Quote:
Originally Posted by AdamL2424
I am really leaning to Iowa St. +7. Here are a few reasons
Iowa St has covered the spread 9 out of the last 10. The game has been close for the last decade with the only exception being in 05 when Iowa St won 23-3.
The Iowa St O-line has a huge size advantage over the Iowa D-line. In an interview with Iowa's linebacker Pat Angerer he says their defense isnt looking forward to facing Iowa States spread offense. The team really doesnt seem fired up to play after the horrible showing last weekend. Iowa has no playmakers at wideout. Moeaki is there main reciever and hes not that impressive. Hawkeyes O-line gave up 4 SACKS against Northern Iowa!!! Granted the Cyclones arent a powerhouse but they did put up 34 on a scrub team while the hawkeyes snuck away with a win after putting up on 17 on NORTHERN IOWA! This is a huge rivarly in the state of Iowa and jack trice stadium isnt the shoe or the swamp but its still gonna be a rowdy crowd.
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Some thoughts on your post............
1. Your are spot on, Iowa State has performed extremely well against the Hawks for the simple reason they take this game more seriously than any on their schedule. If they approached every game this way, they would be a bowl team year in and year out.........but instead have produced one of the worst programs over the past 50 years in all of CFB(please check to see the last time they won a conference title).
2. Do not take Angerer's comments as being much. This is exactly what he is supposed to say and the senior all big ten performer said the right thing and did not want to say anything to motivate the Cyclones. Having said that, he is spot on, as the new look ISU offense will probably cause some leaks in the Iowa defense.
3. Iowa is just fine at wideout and have an array of above average recievers and Moeki IS impressive at the TE position. It's the Iowa running game that needs to find a better than "adaquate" replacement for departed Shonn Greene.
4. The O-LINE will play much better this week for Iowa as they are returning two studs, possible 1st-team all Big Ten RT Calloway and Vandervelde, antoher possible all-conference performer. This will enable the other lineman to go back to their normal positions as well, as 1-2 guards were playing tackle. When healthy, this should be a top 5-10 OL in the entire country, achored by LT Bulaga who is a sure fire 1st rounder right now as a junior.
5. Keep in mind, Northern Iowa is better than probably 35-40% of the current FBS teams(including Iowa State) and may win the FCS title this year with a little luck.........plus they played with great motivation in this game as it was their biggest game in years.
As much as I disagreed with most of your post, you were SPOT ON with the most important factor here, and that is the intensity and past history ISU brings to this game year in and year out......more so than the Hawkeyes..........and they are at home as you suggested.
I look for a war similar to the Northern Iowa game with more of an emphasis on the offenses.
PREDICTION
IOWA 31
IOWA STATE 27
-FH-
Iowa vs Iowa St
