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  1. #211

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    Which means absolutely nothing. How many of you actaully get the lead lines, which is the opening lines not available to the public? Your line is wrong in North Texas. They came out at +2, not a pk. You also are going under the assumption that hte book who is giving you your,percentages is being honest with you, something that they may not do, to manipulate a line, knowing that there a re a lot of poeple out there who foolishly play systems like this. This is why wise guys and cartels rarely lose money overall. People like them can easily manipulate Joe Pub buy simply doing one of two things. We can either make numerous smaller wagers, effecting the percentages one way,mor make one huge wager, effecting it the ther way. There is absolutely of way of anyone knowing how the high rollers have wagered their money. The stats are worthless. How many people in here made money on Florida-LSU by playing a middle? Very few. I know of one besides my group. That was a perfect example of the line being manipulated by high rollers, who sucker Joe Pub into wagering a certain way, and then go the opposite way.

  2. #212
    threeg5's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by PacmanJr_00 View Post
    you are reading the wrong lines. tulsa isn't the favorite tonight. they are 10 point underdogs with 23% of the vote. some places have moved them down to 9.5 but i don't see any kind of consensus on that. 30000+ bets
    This is my fault but, I am correct I meant to pst that Boise State is in the 67%. I realize that after reading what you wrote it made a insinuation that I was speaking of Tulsa.

    http://www.sbrodds.com/#/odds/ncaaf/...intspread.html

    I just looked at the line and it is now back to -9 for BOISE STATE and at 66% so more people are coming in on the DOg this is what is wanted by the book ecept Bodog they are a very smart book.

    so the only real kind of Line movement would be the fact that the consensus would be there is none which would be an indicator with 30k wagers.

    My apologies from sterring wrong.



    Good Teaser Play
    +16 Tulsa/ over 48.5
    Would be great if it were
    16.5 Tulsa and the over was at 48

    Just an thought
    Last edited by threeg5; 10-14-09 at 06:37 PM. Reason: cant do math

  3. #213

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    Quote Originally Posted by threeg5 View Post
    What makes Tulsa a play by RLM standard?
    They opened at -9 they have 67% of the wagers and the line has went to -9.5
    So that is going the right way. if it would have went to -8.5 it would be going th wrong way but not a play.

    it might have been a play at the time that you posted that, I do not know.
    I do know there is a reason for the rule being that you should not play RLM more the 30 minutes out from the game.


    3g5

    It was a Play at the time.. Vegasinsider shows the lines in all the casinos some of them even hit Tulsa +8.5 when they stared out at +10. Percentages were 70 on Boise and 30 on Tulsa.

  4. #214

    Default Not Seeing Many RLMs Today

    Anyone seeing any RLM plays today. I only see 1 and it's weak.
    Miss -6.5 vs Ark, RLM 1.0, 28% of the betting, 18k betting pool
    Data from: http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-colleg...-betting-chart

    Anything else yet?

    Good luck to all.

  5. #215

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