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Old 10-26-09, 11:28 PM   #1
Boddhissatva
 
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Default Memphis vs East Carolina on Tuesday?

Any picks? Anyone?

who wins and why?

Memphis is +4.

Memphis is terrible...but then again...East Carolina aint all that either. But then...Memphis managed to defeat UTEp.

Anyone have insight in this game?
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Old 10-26-09, 11:32 PM   #2
iwantcougars
 
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here's some interesting stuff http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...9-ecu-4-a.html
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Old 10-26-09, 11:34 PM   #3
Boddhissatva
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iwantcougars View Post
$hit...I missed that thread. Sorry for the duplicate thread guys.
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Old 10-27-09, 05:46 AM   #4
LINE-crush-ER
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boddhissatva View Post
Any picks? Anyone?

who wins and why?

Memphis is +4.

Memphis is terrible...but then again...East Carolina aint all that either. But then...Memphis managed to defeat UTEp.

Anyone have insight in this game?
hate to ask you this But I think maybe you are in my mafia
I used to see that picture all the time
when i did the mafia wars
to answer your question
ive disected tis game from top to bottom
really wanted to get off of that game but from earlier comments made a few guys took it as a pick
so i wanted to validate that pick
after so many strategies and about 4 hours
all ive got is
East Carolina is better in 5 out of 6 categories in strategy I use
but this one is way down the line in a procedures I would use in order
In fact its not much higher than a coin toss
but never the less they are entirely favored in that strategy
OFFENSE
East carolina averages 329 total yards
agains the 405 allowed by memphis (EM1)
east carolina averages 131 yards rushing
memphis allows on average 186 (em2)
em total yards passing pg 198
memphis allows 218 (em3)
DEFENSE
memphis total yards per game average 362
em allows 352 (em4)
memphis rushing yards pg average 141
em rushing yards allowed pg 111 (em 5)
MEMPHIS yards passing ppg on average 220
em passing yards on average allowed per game 244 (mem1)

I would say being that east carolina defense seems to be much better '
and if possible their offense doenst seem to be as bad
they also lead in two other categories in that same strategy
points scored 25 em 21 mem
points allowed 23 em 29 mem
now these are all on average
they both have played 4 in confernece games
having exact opposite records at 3-1 and 1-3 in favor of em
having both played UCF and Marshall
where in fact
Marshall lost to EM at home
and won at Memphis
I liKe Em by at least 3 points for that fact alone
taking in the fact em leads the category in points allowed by 6 points


East carolina 29
Memphis 20


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Old 10-27-09, 05:54 AM   #5
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EM should be EC
did a big thing on eastern michigan last week with ballstate game
my bad guys
sorry about that hope it makes since now
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Old 10-27-09, 09:20 AM   #6
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Punctuation.
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Old 10-27-09, 10:52 AM   #7
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Linecrusher, nope, I was never part of the "mafia wars."

But thank you for you very in depth analysis.

I look forward to reading your threads in the future.
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Old 10-27-09, 12:53 PM   #8
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man that doesnt even begin to start off how long I have been into that game

to be honest with you

ive been backwards so many times on not having this game in play

If I make a play it will be , EM

I have about 30 or so strategies that I value more that the one used above but they really cant be used

in the bottom half of the nation ranked teams

Youve got a game played on National Television at Memphis where they are the dog a team that isnt used to the exposure

//////////////////////////////////////////

something I was able to come up with
East Carolina definitley show that they are a stronger team in 4th quarter Play

I value this considerably
although EM did offer up 7 points to ucf , those were scored as the last points in game
sparingly I will not consider those as points scored UCF trailed 19-7 with moments left in the game


going back four games for EC (sorry) they have only allowed 7 points in the fourth quarter
where in fact they followed it up with an assuming kick return for a touchdown

this team is a battler and should out play Memphis in the 4th quarter
So all that tells me is dont bet the second half over
if you like the over here get for first half

NOW
memphis with out giving you all the stats (numbers)
Memphis has been outscored 4 of the last 4 games considerablly

providing some concrete evidence that they in fact a much weaker team in this conference

of the 4 games when trailing , Memphis mustard up a scoring drive to get back in the game

puting points up against Marshall late in the game

and also southern Miss , this actually in some manner put the memphis team back in action for a late minute comeback

yet on the the ascending opponents drive both were allowed points

Memphis DEFENSE when asked to step up , they could not

You add that to a pretty good East carolina team ofr that conference

East Carolina can cover this line if trailing by less than three entering the fouth quarter

I will try to retreive some type of concrete information that keeps memphis from leading going into the third

AGAIN SORRY ABOUT MY coulumns if I slow down to edit during the initial draft , Ill never get it all out

If I go back and edit it once it done , I would of never had time to get the information in the first place

please remember that statement always

I am quite capability of being an editor or providing well-to-do letters

I will try to make the text larger from now on it seems to be a little easier to follow
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Old 10-27-09, 01:01 PM   #9
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adding
Ucf scored 7 points late in the game

those points werent factored in
1 it was late
2 it would had been factored , EC proves they are a much stronger in 4th quarter play
in points allowed and points scored
Ec has a high probability of keeping their lead if leading going into the 4th

they aslo show a high probability of out right winning the 4th quarter
wanted to assure you that a back door TD counts 7 points

and that is likely enough to be a loser tonight if should it happen
I am aware of that

Just was showing credibility to that statement

hope you dont mind me putting notes here

I really needed this challenge , glad I didnt let this team get away here

I would rather give it my all and lose

rather than cow down against a challenge
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Old 10-27-09, 02:03 PM   #10
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Default stop the press

East Carolina

failed the injury report allowing to give the ok to my guys to bet this game

I am off of this game

Memphis also comes off a bye week

providing Dominque Lindsay East Carolina
Main offensive weapon (RB)

went from probable to questionable
\in an update posted just an hour ago

this is agame time decison
have to say

Without him I like the points here and a well rested team
although if he plays I like Lindsay
because Eastern Carolina has the advantage coming having an idle week then an easy cheesy game

so They indeed have had three weeks to prepare for memphis
UNDER (47.5)
is likely to be a confirmed pick from team Line crusher
post will be made 0 < 1 hour prior to kick off if you care to check for post


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Old 10-27-09, 02:39 PM   #11
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last one but atleast you know for sure I check it and check it again and once again

I did confuse the two having a bye week
they equally have had ten days off
They are listed as having a bye confusing the hell out of me
Tuesday is barely enough to call it an off week
that being said I will be done with your thread now
I am sorry for the errors
I will update my game time selection with new additional inforamtion I have gathered
being that they have both have had equal amounts of off time
additionally neither team has had an off week all year
EC will conditonally play 9 days after playing this game and Memphis will play 10 days after playing this year
I do look to figure in these teams will soon play broken down not getting a full rest week
playing against both these teams in the near future could be a near future play

thanks
stop in on my thread sometime
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Old 10-27-09, 02:51 PM   #12
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I like EC tonite and Skip Holtz is a excellent coach...however...I'm throwing out their last game because EVERYONE has lit up Rice this year! In their 3 previous games they scored 19, 21, and 21 versus Central Florida, Marshall, and SMU! Not exactly strong defensive teams! I'm not laying points w/a weak offensive team on the road even though EC will probably find a way to win it!
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Old 10-27-09, 11:15 PM   #13
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man I am glad you came over
I could of swore I put n update for my selection
that was kind fo sorry
filled up your thread with a bunch of non sense
and didnt give the updates sorry about that
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Old 10-27-09, 11:25 PM   #14
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Is line crusher being paid by the word for his dribble ass posts???
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