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Old 10-01-09, 11:42 PM   #1
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Default SweetPete's Picks/Write-ups Week 5!

(YTD 20-19 -5.75 units---who cares, it's only money, right?)

Week 5 Selections. I'm Due.

BYU -23.5 vs Utah St. (1 unit)
BYU has the tendency to play down to weaker opponents, as seen in this game last year where they got off to a huge lead but let Utah get a 2nd half cover by folding it in that half. Despite the crushing loss to Florida St., BYU still has a chance to make a BCS game, and I don't think Max Hall will let his team tank it the rest of the way. BYU 38-10

Cincy -29 @ Miami, OH (1 unit)
One team is good. One team is God-awful. That's why the spread is so high. Don't need to read to much into this one. Cincy 45-7

Toledo -5 @ Ball St. (1 unit)
Ball St. is terrible and are playing a very experienced (though not that good) Toledo team. Home advantage doesn't mean much in a game like this, so I'll take my chances with the team that has a potent offense against a very suspect Ball St. defense. Toledo 38-22

Miami +7.5 vs Oklahoma (1.5 units)
I guess Miami's shoddy performance at Va Tech has the oddsmakers forgetting about how good they looked before that game. They get a Bradford-less Sooner team that is great at beating up inferior teams, but will have to travel to hostile territory to take on an explosive 'Canes team. Harris want to redeem himself after LW, and Miami is too talented to let this one get away from them.
Oklahoma 35-34

Texas Tech -34 vs New Mexico (1.5 untis)
Tech needs to get their offense in gear before the rest of the Big 12 schedule arrives. They let a tough one get away from them LW @ Houston, and will be more than happy to take their frustrations out on an inept New Mexico team.
Tech 56-7

ARKANSAS -1 vs. Texas A&M (1.5 units)
A&M has gone to 3-0 by beating up some weak opponents while Arkansas has lost two tough games to 'Bama and Georgia. Now, Arkansas has a chance to show that they are indeed a quality team on a fairly neutral field. Ark's defense did a decent job stopping the 'Bama run, and A&M hasn't had much luck in the past vs. top tier BCS teams, so I like the Razorbacks in a close game/ Ark. 31-28

UCLA +5.5 @ Stanford (1.5 units)
UCLA proved they can win in hostile territory with their stunner in Knoxville earlier this season. This game clearly comes down to Stanford's Rush Off vs. UCLA's rush def. UCLA is off a bye week, so that extra week to prepare and the confidence from the Tenn. win should give them the edge. UCLA 17-13

GEORGIA -3 (-125) vs. LSU (1 unit)
LSU isn't as good as their undefeated record would indicate. They should have lost to Miss St. LW, and had their rush attack shut down. They've reached the Top 5 by default, and Georgia's defense showed improvement LW and should be ready to keep LSU in check. If Georgia can stop Jefferson's passing game, they can run away with this one. Georgia 38-20

Good Luck this week everyone!
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Old 10-01-09, 11:54 PM   #2
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gl SweetPete. Go Sooners
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Old 10-02-09, 12:48 AM   #3
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Thanks REDL1NE. As long as they don't cover!
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Old 10-02-09, 11:49 AM   #4
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With you on Miami, UCLA, and Toledo this week Pete. I would also fade New Mexico but I rarely give more than 30 on any game. But if one team can prove that theory wrong, it's the Lobos. GL with your card.
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Old 10-02-09, 02:43 PM   #5
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Really like the MIA, & ARK picks.........especially ARK in this particular spot, & the fact that every capper on here is NOT playing on them. I think the Razorbacks will be a bit of a shock to the system for A & M this week.

I think you'll be cashing that BYU as well & I may have to git me a little bit of that.
UCLA looks good too, already have them in a teaser.

GL this week pete!..........
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Old 10-02-09, 03:18 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
With you on Miami, UCLA, and Toledo this week Pete. I would also fade New Mexico but I rarely give more than 30 on any game. But if one team can prove that theory wrong, it's the Lobos. GL with your card.
I'm a little nervous too about giving more than 4 TDs, but I think Tech just wants to beat the crap out of somebody, and New Mexico may not even score, so I'll take my chances on 5 TDs. I'm nervous about Miami, but 7.5 is just too many points not to jump all over. GL this weekend!
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Old 10-02-09, 03:21 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nevadaside View Post
Really like the MIA, & ARK picks.........especially ARK in this particular spot, & the fact that every capper on here is NOT playing on them. I think the Razorbacks will be a bit of a shock to the system for A & M this week.

I think you'll be cashing that BYU as well & I may have to git me a little bit of that.
UCLA looks good too, already have them in a teaser.

GL this week pete!..........
I've bet on on a&m every week and they've cashed in for me twice, but because this game isn't in college station totally gives the lean to Arkansas. You can't go up a giant notch in class like A&M is and expect not to have a shock to the system, like you mentioned. GL this weekend!
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Old 10-03-09, 12:11 AM   #8
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I may have to flat out quit gambling. 2 seconds left. What a fvcking joke.
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Old 10-03-09, 12:19 AM   #9
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sweetpete not trying to poor salt on it, but cmon man. I mean people said the same crap about a "bad beat" with WVU last night.

Utah St. was covering for 57 minutes of that game and you think YOU took the bad beat? Would have been the other way around
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Old 10-03-09, 03:58 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dbldown11 View Post
sweetpete not trying to poor salt on it, but cmon man. I mean people said the same crap about a "bad beat" with WVU last night.

Utah St. was covering for 57 minutes of that game and you think YOU took the bad beat? Would have been the other way around
Oh, I totally agree, BYU didn't deserve to cover anyway. It's just I swear 80% of the time something like that happens, I'm on the losing end! If Cincy can get a meaningless front door cover today, all is well.
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Old 10-03-09, 04:04 PM   #11
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well, there's goes my hope for Cincy
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