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Old 09-24-09, 01:31 AM   #1
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Default SweetPete's Picks WEEK 4

Until I improve my handicapping, I won't waste anybody's time with long write-ups. I WILL win some f--king money this week!!! (14-15 ytd -7.65 units)

OLE MISS -3 @ S. Carolina (2 units)
If this is truly Ole Miss' year as many say it is, they should have no problems beating a mediocre SC team. Ole Miss 38-28

FRESNO ST. +16.5 @ Cincinnati (1.5 units)
Cincy is due for a letdown and Pat Hill's "anyone, anytime, anywhere" coaching approach assures us that Fresno will play hard. Cincy 35-27

RUTGERS -1.5 @ Maryland (1.5 units)
Both teams started slow, but Rutgers will end up with a winning season, whereas MD apparently just sucks. Rutgers 34-14

TEXAS A&M -14 vs UAB (1.5 units)
(see last weeks A&M write-up, and just replace Utah St. with UAB) A&M 44-20

SO. MISS +14 @ Kansas (2 units)
USM's narrow escape vs. UVa LW gives us serious line value. They were clearly looking ahead and should be able to hang close with KU and may even pull an upset. Remember Houston/Okla St.? USM 35-31

PENN ST. -9.5 vs. Iowa (1.5 units)
PSU's so-so performance vs. weak competition gives us tons of line value. Plus, revenge angle may play a factor after LYs comeback win for Iowa. Penn St. plays their first complete game of the year. Penn St. 27-7

NOTRE DAME -7 @ Purdue (1 unit)
One of these days I'll pick a ND game correctly. ND 45-35


Probably a couple more picks to come. Lets win some money this week!
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Old 09-24-09, 04:05 PM   #2
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Regarding ND, they were not a good road team last year. I would stay away from ND when they are on the road until proven otherwise. Good luck bro.
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Old 09-24-09, 05:24 PM   #3
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GL this week Pete...with ya on Fresno...
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Old 09-24-09, 06:59 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rixsaw View Post
Regarding ND, they were not a good road team last year. I would stay away from ND when they are on the road until proven otherwise. Good luck bro.
With the game in W. Lafayette, I'm assuming at least 1/3 of the fans will be in ND. Still, I don't know why I'm betting on them other than stubbornism. GL this weekend.
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Old 09-24-09, 07:00 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
GL this week Pete...with ya on Fresno...
Thanks Cougar. GL to you too. It seems that everyone's on Cincy expect us and Pags. Line went from 14.5 to 17. That's insane movement!
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Old 09-25-09, 12:01 AM   #6
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Why do they even have rankings??? Ole Miss did nothing to prove they deserved to be #4, and backed up that suspicion with a pitiful performance tonight. That was a joke. Ugh. Anyway, 2 more losers for everyone to fade...

NEW MEXICO ST. +10 vs. New Mexico (1 unit)
Sorry, but New Mexico doesn't deserve to be DD Favorites vs. Roswell Junior High, let alone a fellow FBS school. NMex St. 24-21

GEORGIA -11.5 vs. Arizona St. (1.5 units)
If ASU couldn't put up a fight at home LY, a weaker team travelling to Athens TY might as well not even show up. Georgia rolls.
UGa 42-13

GL everyone!
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Old 09-25-09, 04:42 PM   #7
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One More...

BYU -17 vs. Colo St. (1 unit)
At the last minute, I've decided that these good Mormons have too much prode to throw their season away after one disappointing loss. They'll take it out on CSU. BYU 51-20
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Old 09-25-09, 07:19 PM   #8
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You didn't pick your Mizzou team, what's going on? I don't think KU will lose the game but it will be closer than the 14 point spread, maybe I'm just bias because I'm a KU fan. Good Luck this week Pete, and I am picking Mizzou tonite.
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Old 09-25-09, 07:40 PM   #9
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Early ranking doesn't mean a thing bro. I think the the guys on this board knows more about football than those sports writer. Last night I like Miss offense, but I worried about SC defense. SC defense played one hell of a game. I'm Mizzou tonight. Unless it's a trap, Mizzou should have no problem covering the spread. Good luck bro.
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Old 09-26-09, 04:06 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UnderDog_Philip View Post
You didn't pick your Mizzou team, what's going on? I don't think KU will lose the game but it will be closer than the 14 point spread, maybe I'm just bias because I'm a KU fan. Good Luck this week Pete, and I am picking Mizzou tonite.
Good Call On my beloved Tigers! This game worried me before the season started so I stayed away from it. I hope you pulled the trigger on So. Miss. +14. That was a fairly easy cover. I can't wait for the border war in KC!
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Old 09-26-09, 04:10 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rixsaw View Post
Early ranking doesn't mean a thing bro. I think the the guys on this board knows more about football than those sports writer. Last night I like Miss offense, but I worried about SC defense. SC defense played one hell of a game. I'm Mizzou tonight. Unless it's a trap, Mizzou should have no problem covering the spread. Good luck bro.
You're right on on how meaningless the rankings are. The coaches poll is a joke because most of the coaches don't know anything about half the teams. The AP poll is a joke because most sportswriters are idiots. News media died a long time ago, and sports journalism didn't last much longer. We need an official Fan Poll. Would be just as accurate. Congrats on Mizzou. I lost lots of $$ betting on mizzou too often last year, so I've been more hesitant this year.
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Old 09-26-09, 04:13 PM   #12
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WTF is up with Miami?! Man, I was all over Va Tech +3 when the lines came out, but was swayed by the overwhelming support for Miami, so I stayed away altogether. Hopefully they come back so I don't feel bad questioning my own mediocracy. 2-0 Early games though. Maybe I'm back! I doubt it.
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Old 09-26-09, 04:18 PM   #13
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Glad to see someone is still on the "Fade New Mexico Bandwagon."
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Old 09-26-09, 04:27 PM   #14
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Glad to see someone is still on the "Fade New Mexico Bandwagon."
Ha! I think it's just me and you, bud. I don't know nor care how bad NMx St. is, but there is no legitimate reason to put NM as a 10-pt favorite. We'll see how it turns out!
(BTW, I also kept up my fade Miami-OH tend too, with a last small bet on Kent -7. )
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Old 09-26-09, 06:51 PM   #15
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Good Job Rutgers. (Check out my prediction on the score, btw) 3-0 Today, with BYU looking good already. Maybe I'll get back in the green today. I should keep my mouth shut though...
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Old 09-26-09, 06:52 PM   #16
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Good job Pete. I am sucking today, 2-5. Tough loss on Pitt. Have 3 more to go though...
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Old 09-26-09, 07:28 PM   #17
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I was looking at betting on Pitt but passed. I was kicking myslef until the 4th quarter. That was a hard loss to swallow. Got any games tonight?
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Old 09-26-09, 08:46 PM   #18
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common mormons
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Old 09-26-09, 09:20 PM   #19
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yesss BYU what a cover
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Old 09-26-09, 09:24 PM   #20
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Heck ya! 'Bouttime one of those front door covers goes in our favor! 4-0. A&M is cruisin, but I'm concerned about UGa.
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Old 09-26-09, 09:24 PM   #21
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Quote:
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I was looking at betting on Pitt but passed. I was kicking myslef until the 4th quarter. That was a hard loss to swallow. Got any games tonight?
Yeah, and currently the only one that I am winning is Iowa...Purdue looked good early but Irish seem in control now...and Army still has a shot at a cover but are down by 14...hoping for a backdoor there. It's been a tough day so far.
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Old 09-26-09, 10:18 PM   #22
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Sounds like you and Pags played a lot of the same games. I went against him by taking Penn St. and Notre Dame, but both odf those are up for grabs right now. Thank you A&M. 5-0
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Old 09-26-09, 10:30 PM   #23
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Yeah we were on TCU, Fresno, Army, Iowa, Purdue...maybe one more together...it's been a rough day. An Iowa and Purdue cover would help though.
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Old 09-27-09, 03:24 AM   #24
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Disappointing night, but 6-4 for the week, +1.9 units. Now 20-19, -5.75 units. Fighting my way back!
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Old 09-27-09, 11:02 AM   #25
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VERY NICE CALL on TAMU (again) & USM.

Always good to see what you have on tap..........you'll be back in the black before you know it SP..........hope you have a monster day in the coming week.

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Old 09-27-09, 11:08 AM   #26
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Quote:
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Disappointing night, but 6-4 for the week, +1.9 units. Now 20-19, -5.75 units. Fighting my way back!
Still a good week Pete...most of us here are trying to return to last years' form.
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Old 09-28-09, 01:17 AM   #27
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Thanks guys! Hopefully we can start cashing in soon. It should be a little easier to cap games now that we have a feel for all these teams
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