Colorado is coming off a very short week (played Sunday night). They lost a big rivalry game AT HOME and now have to prepare for a tough Toledo home-field advantage.
Toledo is 2-0 SU and ATS against Big 12 teams (Kansas '06, Iowa St. '07) and is 8-3 ATS as a home underdog. They are also 15-5 ATS after a road loss.
Colorado has a ton at stake but I don't think they can be mentally prepared for this game travelling 2 time zones (they lose 2 more hours) and on a short week. They are also 5-7 ATS against non-conference opponents the last 3 years.
This forum and the public are heavy on Colorado so, again, another sign to go Toledo and the points
