice

Rice has took the past 3 h2h

Rice gives up 41.5 pts per game while only averaging 17.5 pts per game, a difference of -24

UTEP gives up 35.1 pts per game while averaging 27.7, a difference of -7.4

UTEP has lost its last 3 by a combined 16 pts, not extremely low, but for their style of play, its pretty low margin.

I'm not saying Rice won't score, I'm just saying I don't see UTEP stopping at any point putting points on the board, on the road or not.

UTEP rolls by 17

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TCU at Wyoming (Big Play)

Oh where to start

I'm getting 31.5 points with a 7-2 ATS team at home

In the past 5 h2h, only 1 (most current) has even came close to this number.

Playing the pressure factor as well, going on the road against a conference foe, with everything to lose.

I just feel the home team will show up and be competitive and would not be shocked if TCU lost, yes I will say it again, I would not be shocked if TCU lost.

However, I will gladly take the generous spread because I just don't see them losing by this number.

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Let me have it, want to hear some feedback.

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Actually gonna lock this play in now because think it will drop to 16.5 or 16 by kickoff. Colorado +17 (-110). 3 units

1-0. +300

WTD: 2-2. +270

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Utah St +23 (-110). 2u

Akron +11 (-120). 2 units

rough night, 0-2. -460

wtd: 2-4. -$190

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SATURDAY'S CARD

Wyoming +31.5 (-110). 5u

Mary/FSU Over 59 (-110). 2u

NC +3.5 (-110). 2u

UTEP -6.5 (-110). 2u

Air Force +10 (-110). 2u

Uconn +6 (-110). 2u

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sounds good line

good luck buddy

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i don't know why i took Northwestern off my list, still might play it.

i agree with you on the Buckeyes, just can't get myself to pull the trigger, might need to throw a few back