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Old 11-04-09, 12:10 PM   #1
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Default What is going on with this Texas A&M line?

This line opened at Texas A&M -4.5 and -5 in some books. It is now down to -2.5 in some and -3 in almost all. Not only that, I found that it is paying +105 in a few books. My local has standard -105 newspaper lines 99% of the time, especially for college football. I locked in this bet at -2.5 (-105) earlier in the week for one of my picks for the weekend but now am a bit hesitant. Even his line moved to Texas A&M -3 but is at even(+105). His lines are never adjusted unless there is alot of movement so this seems a bit fishy to me.

WHY THE MOVEMENT?
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Old 11-04-09, 06:35 PM   #2
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texas A&M cost me 2 weeks back.... they sux... who ever they are playing i am picking them...
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Old 11-04-09, 07:20 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by drfunkmaster View Post
texas A&M cost me 2 weeks back.... they sux... who ever they are playing i am picking them...
I have watched A&M play three times this year, and seen a different team show up in each game. I just can't figure them out.
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Old 11-04-09, 07:30 PM   #4
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The angle to consider in this game is the fact that Colorado has quit on their coach. A&M has come alive recently and should blow Colorado out
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Old 11-04-09, 07:41 PM   #5
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COLORADO opened +4.5/+4....Now +2.5
This is one of those plays, which makes it difficult to know whether or not the Betting Syndicates are truely taking a "position"...or are simply looking to work a profitable middle...on and around the "key number" of 3...Because the first off-shore sportsbook to offer a line on this game, the Greek...hung up A&M -4...and took some money on the "fav"...The Greek moved the line to -4.5, and that is where CRIS opened their's...Once again, the books took some more money on A&M and by the end of the night...the line was -5, all across the board...That's where it stood on Monday, and where we saw most of the books here in Vegas also open it up...Until that is, the Outfits made what appeared to be a simple "buy-back"...which prompted the sportsbooks to drop the line back down, in 1/2 pt incriments...That all changed this morning...because the Wiseguys finally opted to show their true intentions, and began buying up all the +4, +3.5, & even +3's that were out there...Most books didn't want to play the cat & mouse game and went to 2.5 immediately, bypassing such a "key number"...While others, not wanting to entice such a profitable middle opportunity...went to +3 (-115 & -120) instead...Because as we touched upon on past blogs, the books are aware that the Betting Syndicates don't like to lay "vig" on "point-spread" sports...Finally, we are now seeing either 2.5...or 3, with the added vig...
LINE PREDICTION : It's no secret where the betting public will be putting their money on for this match-up...the "fav", TEX A&M...This is why I believe that the line for this game will eventually get to -3, everywhere...And those who went to 2.5, I think made a mistake by offering up such a profitable middle...The only way I can see this line moving now, is back up...as the public begins betting the game...or the Wiseguys decide to work that middle...Either way, if you like the fav...I would get down now, otherwise...wait this line out and you should get the best possible number on the dog, late...VR
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Old 11-04-09, 08:33 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by sweetpete57@ View Post
The angle to consider in this game is the fact that Colorado has quit on their coach. A&M has come alive recently and should blow Colorado out
Not only that...

BOULDER — Sophomore running back Darrell Scott informed his coaches Tuesday afternoon of his intent to leave the University of Colorado football program. Head coach Dan Hawkins said Scott, a 6-foot-1, 220-pound tailback from Ventura, Calif., is leaving for assorted personal reasons and assumed he would be transferring closer to his Southern California home.

He is one of the better kick return guys in the Big 12, and he isn't going to be seen again in a Buff's uniform. It might not matter at this point for Colorado, and I am not sure what kind of impact he made in the locker room, but it's a strange scenario, and you have to wonder what it says about the program and the coach.
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Old 11-08-09, 05:15 PM   #7
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There it is... Pick texas A&M opponent and its money..!!!!!
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Old 11-09-09, 04:08 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rio DiNero View Post
I have watched A&M play three times this year, and seen a different team show up in each game. I just can't figure them out.
They're an extremely young team. They are great at home, and the exact opposite on the road.
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Old 11-09-09, 04:18 AM   #9
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They're an extremely young team. They are great at home, and the exact opposite on the road.
Add the fact that they suck.
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Old 11-09-09, 11:09 AM   #10
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For those of you who do not keep track, and aparently there are many in here, Texas A&M is now 4-4-1 ATS. They are 3-1-1 at home, and 1-3 away. That should pretty much answer any Texas A&M questions.
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