WAYNE ROOT
2009 Football Upset Club
Friday, November 13, 2009
3*Cincinnati (-9½) over West Virginia
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WAYNE ROOT
2009 Football Upset Club
Friday, November 13, 2009
3*Cincinnati (-9½) over West Virginia
SBR Founder Join Date: 9/4/2005
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
West Virginia (7-2, 2-6 ATS) at (5) Cincinnati (9-0, 5-3 ATS)
The Bearcats will be shooting for their first 10-0 start in school history when they welcome the Mountaineers to Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati for a Big East matchup between two of the top three teams in the conference.
Cincinnati sits atop the Big East at 9-0, including 5-0 (4-1 ATS) in conference action. The Bearcats rallied to beat Connecticut on Saturday, winning 47-45 but failing as 16½-piont home favorites. Backup QB Zach Collaros will be making his fourth straight start for the injured Tony Pike, who has recovered from a broken non-throwing forearm and is also expected to see some action tonight.
Cincinnati’s offense is third in the nation at 482.6 yards per game and fifth at 40 points per game and has excelled with either QB under center. Pike threw 15 TDs and just three INTs in six starts this season while Collaros has added a running dimension to the position. In Saturday’s win over the Huskies, Collaros racked up 480 passing yards, 75 rushing yards and three TDs, helping the Bearcats to a school-record 711 total yards. However, the stout Cincinnati defense yielded a season-high in points – more than they had given up in the previous three games combined – and let UConn rush for 201 yards and four scores.
The Mountaineers sit in third place in the Big East at 3-1 (1-3 ATS) against conference foes. West Virginia is coming off a 17-9 home win over Louisville on Saturday, coming up well short as a 17½-point favorite. Star RB Noel Devine, second in the Big East with 1,007 rushing yards, injured his ankle in the victory but is expected to suit up tonight. The Mountaineers defense has allowed 24 points or less in five of their last six games, but in their two toughest road games (at South Florida and at Auburn), they yielded season-highs of 30 and 41 points.
The road team, and underdog, has won five of the last six meetings (4-1-1 ATS) between these two, including Cincinnati’s 26-23 win in West Virginia last year, cashing as a seven-point ‘dog. Prior to last year, the Mountaineers had won three straight and eight of Nine in this rivalry, but they’re 1-3-1 ATS in the last five series clashes. West Virginia has won seven in a row in Cincinnati and was the last visiting team to win at Nippert Stadium, as it went there as the nation’s fifth-ranked team in November 2007 and scored a 28-23 victory over the 21st-ranked Bearcats, but failed to cover as a 5½-point road favorite. Since that game, Cincy has won 11 consecutive home games.
West Virginia has failed to cash in four straight games and is on additional ATS slides of 6-14 overall, 1-4 on the road, 1-5 in Big East games, 1-4 on Fridays and 0-4 against teams with winning records. The Bearcats are on ATS streaks of 8-2 in conference action, 6-2-1 in November games, 6-2 against winning teams and 6-1 at home against opponents with winning road records.
The Mountaineers are on “over” runs of 17-6 in November, 5-2 on the road, 7-0 as an underdog and 5-1 against teams with winning records. Conversely, Cincinnati is on “under” streaks of 5-2 overall, 10-4 at home, 13-6 as a home favorite and 5-1 in November games. Finally, the last two meetings between these teams at Nippert Stadium stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CINCINNATI
SBR Founder Join Date: 9/4/2005
Mr. East 11/13
MREAST NCAAF FRIDAY UNDER THE RADAR SPECIAL
#115 W. VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS @ #116 CINCINNATI BEARCATS 8:00PM EST
PLAY ON #115 W. VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS
SBR Founder Join Date: 9/4/2005
There is a service plays forum, for this stuff.
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WINNER
05/21/2012
SBR Founder Join Date: 9/4/2005