I like the picks. I notice that you don't pick many if any teams that are giving up points. Is there a reason for this? I like the strategy, but I'm new to sports wagering so I wanted to hear your reasoning.
Thanks.
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10-13-09 12:37 PM #106
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10-13-09 01:00 PM #107
Pags, nice plays last week even though I didn't follow you. Thanks for the input on Tenn for last Sat.
Wondering if you have an opinion for tonights game on Ark St. vs UL Monroe-1.5, I'm leaning UL Monroe.
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10-13-09 01:41 PM #108
marabdl86,
...my total amount played on each game on Saturdays all range in the triple figures, so the least amount I play on a game is in the triple figures, as is the biggest amount I play on a game is still in the triple figures...just remember to play only a small percentage of your bankroll on each game (no more than 2-3%), and make sure you play with what you can afford to lose...
jimmyet,
...and value are two key components to my handicapping strategy so yeah I do look for teams kind of flying under the radar...
sexymit,
...glad to hear we agree with UCF...
birdman779,
...try making straight plays, you will be happier in the long run...
spongerat,
RPP,
it's college football and anything can happen...most of the time I'd rather have the plus sign by my teams name at the end of the game than the other way around...
northern lights,
have only seen Arkansas State play once this year and have yet to see La. Monroe...no play for me based on that and that I don't follow the Sun Belt conference very closely...SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-13-09 01:54 PM #109
Wow Pags! U'r a true professional...Way to bang out 20 questions at once! I followed you last Saturday and will be doing so again this Saturday...Keep up the great work!
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10-13-09 04:46 PM #110
Looking forward to the weekly write-ups again. KY is an interesting pick knowing that their starting QB is out. Also curious on the Georgia Tech pick. Va Tech really rolled the points up on Boston College - more than most thought possible. Here's to another prosperous week!
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10-13-09 05:06 PM #111
The more I look at this game, the more Utah State looks like the play. Everyone saw Nevada rout La Tech last week after putting up crazy numbers the week before (both at home). Look at how Nevada has played on the road this year. Now very well. They have also had an enormous problem with turning the ball over. Utah St. should be able to pass the ball as well, in case they get behind in this one. Right now it's just a lean, but I am trying to fill in a blank spot on the card. Looks like right side is the Aggies. Nice work Pags.
Originally Posted by xyzky
Undervalued team still this year!
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10-13-09 05:17 PM #112
pags, again good job last week and thanks for your personal recommendations.... i forgot to ask you why you don't do NFL games..., i wish i could have had the same restraint, cuz all my winnings became losings on Sunday and Monday......
renojoe
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10-13-09 06:32 PM #113
checking in. hi pags. keep up the fine work. best of luck the rest of the way!
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10-13-09 06:50 PM #114
Pags, I noticed you tend to go for the teams that are given the points, can you explain your logic?
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10-13-09 06:55 PM #115
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10-13-09 07:01 PM #116
PAGS,thanks for the plays once again buddy.....this is really going to be a big week for us,i can tell for some reason.......can't wait to see your write ups.....lets roll
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10-13-09 07:07 PM #117
Good luck Pags! I'll be on your plays once again.
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10-13-09 08:33 PM #118
Originally Posted by JamesGenius
he is still below .500 for the season, so im rooting for him to get on the + side this week
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10-13-09 08:47 PM #119
Originally Posted by detroit71
.
Originally Posted by pags11
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10-13-09 11:32 PM #120
Pags:
Louisville line jumped to +13. The only injury I see is the starting safety for Louisville. Any idea what is going on?
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10-13-09 11:42 PM #121
Pags...BOL buddy..Let's crack some nutts this week.
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10-13-09 11:56 PM #122
Originally Posted by jholl
someone didn't pass middle school math. winning % doens't mean much if you vary unit bet size
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10-14-09 12:14 AM #123
phillybets,
Dana4U,
...two words, Randall Cobb...GL
Cougar Bait,
...exactly right!
renojoe,
I used to do the same thing...it was too hard to be great at both with being a recreational player I chose to spend my time and energy handicapping strictly college football, especially since it's my favorite sport to watch (referred to as 'God's sport" by some)...
Checkerboard,
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 12:18 AM #124
detroit71,
see below...
Gundog,
twentyonekid,
..I feel the exact same way about this week!
lb49ers,
jholl,
that will happen after this weekend's games...
jellobiafra,
braves25,
this has been one of the craziest weeks of line moves that I have seen in my 25 years of doing it...no clue man...
GoSooners,
sounds good to me my midwest handicapping partner...
spongerat,
you are right about that...money management is the single most important key to being a successful handicapper...
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 12:28 AM #125
Pags when college football is in offseason mode, what do you bet on?
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10-14-09 12:56 AM #126
marabdl86,
four those 8 months I don't bet a dime on anything else...I've tried it all, all of the sports, table games including poker, and nothing else really does it for me like college football does...
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 05:50 AM #127
pags11,
i looked over that ASU pick as well as the ISU pick and opted to go with Houston -20 (i know you don't really take favorites, let alone road favorites giving up 20 points) and Colorado +9. just wondering if you had any thoughts on either one.
i was also wondering what you usually look at when selecting which games to play. i know you like mid majors with less exposure and underdogs, but statistically, i've been trying to figure out how you get to your picks and i'm just lost.
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10-14-09 01:42 PM #128
ackem19,
it's just 25 years of doing this and using my gut is pretty much how I come up with my plays...I tend to focus on the BCS conference schools for about 75% of my plays and tend to stay away from interconference Pac 10 games as I haven't done well with them over the years...
no opinion on Houston but I would be hesitant to lay that many with them ont he road...no opinion on Colorado but I would say they are the better play of the two...can't even begin to give you an opinion on ASU...SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 01:49 PM #129
Late stopping in. Busy with games every night and still that degenerate gene that doesn't like to miss an opportunity.
Success with this weeks card.115ptsSBR POKER TOURNEY8th Place 5/25/2012
60ptsSBR POKER TOURNEY13th Place 5/24/2012
175ptsSBR POKER TOURNEY6th Place 5/23/2012
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10-14-09 01:54 PM #130
wal66,
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 03:07 PM #131
Pags anytime you with Paul Johnson you have a good chance of winning.I think he's one of the top three coaches out there
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10-14-09 03:15 PM #132
classic rock,
...agree with you on that...
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 03:18 PM #133
Pags, I know you rarely play weekday games, but I'm looking at this Boise St./Tulsa game tonight. Seems to me the public is pounding Boise St. and yet the line keeps dropping... This is making me very tempted to make a play on Tulsa. Any thoughts?
Thanks
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10-14-09 03:20 PM #134
You just don't get it, do you. Originally Posted by jholl
He is way ahead.
He started with 1/2 unit bets early in the season, moved up to 3 unit bets as season progressed.
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10-14-09 03:21 PM #135
slightest of leans to Tulsa at 10 or more but probably won't be getting involved in this one...
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 03:27 PM #136
Thanks Pags... I might put a couple bones on Tulsa.. my gut is telling me Tulsa covers, everyone else is saying Boise St. will blow out Tulsa... Line doesn't seem right to me and the movement is a huge red flag.
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10-14-09 03:30 PM #137
Took washington plus 8. I am definitely not sold on asu
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10-14-09 03:35 PM #138
john anthony,
...appreciate you sharing that...
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005
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10-14-09 03:51 PM #139
pags, would you ever tease? like in the case with boise st .. tease it up to Tulsa getting 16 and over 47.5.
is this wise?
renojoe
(from maryland.. go terps.. though they suck ash )
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10-14-09 03:54 PM #140
this thread is just plain RIDICULOUS....It's only Wednesday and already has 138 posts and close to 10K viewed. You are a sick man pags. Have another great week buddy.
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