[Pabst]

Pending	6 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* vs Sheldon Westcott
				Pending	4/16/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1301 Olivier Aubin-Mercier -135* vs Chad Laprise
				Pending	4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* vs Akira Corassani
				Pending	4/16/14 4:00pm UFC Fighting 2002 Nordine Taleb -205* vs Vik Grujic
				Pending	4/16/14 3:30pm UFC Fighting 2102 Richard Walsh -240* vs Chris Indich
				Pending	4/16/14 3:00pm UFC Fighting 2202 Mitch Gagnon -280* vs Tim Gorman

Mitch Gagnon is a fighter with heavy hands (almost KO Caraway for example) and his on a 2 wins streak. Tim Gorman is a young man from TUF Tate vs Rousey, not a lot of experience. Gagnon will be too much for him.

Walsh will destroy Indich. Indich isn't even near UFC-level. He got busted for 3 rounds by Chad Laprise and did absolutely NOTHING in his fight except throwing headbut on Laprise fists.

Nordine did a full camp at Tristar, got a lot of UFC experience even tough he never fought in the real cage (TUF Nation & TUF 19 ). I dont think Vik will be able to land a takedown on Nordine and he will get light up on the feet.

Poirier vs Akira. Poirier is legit. Akira, IMO, lost his fight against Ogle and would've lost his last fight if it wasnt for the DQ in the opening seconds. This is pretty much a lock.

OAB vs Laprise. This is the one fight Im scared of. Typical grappler vs striker match-up. If Oli can get some TDs, he will control Chad easily and could even RNC him. If he can't, I think Laprise can cruise himself to a UD, or even land a haymaker since Oli is very inexperienced on the feet and his chin has never been tested.

Theodorou wrestle-f*ck Sheldon for 3 rounds. I don't see Sheldon having the strenght to stop Theodorou from grinding on him.

5U to win 42.03U

VALUE

[Beelzebubzy]

is anyone going to parlay the exact opposite?

[NunyaBidness]

I believe!

4/14/14	$100.00	$3,811.40	Pending	4 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1201 Sheldon Westcott +125* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Elias Theodorou
				Pending	4/16/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1302 Chad Laprise +105* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Olivier Aubin-Mercier
				Pending	4/16/14 4:00pm UFC Fighting 2001 Vik Grujic +165* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Nordine Taleb
				Pending	4/16/14 3:00pm UFC Fighting 2201 Tim Gorman +220* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Mitch Gagnon

[Beelzebubzy]

I nominated your post.

That means something to someone somewhere I think sometimes.

[NunyaBidness]

I'd like to thank the academy and specifically Beez, I couldn't have done it without him. And of course Pabst, the fade is strong with that one.

[Vaughany]

[Beelzebubzy]

I am moving to the burbs. I put in an offer for a house yesterday and they accepted our counter offer. I will be living next to a golf course.

Growing up sucks.

[Beelzebubzy]

dont be a jooo. You knowz you be tailin Nunya. Hit the anti tout with a payment.

[NunyaBidness]

I am moving to the burbs. I put in an offer for a house yesterday and they accepted our counter offer. I will be living next to a golf course.

Growing up sucks.

Congrats!

[Beelzebubzy]

Congrats!

Thanks. I am still going to have my NY apartment. But the building is having structural issues which needs to be addressed. So I have to get out of my apartment.

[Vaughany]

Congratz! Multiple property ownership...I need to get in the Human Resources business!

[Beelzebubzy]

Congratz! Multiple property ownership...I need to get in the Human Resources business!

I'm not in the HR business. I'm in the empire business.

All serious. House was 70k below budget. Needs work to be done. Father in law is a builder for a living. Will do work for cost of material and Peter Luger Steaks

[Vaughany]

yezzir!

[MD]

Pending	6 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Sheldon Westcott
				Pending	4/16/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1301 Olivier Aubin-Mercier -135* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Chad Laprise
				Pending	4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Akira Corassani
				Pending	4/16/14 4:00pm UFC Fighting 2002 Nordine Taleb -205* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Vik Grujic
				Pending	4/16/14 3:30pm UFC Fighting 2102 Richard Walsh -240* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Chris Indich
				Pending	4/16/14 3:00pm UFC Fighting 2202 Mitch Gagnon -280* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Tim Gorman

Mitch Gagnon is a fighter with heavy hands (almost KO Caraway for example) and his on a 2 wins streak. Tim Gorman is a young man from TUF Tate vs Rousey, not a lot of experience. Gagnon will be too much for him.

Walsh will destroy Indich. Indich isn't even near UFC-level. He got busted for 3 rounds by Chad Laprise and did absolutely NOTHING in his fight except throwing headbut on Laprise fists.

Nordine did a full camp at Tristar, got a lot of UFC experience even tough he never fought in the real cage (TUF Nation & TUF 19 ). I dont think Vik will be able to land a takedown on Nordine and he will get light up on the feet.

Poirier vs Akira. Poirier is legit. Akira, IMO, lost his fight against Ogle and would've lost his last fight if it wasnt for the DQ in the opening seconds. This is pretty much a lock.

OAB vs Laprise. This is the one fight Im scared of. Typical grappler vs striker match-up. If Oli can get some TDs, he will control Chad easily and could even RNC him. If he can't, I think Laprise can cruise himself to a UD, or even land a haymaker since Oli is very inexperienced on the feet and his chin has never been tested.

Theodorou wrestle-f*ck Sheldon for 3 rounds. I don't see Sheldon having the strenght to stop Theodorou from grinding on him.

5U to win 42.03U

VALUE

Is this a lock?

[Beelzebubzy]

Not Browne by Sub -7700

lock it up boys.

[Pabst]

Is this a lock?

no ahah

[Beelzebubzy]

no ahah

then why 5u?

You put 5u on a lock with Guida/Crusher O2.5 at -275?

[MD]

no ahah

Can I offer you some constructive advice? You're not standing by your convictions enough, and your parlays lack manliness. If you were a real gambler, you'd have called this a lock.

Since I'm a real gambler, this is a lock:

		$285.00	$4,147.01	Pending	11 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Sheldon Westcott
				Pending	4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Akira Corassani
				Pending	4/16/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 K.J. Noons/Sam Stout Over 2½ -285*
				Pending	4/16/14 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Leslie Smith/Sarah Kaufman Over 2½ -350*
				Pending	4/16/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Mark Bocek -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Mike De La Torre
				Pending	4/19/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Travis Browne -200* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Fabricio Werdum
				Pending	4/26/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Jon Jones -580* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Glover Teixeira
				Pending	4/26/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Luke Rockhold -1000* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Tim Boetsch
				Pending	4/16/14 9:00pm Props Fighting 1010 Not Bisping inside distance -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Bisping wins inside distance
				Pending	4/16/14 8:30pm Props Fighting 1106 Not Noke inside distance -380* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Noke wins inside distance
				Pending	5/3/14 11:00pm Props Fighting 683 Mayweather Jr wins by KO or unanim dec -300* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Any other result

[Pabst]

Can I offer you some constructive advice? You're not standing by your convictions enough, and your parlays lack manliness. If you were a real gambler, you'd have called this a lock.

Since I'm a real gambler, this is a lock:

		$285.00	$4,147.01	Pending	11 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* vs Sheldon Westcott
				Pending	4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* vs Akira Corassani
				Pending	4/16/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 K.J. Noons/Sam Stout Over 2½ -285*
				Pending	4/16/14 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Leslie Smith/Sarah Kaufman Over 2½ -350*
				Pending	4/16/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Mark Bocek -485* vs Mike De La Torre
				Pending	4/19/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Travis Browne -200* vs Fabricio Werdum
				Pending	4/26/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Jon Jones -580* vs Glover Teixeira
				Pending	4/26/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Luke Rockhold -1000* vs Tim Boetsch
				Pending	4/16/14 9:00pm Props Fighting 1010 Not Bisping inside distance -485* vs Bisping wins inside distance
				Pending	4/16/14 8:30pm Props Fighting 1106 Not Noke inside distance -380* vs Noke wins inside distance
				Pending	5/3/14 11:00pm Props Fighting 683 Mayweather Jr wins by KO or unanim dec -300* vs Any other result

Nice parlay man! Aren't you worried Noons could TKO Stout?

[MD]

Nice parlay man! Aren't you worried Noons could TKO Stout?

No, as I said, it's a lock.

In seriousness, no, not really. Small percentage chance of that happening, I think.

[Pabst]

then why 5u?

You put 5u on a lock with Guida/Crusher O2.5 at -275?

5u is about 17.5% of my bankroll. I'm trying to go big on this parlay, but theres great chance I'll lose it

[MD]

5u is about 17.5% of my bankroll. I'm trying to go big on this parlay, but theres great chance I'll lose it

You've been pretty civil and personable, which makes this post surprising, as it gives off incredibly strong troll vibes.

On the off chance that you're serious, yeah, don't do that. A wager with a positive expectation of profit loses more value the more you overbet, and eventually becomes a negative-value proposition, which of course you wish to avoid.

Also, 1u = 1% of your bankroll.

[Pabst]

You've been pretty civil and personable, which makes this post surprising, as it gives off incredibly strong troll vibes.

On the off chance that you're serious, yeah, don't do that. A wager with a positive expectation of profit loses more value the more you overbet, and eventually becomes a negative-value proposition, which of course you wish to avoid.

Also, 1u = 1% of your bankroll.

1u = 1%, is that a common rule?

Anyway, it's not that much money, I don't bet big amounts, f*ck BR management on that one.

[MD]

1u = 1%, is that a common rule?

Anyway, it's not that much money, I don't bet big amounts, f*ck BR management on that one.

It's standard, yes. The intention of a unit is to allow someone to show their bet sizing without revealing how much they're risking monetarily, so if a unit had no real generally accepted meaning, it would be worthless.

It's not about the amounts, though, it's about positive expectation; if you're risking 17.5% of your bankroll on that parlay, do you think that you have a positive expectation of profit? That's not to say that it won't cash, but if we ran that bet over and over a million times, how much money do you think you'd have at the end?

Beginners tend to make that mistake a lot; "my bankroll isn't big so I don't need to follow bankroll management." You should consider the difference between a positive expectation and a negative expectation; if you're wagering, why make a bet that you're expecting to lose money on? For any amount? If your friend offered to give you $20 every time his coin landed on tails as long as you gave him $25 when it lands on heads, would you do it? It's just $20, right?

[marzwoody]

Can I offer you some constructive advice? You're not standing by your convictions enough, and your parlays lack manliness. If you were a real gambler, you'd have called this a lock.

Since I'm a real gambler, this is a lock:

		$285.00	$4,147.01	Pending	11 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Sheldon Westcott
				Pending	4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Akira Corassani
				Pending	4/16/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 K.J. Noons/Sam Stout Over 2½ -285*
				Pending	4/16/14 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Leslie Smith/Sarah Kaufman Over 2½ -350*
				Pending	4/16/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Mark Bocek -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Mike De La Torre
				Pending	4/19/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Travis Browne -200* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Fabricio Werdum
				Pending	4/26/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Jon Jones -580* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Glover Teixeira
				Pending	4/26/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Luke Rockhold -1000* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Tim Boetsch
				Pending	4/16/14 9:00pm Props Fighting 1010 Not Bisping inside distance -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Bisping wins inside distance
				Pending	4/16/14 8:30pm Props Fighting 1106 Not Noke inside distance -380* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Noke wins inside distance
				Pending	5/3/14 11:00pm Props Fighting 683 Mayweather Jr wins by KO or unanim dec -300* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Any other result

No, that's called failure

[marzwoody]

It's standard, yes. The intention of a unit is to allow someone to show their bet sizing without revealing how much they're risking monetarily, so if a unit had no real generally accepted meaning, it would be worthless.

It's not about the amounts, though, it's about positive expectation; if you're risking 17.5% of your bankroll on that parlay, do you think that you have a positive expectation of profit? That's not to say that it won't cash, but if we ran that bet over and over a million times, how much money do you think you'd have at the end?

Beginners tend to make that mistake a lot; "my bankroll isn't big so I don't need to follow bankroll management." You should consider the difference between a positive expectation and a negative expectation; if you're wagering, why make a bet that you're expecting to lose money on? For any amount? If your friend offered to give you $20 every time his coin landed on tails as long as you gave him $25 when it lands on heads, would you do it? It's just $20, right?

Josh thompson??? 10k??

[Beelzebubzy]

Josh thompson??? 10k??

MD you only had 10k on Thomspon at +900 and +600 after 3 rounds?
Thought it would have been more.

I think I lost 1k.

[MD]

MD you only had 10k on Thomspon at +900 and +600 after 3 rounds?
Thought it would have been more.

I think I lost 1k.

I said it was in the five figures or something and da haterz ran with 10K, it was unfortunately more than that, enough to tilt me badly when the 49-46 card was read out as for Henderson. Probably shouldn't even have posted the five-figures comment at the time, but I really didn't care and was extremely annoyed about the decision. Definitely the most tilted I've ever been in sports betting. Oh well, at least Marz has something to make fun of me for while he continues to not gamble on this gambling forum.

[Beelzebubzy]

I said it was in the five figures or something and da haterz ran with 10K, it was unfortunately more than that, enough to tilt me badly when the 49-46 card was read out as for Henderson. Probably shouldn't even have posted the five-figures comment at the time, but I really didn't care and was extremely annoyed about the decision. Definitely the most tilted I've ever been in sports betting. Oh well, at least Marz has something to make fun of me for while he continues to not gamble on this gambling forum.

I would have made that play again. I think I popped a semi when I saw teh +616 and +800.

[MD]

I would have made that play again. I think I popped a semi when I saw teh +616 and +800.

Of course. It was an unbelievably +EV bet, should have been -200ish IMO.

Also found what I said.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma...l#post20990058

Close enough.

[marzwoody]

I said it was in the five figures or something and da haterz ran with 10K, it was unfortunately more than that, enough to tilt me badly when the 49-46 card was read out as for Henderson. Probably shouldn't even have posted the five-figures comment at the time, but I really didn't care and was extremely annoyed about the decision. Definitely the most tilted I've ever been in sports betting. Oh well, at least Marz has something to make fun of me for while he continues to not gamble on this gambling forum.

Not being an ass but you set yourself up for that one, and i have been gambling, won big on clottey vs mundine, parlayed nelson and guida, and have a parlay for pacman / bisping, just haven't been posting them on this forum.

[MD]

Not being an ass but you set yourself up for that one, and i have been gambling, won big on clottey vs mundine, parlayed nelson and guida, and have a parlay for pacman / bisping, just haven't been posting them on this forum.

I don't think you know what "expecting to lose money" means, but that aside, the bets you posted lost, you made a fool of yourself, and retired from gambling, but you've secretly been gambling and crushing it now that you're not posting your bets?

My penis is 13 inches when no one is looking at it.

[Beelzebubzy]

i didnt even get to see those lines.

I hit 900, 800, and 616 and saw 356 that i was loading up on but devil pups blocked me

damn you bendo!!!

[Pabst]

My penis is 13 inches when no one is looking at it.

Best thing I've ever read

[marzwoody]

I don't think you know what "expecting to lose money" means, but that aside, the bets you posted lost, you made a fool of yourself, and retired from gambling, but you've secretly been gambling and crushing it now that you're not posting your bets?

My penis is 13 inches when no one is looking at it.

Which bets lost? you mean the card, where nearly everyone lost money and most of the underdogs won? I could care less about anyone else's opinions, so why would i post plays to entertain people? iv'e grown out of that phase, don't have the time to respond to doubters who shut up after the events over i have way better things to do with my time, like watching the fights and counting the doh afterwards but hey i'm not a bitch, anyone asks me what bets i'm making before an event i will gladly reply.