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  1. #1

    Default Mcbaseball NCAA Football Season thread

    RLM in play early on this one with 60% on Ball State and line dropping from 17 to 16

    -Ball State lost most of their offensive line with 3 guys going to the pros and also have a new QB at the helm
    -NTexas returns their entire offensive line
    -Both teams have solid running backs with Lewis for Ball State being one of the best in the country last season. How big of an impact the o-line was is still to be determined.

    I think Ball State will win. But I don't see them having the talent to blow N Texas out

    North Texas +16
    ------------------------

    Baylor travels to Wake Forest
    -Last year Baylor lost at home to Wake last season 41-13

    -Baylor has the edge at RB Finley rushed for 865 yards and seven touchdowns in 2008 to lead the Bears but lost two o-linemen to the NFL

    -Wake has the edge at QB Riley Skinner, started 37 career games for the Demon Deacons and has a career completion percentage of 67.3. Last year, he hitting 27 of 36 passes for 220 yards and three touchdowns.

    Giving the home field edge to Wake with a solid veteran QB

    Wake Forest -2½ (-105)

  2. #2

    Default Thurs 9/3 result

    [quote=mcbaseball10;2193875]
    RLM in play early on this one with 60% on Ball State and line dropping from 17 to 16

    -Ball State lost most of their offensive line with 3 guys going to the pros and also have a new QB at the helm
    -NTexas returns their entire offensive line
    -Both teams have solid running backs with Lewis for Ball State being one of the best in the country last season. How big of an impact the o-line was is still to be determined.

    I think Ball State will win. But I don't see them having the talent to blow N Texas out

    WIN North Texas +16

    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/3/2009


    1-0 (100% +1.00 unit)
    _____________________

  3. #3

    Default

    -Nevada comes in with the worst ranked passing defense in 2008
    -Nevada has to travel cross country to a very hostile environment
    -I give the advantage to Nevada at QB with Kaepernick, but he has to throw against a Notre Dame defense that returns 7 starters
    -Notre Dame returns 10 offensive starters with WR Golden Tate looking to put up all American numbers and a reliable TE in SO Rudolph

    Turnovers will be the key to this cover. Kaepernick should feel the heat which I believe leads to a Notre Dame cover

    Notre Dame -14

  4. #4

    Default

    -Tulsa only has 5 guys back from the incredible offense that scored 47.2 points last college football season
    -They have to find a QB to replace David Johnson, who threw 47 touchdown passes last year en route to leading this offense to the No. 1 national ranking in total offense at 569.9 yards/game.

    -Tulsa returns 8 defensive starters who look to limit Anderson and Tulane's running attack

    Key to the game is going to be controlling time of possession battle. Tulane is not talented enough to win in a high scoring game. With a healthy Anderson for Tulane, look for them to keep it close and the scoring down.

    Tulsa vs. Tulane Under 64 (-115)

    For anybody into watching line movement here is the trends on this..I look for it to drop to 63.5 by game time

    http://www.covers.com/sports/odds/li...6641&sport=ncf
    Last edited by mcbaseball10; 09-04-09 at 10:09 AM.

  5. #5

    Default

    Guess I underestimated the movement
    Tulsa v. Tulane now down to 62

  6. #6

    Default Big Ten teaser

    UPDATED PENDING CARD

    NOTE: All of my plays are to win one unit on favorites and one unit wager on dogs

    Each To win 1 unit

    Tulsa vs. Tulane Under 64 (-115)
    Notre Dame -14
    Wake Forest -2½ (-105)

    6 point teaser (-110)

    Ohio State -15½
    Minnesota -1

    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/3/2009

    1-0 (100% +1.00 unit)

    _____________________

  7. #7

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post
    -Tulsa only has 5 guys back from the incredible offense that scored 47.2 points last college football season -They have to find a QB to replace David Johnson, who threw 47 touchdown passes last year en route to leading this offense to the No. 1 national ranking in total offense at 569.9 yards/game. -Tulsa returns 8 defensive starters who look to limit Anderson and Tulane's running attack Key to the game is going to be controlling time of possession battle. Tulane is not talented enough to win in a high scoring game. With a healthy Anderson for Tulane, look for them to keep it close and the scoring down.

    WIN [b]Tulsa vs. Tulane Under 64 (-115)
    _________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/4/2009

    2-0 (100% +2.00 units)

    _____________________
    [/color]

  8. #8

    Default

    Lot of negative talk around Ann Arbor keeping the numbers down. Michigan with Rodriguez is extremely underrated

    POUND THIS ONE!

    To win 5 UNITS!
    Michigan -7 (-105)
    1st half

  9. #9

    Default

    [quote=mcbaseball10;2198636]

    Each To win 1 unit

    WIN Notre Dame -14
    LOSSWake Forest -2½ (-105)

    6 point teaser (-110)
    LOSS
    Ohio State -15½
    Minnesota -1

    To win 5 UNITS!

    WINMichigan -7 (-105)
    1st half

    POUND THIS ONE!

    2-2 +3.85 units on Saturday
    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/5/2009

    4-2 (67% +5.85 units)
    _____________________

  10. #10

    Default

    To win 1 unit

    hate that I got in this one so late but didn't have a chance to bet earlier, Colorado should route them though with a powerful offense against a weak defense for CSU

    Colorado -12½

  11. #11

    Default

    Underestimated the strength of an experienced offensive line.


    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post
    To win 1 unit

    hate that I got in this one so late but didn't have a chance to bet earlier, Colorado should route them though with a powerful offense against a weak defense for CSU

    LOSS Colorado -12½

    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/5/2009


    4-3 (57% +4.75 units)
    _____________________

  12. #12

    Default

    Each to win 1 unit

    Cincinnati +4½
    ---------------
    Florida State -6

    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/5/2009

    4-3 (57% +4.75 units)

    _____________________

  13. #13

    Default 1-1 -.1 units

    1-1 -.1 units on Labor Day

    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post

    Each to win 1 unit

    WINCincinnati +4½
    ---------------
    LOSSFlorida State -6
    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/7/2009

    5-4 (56% +4.65 units)
    _____________________

  14. #14

    Default

    To win 2 units
    Stanford @ Wake Forest -3

    -Included the run down from USA Today talking about this matchup.
    Key points to me in this matchup Wake QB has much experience against a very inexperienced secondary for Stanford
    -QB for Stanford is a redshirt freshman
    -Game time is at 12:00 Eastern 9:00 am Pacific..team is traveling a day early to get acclamated, but think this is still a contributing factor

    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/colle...0/stanford.htm

    To win 1 unit
    Notre Dame -3 @ Michigan (-115)

    -Picked both of these teams to prevail last week and was impressed with both teams' performances
    -Claussen has matured so much over his last few outings and looks so much more comfortable in the pocket. The only question is how much was due to his weak opponents.
    -Michigan will rely on Freshman QB Forcier to manage the game and avoid turnovers which plagued the team last season

    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/7/2009


    5-4 (56% +4.65 units)
    _____________________

  15. #15

    Default

    To win 1 unit

    6 point teaser (-110)
    (365) Houston +21
    359) Bowling Green +25

  16. #16

    Default Friday night play

    Colorado was held in check offensively because of an interstate rivalry. Those teams know each other in and out. Now Colorado is playing Toledo, a team that loves to go up and down the field. Hawkins will have much more time to throw this week. Toledo is always going to score points and Colorado will put up there's this week as well. I expect a huge scoring affair.

    To win 2 units

    Colorado @ Toledo OVER 54 (-115)

  17. #17

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post
    Colorado was held in check offensively because of an interstate rivalry. Those teams know each other in and out. Now Colorado is playing Toledo, a team that loves to go up and down the field. Hawkins will have much more time to throw this week. Toledo is always going to score points and Colorado will put up there's this week as well. I expect a huge scoring affair.

    To win 2 units

    WIN Colorado @ Toledo OVER 54 (-115)

    __________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/11/2009

    6-4 (60% +6.65 units)

    _____________________

  18. #18

    Default

    A little RLM earlier in the day on this one

    To win 1 unit
    Wyoming +32

  19. #19

    Default Updated Record

    3-1 +3 units Saturday
    1-0
    +2 units Friday
    CFB weekend 4-1 +5 units
    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post

    To win 2 units


    WIN
    Stanford @ Wake Forest -3

    To win 1 unit


    LOSSNotre Dame -3
    @ Michigan (-115)

    WIN6 point teaser (-110)
    Houston +21
    Bowling Green +25

    WINWyoming +32
    _________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/13/2009

    9-5 (64% +9.65 units)

    _____________________

  20. #20

    Default

    Tried to get in at 55 but it dropped when I went to confirm
    Expect a low scoring game.
    -Miami is not going to put up as many points as they did late in the game against Florida State
    -GT is going to rely on a ground game that should eat up a lot of the clock.
    -Most of GT's scores came on big plays and were mostly held in check during the 2nd half against Clemson.
    -Miami having a long week to prepare for the option, I expect them to keep this one close.

    Waiting to see if spread drops to -3.5 before I place a bet on Miami, but see Miami winning in a low scoring affair..will update if add the Miami bet

    (101) Georgia Tech vs. (102) Miami (Florida) Under 54

    _________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/13/2009

    9-5 (64% +9.65 units)

    _____________________

  21. #21

    Default

    Added another unit to the under and went with Miami -4..tried to see if it would move to 3.5 but didn't happen

    so tonight's card

    To win 2 units

    (101) Georgia Tech vs. (102) Miami (Florida) Under 54

    To win 1 unit

    (102) Miami (Florida) -4 (-105)

  22. #22

    Default

    2-0 +3 units Thursday

    Probably going to be the high point of my season as far as winning percentage and units as I am a notorious 50% capper. But I will bask in the glory of a good start to the season. Off to Tennessee to play in a softball World Series! Have a great weekend fellas. Will try to get on for some plays if the Hotel has internet access, but it is Tennessee so not sure what to expect.


    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post


    To win 2 units

    WIN(101) Georgia Tech vs. (102) Miami (Florida) Under 54

    To win 1 unit
    WIN(102) Miami (Florida) -4 (-105)
    _________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/17/2009

    11-5 (69% +12.65 units)
    _____________________

  23. #23

    Default

    Got to love Bosher missing two FG . GL in Tenn.

  24. #24

    Default

    Thanks Porter! WIFI at the hotel..waited too long on Boise, but I pulled the trigger anyway.

    Boise Defense is way too much for Fresno, expecting a big win for a team that has all the confidence in the world right now.

    To win 1 unit

    Boise St -8

    _________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/17/2009

    11-5 (69% +12.65 units)
    _____________________

  25. #25

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post
    Thanks Porter! WIFI at the hotel..waited too long on Boise, but I pulled the trigger anyway.

    Boise Defense is way too much for Fresno, expecting a big win for a team that has all the confidence in the world right now.

    To win 1 unit

    WIN Boise St -8
    _________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/18/2009

    12-5 (71% +13.65 units)
    _____________________

  26. #26

    Default

    No time for write ups

    Each To win 1 unit

    Middle Tenn St +7

    (189) Cincinnati vs. (190) Oregon State Over 56

    (112) Pittsburgh -7½

    (189) Cincinnati -1½


    ________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/18/2009

    12-5 (71% +13.65 units)
    _____________________

  27. #27

    Default

    3-1 +2 units Saturday

    2-0 +2 units Thursday

    1-0 +1 unit Friday

    A good weekend of college football going 6-1 and adding 5 units!

    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post

    Each To win 1 unit

    WIN Middle Tenn St +7

    LOSS (189) Cincinnati vs. (190) Oregon State Over 56

    WIN (112) Pittsburgh -7½

    WIN (189) Cincinnati -1½


    ________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/19/2009

    15-6 (71% +15.65 units)
    _____________________

  28. #28

    Default

    My softball team finished 3rd in the tourney. We lost the first game and then went on to win 7 straight before losing in the finals of the losers bracket. 9 games in one day and my body is beat up, it hurts to do anything! We still managed to hit up Nashville's Coyote Ugly Bar for a couple hours before they closed. Good times and lots of yeager bombs to catch up for the full day of not drinking.

  29. #29

    Default Week 4 plays

    Midd Tenn St @ N. Texas

    -Dasher has been running (176 yrds 1 td) and throwing (759 yrds 5 tds) well for MT St in his Junior season..he must eliminate some of the Interceptions, 5 so far

    -Coming off a road win at Maryland where they made many mistakes and still
    walked away with a victory against an ACC team
    -Beat Memphis
    -Competed with Clemson in the opener

    -N Texas coming off a thrashing at Alabama where an SEC opponent has banged them up
    -N. Texas struggled to put up points against Ball State in opener and against strong Alabama defense
    -R. Dodge playing in his first conference game


    Midd Tenn State will have to shut down Cam Montgomery to win this one. N. Texas will not be able to keep up with them in a shootout.

    To win 1 unit

    Midd Tenn. St. -6.5

    ________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/19/2009

    15-6 (71% +15.65 units)
    _____________________

  30. #30

    Default

    Missouri @ Nevada

    -Nevada will be playing in their first home game of the season.
    -Missouri has to travel to the dry air of Nevada to play in a Friday night game on the West Coast.


    Nevada is going to put up some points. The question is can its defense come up with some crucial stops..

    I am leaning Nevada in this one, but have already laid the money on:

    To win 2 units

    Missouri @ Nevada OVER 59

  31. #31

  32. #32

    Default

    J-E-LL-O, how are ya buddy? Might be a good week for you to fade me, I have been doing much better than my norm. How you been hitting lately? I gave up on baseball, ended the season right around 51% and down a touch money wise. Feel free to chime in on any of my plays!

  33. #33

    Default

    Tailing Pags on 2 plays this week so not going to write up anything just share what I have bet so I can keep my record straight

    North Carolina +2½ -110 vs Georgia Tech
    Fresno State +16½ -110 vs Cincinnati U

  34. #34

    Default Added plays

    Not a good sign as I don't like to play too many games, but I am betting more games that fit my criteria for plays...

    RLM in effect on the 'Ole Balls Coach and on Reno 911

    To win 1 Unit
    South Carolina +4 (-115)

    Nevada +7

  35. #35

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by mcbaseball10 View Post

    To win 1 Unit
    WIN South Carolina +4 (-115)
    Tonight's Pending plays

    To win 1 unit
    Nevada +7

    To win 2 units

    Missouri @ Nevada OVER 59

    ________________________
    NCAA Football Regular season Bets Through 9/24/2009

    16-6 (73% +16.65 units)
    _____________________
    Last edited by mcbaseball10; 09-25-09 at 06:25 PM. Reason: updated season record

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