Wal's College Football Week 34
No write-ups this week. Partially too busy and partially just don’t feel like the effort. There were too many games that qualified this week with the spreadsheet. I think part of the reason that the program found so many games it liked is due to the fact that certain teams have had an easy go of it thus far in the season or have won a game they weren’t expected to win which increased their power ranking and skewed the system. An example of what I am talking about is the Iowa/Penn St game. The program liked Iowa as a 10 point favorite and the line opened with Penn St as the 10 point favorite. In most situations this would have been an automatic play on Iowa because the program does do a very good job picking out the dogs that have a real shot at winning. Trusting it sometimes is the difficult part. Like with this game even though the program is Iowa favored I am Penn St favored so I just threw the game out. I’ll list the program plays as leans and then my plays will be separate.
Computer Leans:
Nevada +points
Wisconsin –points
Buffalo outright win
Minnesota outright win
Marshall outright win
UNLV –points
Miami –points
Pittsburgh outright win
East Carolina –points
Rutgers –points
Miami Ohio outright win
Arizona St +points
Iowa outright win
Washington outright win
New Mexico –points
Here are the plays I am on this week.
Plays:
Ole Miss -3.5 * Kind of scary as this is a conference road game against a South Carolina team that did beat them last year at Ole’ Miss. The Rebels are untested yet this season and South Carolina has already been in a couple of real battles. While the Gamecocks do possess a killer defense I like Snead to get the ball spread around and keep the lead comfortable.
Wisconsin -3* Not sure if it’ll actually be a letdown game for Michigan St after losing to Notre Dame last week but it’s still hard to go against the Badgers at home.
Pittsburgh -1.5* I should stay away from this game because I have no luck with Pittsburgh either playing on them or against them but it is a program play so I’ll give it a shot.
Miami -2.5* Not taking anything away from Virginia Tech they are a solid football team and they have a decided advantage playing at home but this Miami team is just that damn good. The Cane’s still have vulnerable areas in the secondary but I’m not sure Tech can exploit that.
I know they are all favorites and I don’t like that but pretty sure not every dog on the board will cover this weekend and I tried to select the better favorites
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