10-09-09, 08:26 PM
|
#1
|
|
|
Bama @ Ole Miss
I've had very little time to post this year, but I will try to sneak in a writeup on the Bama - Ole Miss game.
The only game in which I wagered against Bama last year was when they played the Rebels in Bryant-Denny Stadium, and I felt very, very fortunate to get the cover.
For Ole' Miss, this has been a game that has been circled since last year, so I expect the Rebels and Houston Nutt to throw everything they have at Bama tomorrow afternoon. And historically, games between these two teams at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium have been very close, and historically Houston Nutt has given Bama fits.
Tebow's concussion two weeks ago overshadowed the season-ending knee injury to Bama's linebacker Don'ta Hightower. I spoke with Phil Savage (former GM of the Cleveland Browns and profession NFL talent evaluator), last week, and he said that most NFL scouts regarded Bama LB Rolondo McClain and Hightower as the best two collegiate LBs in the country, with Brandon Spikes being #3. That is pretty high praise for Hightower who is a true sophmore.
Personally, I think that Hightower is more physically gifted than McClain, but McClain's experience advantage makes him Bama's most valuable LB. Nevertheless, anyone who thinks Bama's linebacking corps hasn't taken a huge hit with the Hightower injury is smoking some good shit!!!
Moreover, Hightower's backup Jarrel Harris (who is also a stone-cold stud) is serving the final game of a 6-game suspension and, therefore, is inelligible for the Ole' Miss game. That means Bama will be without both their 1st and 2nd string Will LBers. Consequently, Saban has moved Cory Reamer (who normally plays Sam) to fill Hightower's shoes at the Will, moved Eryk Anders (who normally plays Jack) to replace Reamer at Sam, and then brought in sophmore Courtney Upshaw off the bench to fill in for Anders at the Jack. This effectively means Bama is playing with 3 LBers that are either new or playing out of position. That really showed up in the run defense versus Kentucky last week.
Saban has been playing musical chairs with the LBers all week. That includes giving 5-star, true freshman stud Nico Johnson more work in practice. What the finished product will be on Saturday is anybody's guess.
In capping this game, I put no weight on the history of this rivalry because Saban did not coach those teams. I mean seriously, are you really going to compare a Saban-coached team to a sactions depleted Shula- coached team? Seriously? If these two teams were coached by the same people for the past 10 years, then I would give weight to the history.
Thus far, Ole Miss has been a Frankenstein that has been cobbled together by the media. This is a team, with the exception of a few flashes, has look horrible all year, and now people expect them to suddenly get well against Bama? Really???
Ole' Miss's strength so far has been their defense, but they haven't faced anyone with the offensive firepower of Bama. IMO, Bama just has way too many weapons on the offensive side of the ball for the Rebels to contain them for 4 quarters. And the scary thing about Bama's offense is that they have yet to play up their potential yet.
Offensively, I think Bama will put together one of their most complete performances to date and score in the 30s and possibly 40s. If that is so, then Ole Miss will need to score at least 4 TDs to cover the 4 or 5 point spread, and even with Bama's depleted linebacking corp, I don't see that happening.
Despite the fact that many great cappers are on Ole Miss (including Phil Steele), I really don't think this game will be close in the end. I see a score very similar to the Kentucky game . . . 35-20.
Five weeks into the season, Bama has clearly established themselves as one of the elite progerams in the country. Right now, if I can ride them giving less than a TD, they will be an automatic play for me.
BAMA LARGE!!!
|
Points Awarded:
 nickelchip gave Jimmydafreak 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
|
|
|
10-09-09, 08:36 PM
|
#2
|
|
|
Jimmy - Bama (-6.5) is my second largest bet of the year. Snead is notoriously a slow starter early in the season and he has yet to catch his groove. Ole Miss is very one dimensional on offense and they have had problems getting the ball to McCluster their best player. I see Bama blowing OM out in the second half  |
175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/07/2012
|
|
10-09-09, 08:59 PM
|
#3
|
|
|
I got 'em at -4.5
GL  |
|
|
|
10-09-09, 09:14 PM
|
#4
|
|
|
Booked Bama -4.5 here as well. Bama rolls here. Snead will be running for his life all game
|
|
|
|
10-09-09, 09:16 PM
|
#5
|
|
|
BAma or nothing. Ole Miss in every TV game has looked pedestrian, and poorly coached.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 03:54 AM
|
#6
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
BAma or nothing. Ole Miss in every TV game has looked pedestrian, and poorly coached.
|
Houlihans, I have watched all 4 of Ole' Miss's games, and to think they are on Bama's level is just plain silly IMO. This is a game of media perception versus reality. Tomorrow, Mr. Hammer will meet Mr. Nail!!!
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 04:34 AM
|
#7
|
|
|
uh-oh.. we all like bama.. lets hope they come through.. i teased them
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 04:57 AM
|
#8
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by danrman
uh-oh.. we all like bama.. lets hope they come through.. i teased them
|
No tease necessary. Tomorrow will be Bama's Georgia Dome game!!! It won't be close!!!
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 10:26 AM
|
#10
|
|
|
68 % on Bama and the line has been dropped from -6.5 to -4.5 .....hmmm I smell something not right here. My feeling says STAY AWAY FROM THIS GAME
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 10:50 AM
|
#11
|
|
|
I need to add something that I think is important.
I'm not sure what Houston Nutt has done to Saban, but I have it from a very good source (this is not really new, I've known this for a while) that Ole' Miss is Saban's least favorite team in the SEC. This game is very personal for Saban, and that spells really bad news for the Rebels today!!!
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 10:52 AM
|
#12
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by GatorFan
68 % on Bama and the line has been dropped from -6.5 to -4.5 .....hmmm I smell something not right here. My feeling says STAY AWAY FROM THIS GAME
|
It's a free country, but this game will be a blow out!!! Line movements won't save the Rebels from what's coming their way today!!!
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 10:52 AM
|
#13
|
|
|
Gator - ESPN just showed an America's vote and 81% had Ole Miss?? That is very confusing. I think people must be betting Ole Miss up large?
|
175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/07/2012
|
|
10-10-09, 10:54 AM
|
#14
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe
Gator - ESPN just showed an America's vote and 81% had Ole Miss?? That is very confusing. I think people must be betting Ole Miss up large?
|
Many, many good cappers are on Ole' Miss. Do not be fooled!!! I promise you this game won't be close!!!
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 11:10 AM
|
#15
|
|
|
I jumped on Bama at -4 early this morning.... Now I see it's back up to -4.5.
I wonder if this trend will continue till game time.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 11:16 AM
|
#16
|
You Come at the King You Best Not Miss
|
I see the RLM but I think its one of those vegas tricks where they are just trying to get people to take Ole miss cuz this game is going to be a blowout.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 11:18 AM
|
#17
|
|
|
|
200pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 1/30/2012
|
|
10-10-09, 11:19 AM
|
#18
|
|
|
Alabama -4 is available in Vegas right now. I know that Ole Miss is an over-rated team. Now we will see if 'Bama falls into the same catagory.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 11:43 AM
|
#19
|
|
|
I'm locked and loaded on Bama with a -6.5 bad line. Oh well, I hope Ole Miss is who I think they are...
|
175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/07/2012
|
|
10-10-09, 11:55 AM
|
#20
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe
I'm locked and loaded on Bama with a -6.5 bad line. Oh well, I hope Ole Miss is who I think they are...
|
Mac, at first I was leaning to Bama (God... who else not to huh) but The RLM just kills my interest in BAMA. Good luck with your pick.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 12:28 PM
|
#21
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe
I'm locked and loaded on Bama with a -6.5 bad line. Oh well, I hope Ole Miss is who I think they are...
|
You'll be fine. You're giviving 1 TD, and Bama will win by 3.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 12:40 PM
|
#22
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe
I'm locked and loaded on Bama with a -6.5 bad line. Oh well, I hope Ole Miss is who I think they are...
|
I picked Bama in a points contest early in the week because I thought that -6.5 line would be going UP. I felt very fortunate to get them at -6.5.
I put real money on the Tide this morning and got them at -4 and -4.5.
Like so many here, I see a pounding in Oxford today.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 03:41 PM
|
#23
|
|
|
Great writeup, I really like Bama big in this one.
|
|
|
|
10-10-09, 08:30 PM
|
#24
|
|
|
Bama was piss poor in the redzone today!!! Geez!!!
|
|
|
|
|
to all!!!
