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Old 11-07-09, 08:58 AM   #1
strictlywinners
 
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Default 3 Big Money Plays Today

Lets hope they cash, all the lines seem extremely Sharp today, I found 3 where there seems to be a real edge.

Indiana +10.5
All everyone see's is the fact that Indiana lost by 18 to Iowa, how quickly we forget that they should have won that game outright, yes I know Iowa keeps everyone in the game, but Indiana is a solid team, and they will not only be in this Wisconsin game but will have a chance to win.
Reason the line is so high-Wisconsin destroyed Purdue last week, Purdue was viewed as an above average offensive team, therefore odds makers set the line a little higher then it should be. Line should have been 7 to 7.5, this creates great value in Indiana.

Georgia Tech -14
I'm not a big history guy, when it comes to picks, but I think it is relavant here. Gtech has not covered a spread this big against Wake Forest in 9 years, but Gtech has never been a double digit favorite. The last to times they were in 2000 -26.5 they covered and in 1998 -17.5 they covered. I feel this is same scenerio today, not only will they win they should win big.
Reason the line is dropping-Line opened at -16 and is down to -14 and there is some reverse line movement which I know alot of you track, I used to as well. Here I'm pretty sure line is dropping because sharps are betting the line down, everyone saw how tough Wake Forest played Miami last week, the should have won the game. Well this week they face an offense completely different from Miami's the triple option which is almost impossible to defend. Espcially when you just lost a heart breaking game, I can't imagine these players were in the best of spirit all week at practice when preparing to defend Gtech. Gtech should be easy victory.

Stanford +7 Stanford Moneyline
Probably my best of the day, and the one I know everyone will hate on me for.Stanford has some spotty losses on their record, but there is 1 common denominator to all of there losses. They were all on the road, that right Stanford is undefeated at home. Now they have a chance to make a statement against an overrated Oregon team that just beat USC, well not just beat crushed USC, this is why the line is climbing and giving us incredible value on Standford. Like I said this is my best of the day, Stanford will play inspired today and Oregon won't know what hit them.
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Old 11-07-09, 09:08 AM   #2
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Wisco is good, very good...John Clay might be in the 180-200 yd 3 td range today for the Badgers..
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Old 11-07-09, 09:11 AM   #3
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I think the GT lined dropped due to Riley Skinner playing today.
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Old 11-07-09, 09:15 AM   #4
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Yea doesn't scare me, I love when line adjustments are made for players coming back or players being out, I always go against team that has player coming back, and go with the team that is down a man.
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Old 11-07-09, 02:56 PM   #5
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Well first game went just as I said.
1-0
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Old 11-07-09, 03:01 PM   #6
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lucky Clay didnt play in the second half...he had 136 and 1 td after 1.5 quarters
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Old 11-07-09, 03:08 PM   #7
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Its not luck its part of the game. I was unlucky that my team turned the ball over twice in the redzone. Indiana was the right play. Every sucker took Wisc. and is now crying.
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