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Old 10-24-08, 05:14 PM   #1
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Default Why is people betting the under 41 in the game tonight??

I see no reason to bet the under....
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Old 10-24-08, 05:28 PM   #2
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I agree !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Old 10-24-08, 05:40 PM   #3
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i am not playing the under, but one could argue for the under due to both teams having solid D. Both teams esp have very strong pass D. so we should prob expect to see a lot of running on both sides. also Tomey is pretty conservative. he does not go for it on 4th n short often. he goes by the motto "reserve the right to punt". he plays the field position game, and wins games with solid D and a good kicking game
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Old 10-24-08, 05:42 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freeVICK View Post
i am not playing the under, but one could argue for the under due to both teams having solid D. Both teams esp have very strong pass D. so we should prob expect to see a lot of running on both sides. also Tomey is pretty conservative. he does not go for it on 4th n short often. he goes by the motto "reserve the right to punt". he plays the field position game, and wins games with solid D and a good kicking game
thanks for the info
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Old 10-24-08, 08:14 PM   #5
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Boise St. averages 32.5 points per game while giving up 10.5
San Jose St. averages 21.6 while giving up 16.6.

It's always tough to cap totals from pf/pa, but that's usually what vegas uses to set the totals.
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Old 10-24-08, 08:33 PM   #6
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that is not what vegas uses to cap totals...we all wish it worked that way
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Old 10-24-08, 08:34 PM   #7
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I have it capped close to the total. 43. So I guess it could go either way. But I would lean to the OVER.

Boise State 23
San Jose State 20
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Old 10-24-08, 08:54 PM   #8
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Quote:
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that is not what vegas uses to cap totals...we all wish it worked that way
That is exactly how they come up with totals while using a ton of other factors, like weather, turf or natural, night vs. day, etc. etc.

That number is thrown out there and they watch it closely early. They keep adjusting it until they get (try to) 50/50 on both sides.

My uncle ran the book at the Las Vegas Hilton back in the late sixties till the late seventies. Back then it was basically the Hilton and the Stardust that set every line in the world.

He told me that if they didn't have a good feel for a starting line or total, they would just post anything, put like a 5 grand cap on it for a few hours, then adjust it to where they felt they would get the 50/50 split. The cap would come off and they were golden.

The big difference today is that vegas doesn't set the lines anymore. More money is bet via the internet, so vegas uses a third party specialist and watches the early lines from several of the big online books to come up with their starting lines.
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Old 10-24-08, 08:56 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by daysleeper View Post
That is exactly how they come up with totals while using a ton of other factors, like weather, turf or natural, night vs. day, etc. etc.

That number is thrown out there and they watch it closely early. They keep adjusting it until they get (try to) 50/50 on both sides.

My uncle ran the book at the Las Vegas Hilton back in the late sixties till the late seventies. Back then it was basically the Hilton and the Stardust that set every line in the world.

He told me that if they didn't have a good feel for a starting line or total, they would just post anything, put like a 5 grand cap on it for a few hours, then adjust it to where they felt they would get the 50/50 split. The cap would come off and they were golden.

The big difference today is that vegas doesn't set the lines anymore. More money is bet via the internet, so vegas uses a third party specialist and watches the early lines from several of the big online books to come up with their starting lines.

This is very interesting!!!!
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