[36mafia]

cain velasquez (7-0)

vs

minotauro nogueira (32-5-1)

i can not see big nog grinding out a decision against the ko machine cain velasquez. nog could possibly get a w via submission but out wrestling cain (former 2x all american wrestler) would be a task in itself. on the other side, cain is coming off a ko victory in his fight against ben rothwell, and decision victory with kongo whose only been ko'd once in his career. hes on the cusp of being a serious contender against poster boy brock and hes looking to make a statement fight to be in contention. nog, 33, isnt considered an old f*ck in mma especially in the ufc, but his career in pride is gonna be a factor as the majority of his fights have been grind out decisions. it seems that big nogs career peaked in pride a few years ago and cain is just about to enter his prime. he has heavier hands, and his take down defense will keep big nogs bjj at bay.

i got cain (-120 at 5dimes) via ko in the 2nd round
5X to win 4.17X

[illmatick]

very tough Fight to call, I locked up cain at +190 but definitely will be buying back

a ko is a bold prediction, Nog with a lot better stand-up imo, Cain is going to have to grind out a decision if he wants to win the fight

[36mafia]

Originally Posted by illmatick

very tough Fight to call, I locked up cain at +190 but definitely will be buying back a ko is a bold prediction, Nog with a lot better stand-up imo, Cain is going to have to grind out a decision if he wants to win the fight

nogs stand up technique might be better but i just dont see him lasting three rounds with cain
nog took randy to a decision but cain is a different match up and is better than couture than every aspect of the game right now
plain and simple cain hits like a freight train

[TheIceman]

Cain hits people 200 times and they are still in the fight , HOW ? Sounds more like pillow ...

[36mafia]

added picks (5dimes):
cain +100
3x / 3x

sotiropoulos +195
1x / 1.95x

cro cop/krzysztoff parlay
2.75x / 2.05x

[36mafia]

Originally Posted by TheIceman

Cain hits people 200 times and they are still in the fight , HOW ? Sounds more like pillow ...

hes only had one fight go the distance and that was against kongo whose only been ko'd once

[TheIceman]

Speed absolutely killed Nog , hope you won a lot . KO in the first round probably paid huge .

[Kaladarus]

You missed out on better lines for some of your picks, but dam good job hitting everything.

[36mafia]

Originally Posted by TheIceman

Speed absolutely killed Nog , hope you won a lot . KO in the first round probably paid huge .

speed and power killed nog. nog not moving his head at all did hurt him a bit though
i didnt win that much. im just a $10 bettor, winning enough to pay for the wings/card/beer.

[36mafia]

Originally Posted by Kaladarus

You missed out on better lines for some of your picks, but dam good job hitting everything.

thanks man. only play at 5Dimes though and some of the picks took some serious thought before pulling the trigger.

3-0 (4-0 if you count the reload on cain)
+11.17x