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Dbldown's plays for week of 10/24/09
Hey guys sorry for the late post, been a crazy weekend and week with work and some investment ventures I'm working on. Trying to narrow my picks down a little more than usual, still 10 games, but I just really like em all....what can I say. Here's what I got:
Florida St. +2.5
Syracuse -9.5
Georgia Tech -4
Central Michigan -7
Northern Illinois -10
Western Michigan -5
Michigan +4.5
Texas -13
Idaho +13.5
Temple +3
Central Florida -10
Great picks IMO. I'm leaning the same way on most of them. I got Idaho at +14 and would recommend buying a half point or full point just in case. Let's cash this bitch
Yeah I feel pretty good about this card Mac....lets get em
Card looks good Dbldown!! Love the Georgia Tech pick! What do you think about the Miami Clemson game? I liked Miami at -7, now there at -5 with some serious RLM going on! Clemson D is good but Miami looks great this year especially at home... Thanks in advance for the thoughts!
Thanks dchecks. No real opinion on that game, Clemson is so inconsistent I can't put money on them. If I had to make a play it would probably be on Miami
I LOVE: Central Michigan -7, Northern Illinois -10, Idaho +13.5
No Navy -3 play?
GT @ Virginia = trap?
no real thoughts on Navy Dreezy...
It seems people think that the GT/VA game is a trap. But I try not to look into things that deeply. I see a line that seems off and I jump on it. Virginia is not very good, and I don't really expect this one to be close
Looks good..be back to shoot some shit with ya all later
Some quick thoughts about each game:
-Florida St. is having a down year, but they arent a horrible team. They can put up points, but have a poor defense. In this game I just don't see North Carolina being able to keep up with Fl. St.'s firepower as N.C. has struggled offensively this year.
-Syracuse is giving up 9.5. They arent a very good team, however they have played a fairly tough schedule. With a poor Akron team coming into town I expect Syracuse to take out some frustrations on them.
-Georgia Tech is just outmatching Virginia in this game pure and simple. Virginia is not very good this year, and some wins against poor competition lately have this line lower than it should be. Ga. Tech just beat a very good Va. Tech team. This could be a "trap" like a lot of people are saying, however I'm gonna risk it with a good team giving up only 4 points to a team that lost to a DII school this year.
-Central Michigan is the class of the MAC. This team won on the road to a Michigan St. team. A win that is looking pretty damn impressive right about now. Bowling Green struggles on defense but can score....just not enough in this game to keep up.
-Northern Illinois let me down last week playing a poor Toledo team. Still can't figure out how they didnt put up more points than that on a crap defense. I still view them as a pretty decent team, and definately good enough to cover this spread against Miami OH. A team that is 0-7 with every loss by greater than or equal to 10 points.
-Western Michigan hasnt performed up to expectations thus far this year. However 2 losses are to Big10 teams, and their other two are against two of the better teams in the MAC. I expect them to beat up on Buffalo pretty good on Saturday.
-In regards to Michigan, they have performed well this year, with two losses and in very tight ballgames. I frankly havnt seen Penn St. do enough this year to warrant them being favorites of greater than a field goal on the road here.
-Texas is a solid team, although not as good as many people give them credit for. However i am still riding the Missouri is overrated bandwagon at this point. And expect Texas to win big here. They've got a defense good enough to slow down Mizzou, and an offense that should put up points on a pretty poor Missouri defense. The Oklahoma St. game was even more of a shillacking that the final score indicates and Ok. St. kept stalling their second half drives and settling for all field goals.
-I've ridden Idaho St. for the past three weeks. Coming into this week I was thinking they would lose their value, but this line is way too high for a Nevada team that is mediocre. Both teams can score and both have questionable defenses so I expect a shoot-out here. For those of you that play totals (which I don't) the over may be a good play also.
-Temple is a pretty solid team this year. they started off the season with a loss to Villanova. But Villanova is actually a pretty solid DII school and I think they probably caught Temple off guard a bit. Their only other loss is a road loss to Penn St. Their 4 straight wins are all against pretty poor opponents but they were all by double digits except for one. I still think Toledo is a garbage team with a garbage defense.
and finally.....
-Central Florida.....sure they havnt been world beaters this year. But they are playing an 0-7 Rice team that hasnt lost a game BY LESS than 17!!! Any team that is 0-7 with teams like Vanderbilt, UAB, and East Carolina on their schedule....and their lowest loss margin to those 3 teams is 19. I just don't see how you can't fade them
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Last edited by Dbldown11; 10-20-09 at 02:56 PM.
nice post dbldown. just wondering why so many games?
you know lakerboy....i struggle with that every week. Last week I had 18 going 10-8 and the week before I have 16 going 11-5. I tried brigning the amount down this week, but I just always see so many lines that I like. I'm hoping that this week I widdled the list down and took out the losers and not the winnners.
A lot of times when I try to limit my number of plays I always end up getting rid of the winners and holding onto the losers.
Thanks for the input
i know what you mean.sometimes i play 8 nfl games on sunday but other times 4. my amounts vary hugely from game to game. i know some people play alot of games hoping to go 6-4 and make some$$$- good luck buddyOriginally Posted by Dbldown11
you know lakerboy....i struggle with that every week. Last week I had 18 going 10-8 and the week before I have 16 going 11-5. I tried brigning the amount down this week, but I just always see so many lines that I like. I'm hoping that this week I widdled the list down and took out the losers and not the winnners.
A lot of times when I try to limit my number of plays I always end up getting rid of the winners and holding onto the losers.
Thanks for the input
Michigan has 2 losses at Iowa and Michigan state
ahhhhhh yes. Thank you mgdownin. For some reason forgot about Iowa. Another real tight one on the road though none-the-less
yes I agree Michigan will be able to put up points on Penn State and I feel they have a good chance of winning out right especially being at home.
I see who posted this but I ll try to be the better man , really wish you would of read the first thread we made , and yes it was confusing , but our posts are really kept as a note book ,
But central Michigan seems to be a gut feeling bet , We had that penciled in also , Hce you checked their stats on their wins they actually wre outgained last week big time by a bad western michigan team , Bowling green wins this game out right , Bowling green has played well , central Michigan does seem to pull out wins , but giving up 438 yards to western michigan and only netting 238 , Bowling Green is a passing team and will take advantage of the weak passing defense central michigan gives up , best of luck
penn state and michigan both looked equal in their loss against Iowa , but it seems to me that Michigan just gives up more points than penn state allows , this was a game that we had to come off of
Thanks for being a better man than I Line-crush-ER....you arent the first. I don't think Western Michigan is "bad", just underperforming. I deffinately did not notice the yardage differential that you pointed out though....thanks for the info. I don't expect to go 10-0 so this might be one of the losses, but hopefully I'm right about it.
In my opinion if they both looked equal than the edge goes to Michigan, as they played Iowa on the road, and Penn St. got them at home. Penn St. now has to go to the Big House, and they are giving up more than a field goal???? I just don't see how that can be. It was a strong lean I had, and I noticed Pags was on it, so I rolled with it
Central Florida love it , even Vanderbilt was able to put up points rice (36), Central florida does struglle with points , rice averages over 45 points to opponents offense , Central florda shouldnt have a problem covering here
got know problem with that I won money on western michigan , and you have the fact that they just dont like to lose , that goes a long way
crap that , central michigan ,(won with central last week) so I dont like betting againsta team that won me money the week prior
Florida St. +2.5 origianlly was one of our picks
Syracuse -9.5 no opinion as of yet
Georgia Tech -4 five star play for us
Central Michigan -7 first glimpse , we liked , couldnt go the other way , but do like bowl here
Northern Illinois -10 no opinion here , but one guy likes it the other way
Western Michigan -5 , no homework done on this game
Michigan +4.5 liked the points here , but can michigan score- 6-0/ 9-3 beats you here , we left it a lone
Texas -13 like this one , we feel like missouri is a bad tackling team ,its just that color or col state had em close in late 3rd qtr
Idaho +13.5 this seems to be big pick , need to look at this game
Temple +3 no opininon
Central Florida -10 love this game , 30-3 margin 30-10 five star play for us '
sorry didnt mean to take over the thread , but this was easier to do rather than , ind... posts for each game ,
texas still may be a bet for us , seems like they just have a strong weakness being passed against , Missouri not a great tackling team though and should get you the points you need here
Thanks for all the input Crusher
great post, dbl. I'll be adding some of your picks to my card. I really like the central michican and central florida plays. I def. think idaho will cover. hell, I may even bet a little on the moneyline for that game, bc a W is possible. Lets go GT this week! Im pounding that game. I dont understand what VA has shown this year to merrit that small of spread. I know GT is on the road and VA's coach is great in oct...blah, blah...but were looking at two different caliber teams here.
Best of luck!
[QUOTE=TheBetBuysDanK;2418551]great post, dbl. I'll be adding some of your picks to my card. I really like the central michican and central florida plays. I def. think idaho will cover. hell, I may even bet a little on the moneyline for that game, bc a W is possible. Lets go GT this week! Im pounding that game. I dont understand what VA has shown this year to merrit that small of spread. I know GT is on the road and VA's coach is great in oct...blah, blah...but were looking at two different caliber teams here.
Best of luck
its not that , the spaces dont allow for after posting , I actually tried to correct it , and same as before , but glad you said something , be cause I really Did nt want to comment once again , but seriously I had it all nice and neat , It just want allow a spaces
Its filled in
But I do beleive I will be able to get around it , using a different Method , But I already Know a paste doesn't work
Both Central's are my fav plays on your slate.
Syracuse =
GL DBlDown. Stay in the black, bro
TOP SPORTSBOOK
WINNER
05/21/2012
Good luck brother. U know what I like. U know I am on Akron +10. Sorry we don't agree but let's make some money.
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