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  1. #1

    Default Bowling Green Vs. Buffalo U anyone?

    Any thoughts on this game?
    All analysis welcome.

  2. #2

    Default

    crappy mac teams, I think Buffalo has performed better than expected this year. Nothing surprising from past schedule, both won and lost when expected. BG mostly passes while Buffalo has a more balanced attack. First glance I like Buff to win, but seems like a sharp line

  3. #3

    Default

    http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-handicapping/260298-wals-college-football-week-10-a.html#post2489568

    I took the OVER, but that was before I saw the weather report. http://www.weather.com/outlook/event...ball_teamsched

    I think this game is impossible to cap the spread, b/c both of these teams are horrific. This looks like am inclement weather UNDER play. But I took the OVER B4 looking into the game. DAMN.
    1381pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/21/2012


  4. #4

    Default

    over? Buff has a slightly above avg pass D and thats all BG does. If they can shutdown BGs star reciever Barnes then they should cover, but thats a big IF. They've connected for a lot of a yards this year and no one they've played has really completely shut them down. Buff probably isn't the team to do it. BG can't run the ball and buff has them beat there also. Like I said, like Buffalo here but the lines probably right.

  5. #5

    Default

    I lean under but I learned never underestimate how bad MAC defenses are

  6. #6

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  10. #10

    Default

    This is definitely a teaser game. I got BG at +9.5

  11. #11

    Default

    like BG and the under, they've both played well at times this year and I could see this becoming a pretty even matchup where both teams are struggling with their offense

  12. #12

    Default

    Bowling Green +3½
    1000pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    5/25/2012

    421pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY6th Place 5/26/2012

    1000pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    5/25/2012

    CHARITY DONOR
    12/13/2011 $25 donation

    5,000pts

    ARMY OF
    ROMANS
    12/12/2011

    21-11 +8.95

    6,067

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    85th Place 11/1/2011

    1000pts

    SBR WORLD
    POKER CUP
    3rd Place 2012

    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 5/21/2012


  13. #13

    Default

    Who has had tougher competition? are they passing teams, rushing teams or both? Does Buffalo play well at home? Is BG a good road team?

  14. #14

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Boddhissatva View Post
    Who has had tougher competition? are they passing teams, rushing teams or both? Does Buffalo play well at home? Is BG a good road team?
    Bowling green has a good passing offense ...crap running the ball, Buffalo has a good backup running back after starks went down they can throw as well im on the over 53 bad weather or not there will be turnovers and missed tackles leading to big plays these are two crap mac defenses with crap pass rushes. picking a side in this is imo both are crap teams i'd lean Buffalo just because they can run the ball and are @home but staying away from the sides gl.

  15. #15

  16. #16

    Default

    I am on the under tonight. 40% chance of rain during the game.

  17. #17

    Default

    they've both played some ranked teams and gotten killed, they've both beaten easy teams they should beat too. nothings surprising from their schedule

  18. #18

    Default

    bowling green +3 1/2
    4900pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/22/2012


  19. #19

    Default

    I like BG +3.5 too.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012

    SBR Founder Join Date: 10/4/2005


  20. #20

    Default

    o/u up to 56 at some spots now

  21. #21

    Default

    I think this game points to the under. Bowling Green at 23.6ppg, and Buffalo at 23.1ppg. Bowling Green has played 7 straight to the under as a road dog, and 9-1 overall in their last 10 as a dog. Bulls are at 4 straight to the under at home vs a road team with a losing record. On top of all that, the weather isn't great. who else likese the under?

  22. #22

    Default

    Yea the Over looks dicey. I wanted to make a small play on Buffalo Team Total, however it's set at 29. That's why to much.

    I think Bulls win it, but i see a 28-17 game, or 24-20. Dont see it in the 30's.

  23. #23

  24. #24

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    Majority of people it appears are on BG... games like this, no offense, but I like to fade the board....

  25. #25

    Default

    weather must not be too bad o/u up to 57

  26. #26

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    I took Buffalo -3.5. I like that they seem to have a balanced attack and a decent defense and am hoping a wet ball may lead to some mistakes in Bowling Green's passing game. Good luck to you all!

  27. #27

    Default

    Tough to pick games like this , would you bet this game if played on Saturday ?
    12,665

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    19th Place 11/1/2011


  28. #28

    Default

    Playing the home team -3.
    5,000pts

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    20-10 +9.15

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  29. #29

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pokernut9999 View Post
    Tough to pick games like this , would you bet this game if played on Saturday ?
    Most people probably wouldnt.....although I see value in taking B.G. +3.5 and ML.

    You're point doesnt make much sense though since most people lose money on saturdays too

  30. #30

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by pokernut9999 View Post
    Tough to pick games like this , would you bet this game if played on Saturday ?
    Good point but I need action and no NBA for me. Had the
    Lakers the other night -3.5 second half. The won the third
    quarter 34-20 and I lost my bet. No NBA.
    5,000pts

    ARMY OF
    ROMANS
    12/12/2011

    20-10 +9.15

    CHARITY DONOR
    12/7/2011 $25 donation


  31. #31

    Default

    Bowling Green ML
    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 3/3/2012

    1000pts

    SBR WORLD
    POKER CUP
    3rd Place 2012


  32. #32

    Default

    Only important injuries of note:

    BOWLING GREEN: DB P.J. Mahone is back this week after serving a 6 game suspension. Even after missing that much time, he is still the #7 tackler on the team.

    BUFFALO: RB IKE NDUKA has been upgraded to probable and Gill hopes he can handle the bulk of the carries tonight.In 7 games this year he has 5TDs on 88 attempts with a 6.5/yard per carry average.

  33. #33

  34. #34

    Default

    I usually do pretty decent in weeknight games but this game has me pretty baffled..might just play with the NBA tonight

  35. #35

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    Taking BG small just to have action !!!!!!!!!!!

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