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Old 02-20-09, 05:13 PM   #1
TheGovernor11
 
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Default UFC 95 Picks

All I'm going to say is that I'm glad this event's on Spike. I swear, after an awesome January, we have to wait until the middle of April for the UFC to get their shiiiit together.


5* Diego Sanchez -250
vs. Joe Stevenson

5* Parlay
-183
---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago

3* Parlay +108

---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
---Junor Dos Santos -290 vs. Stefan Struve

2* Dan Hardy -120 vs. Rory Markham

These last two plays I'm not counting towards my Individual MMA Record but will to my betting record because I'm betting both sides. The way I see it, if Marquardt wins (which is most likely) I win about a unit. If Gouveia pulls out the upset, I win about a half a unit.

2* Parlay +102
---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
---Nate Marquardt -325 vs. Wilson Gouveia

1* Wilson Gouveia +265 vs. Nate Marquardt
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MMA Individual Matches: 10-3 (77%) (as of 9-12-2009)
MMA Bets: 11-3 +3.51 units (79%) (as of 9-12-2009)
2008 MMA Individual Matches: 59-32-3 (73%)
2008 MMA Bets: 50-46-3 +43.34 Units (52%)
*updated on 11-14-09 @ 18:24*
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Old 02-20-09, 06:47 PM   #2
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Yea this should be a night that most of the big favs win there fights. Don't know Brian Cobb myself but i think all 4 guys on sherdog picked him over Terry Etim, nad Cobb is paying +200. Might be the only Dog worth a play on the card.
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Old 02-20-09, 07:03 PM   #3
TheGovernor11
 
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Haha wow we're thinking similar on this card. Brian Cobb was the one dog I was really liking and considering making a play on.
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MMA Individual Matches: 10-3 (77%) (as of 9-12-2009)
MMA Bets: 11-3 +3.51 units (79%) (as of 9-12-2009)
2008 MMA Individual Matches: 59-32-3 (73%)
2008 MMA Bets: 50-46-3 +43.34 Units (52%)
*updated on 11-14-09 @ 18:24*
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Old 02-20-09, 09:45 PM   #4
Bread
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About to post my plays. All seem to agree on heavy favs for sure. GL!
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Old 02-21-09, 03:43 AM   #5
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I really like Hardy to win. Cobb looks like a good bet too as I do not like Etim.
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Old 02-21-09, 07:02 AM   #6
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I think Stefan Stuve at +220 odds is showing some good value. Dos Santos' last fight at UFC 90 where he KO'd Werdum, he was an underdog of +500 and up. He caught Werdum square on the chin for an instant knockout. I've gotta do more research on Strufe before placing a bet. But my initial lean is that Dos Santos may be getting too much credit here.

Other than that, I'm a big fan of Maia and I'm going to continue betting on him until he shows me why I should stop. This guy is so slick on the ground, and I'm guessing Sonnen is going to have to get comfortable fighting on the ground in this one.
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Old 02-21-09, 11:16 AM   #7
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Stefan "Skyscraper" Struve (16-2-0) is like 6'8'' and has 75% of his wins by submission. You can catch a lot of his fights on YouTube including his last one. I'm staying away from this one.
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Old 02-21-09, 11:27 AM   #8
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I think JR is a great parlay with Maia and koscheck. I saw Struve fight and he was mounted within the 1st 1:30 but just over-powered the guy. Jr is a lot stronger and has a great camp. Is it just me or does Jr training with shogun rua and the muscle mass he has put on seem suspicious? I would understand why you wouldn't take Jr with Struve's record though.
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Old 02-21-09, 12:52 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by THE_LOCKSMITH;15****2
Yea this should be a night that most of the big favs win there fights. Don't know Brian Cobb myself but i think all 4 guys on sherdog picked him over Terry Etim, nad Cobb is paying +200. Might be the only Dog worth a play on the card.
The guys on Sherdog also made it clear that they do not condone or encourage sports betting, unless you win.
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Old 02-21-09, 03:42 PM   #10
onemorebet
 
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Any thoughts on Hardy? Live stream on justin.tv

http://www.justin.tv/ufclive123
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Old 02-21-09, 03:48 PM   #11
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I'm still steaming after Josh's KO!

Great way to **** up my afternoon...gg life.
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Old 02-21-09, 04:40 PM   #12
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I work for Comcast and install cable..once I found out Koscheck had been knocked out, ruining all 3 of my bets for the night..I had to leave their house lol.
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Old 02-21-09, 06:45 PM   #13
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Wow, that hurt. Kosceck ****ed over a lot of tickets tonight including mine. makes it all that worst knowing i layed -500 with the guy
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Old 02-22-09, 12:11 AM   #14
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Extremely impressed with Maia. That was one of the slickest subs I have seen. Stevenson seemed to have no game plan at all. He needs to get himself into a quality camp or at least needs a change of scenery in camps.
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Old 02-22-09, 06:15 PM   #15
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Default Final results

Sorry I didn't update this live like I normally do and for the poor showing. I was watching my buddy in a muay thai fight and couldn't get to a computer. Once again though, stupid parlays kill me. Maybe I need to swear off them again haha.


5* Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson...WIN

5* Parlay -183...Loss
---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago

3* Parlay +108...Loss
---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
---Junor Dos Santos -290 vs. Stefan Struve

2* Dan Hardy -120 vs. Rory Markham...WIN

2* Parlay +102...Loss
---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
---Nate Marquardt -325 vs. Wilson Gouveia

1* Wilson Gouveia +265 vs. Nate Marquardt...Loss


Individual Matches
3-1

MMA Bets
2-4 -6.96 units
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MMA Individual Matches: 10-3 (77%) (as of 9-12-2009)
MMA Bets: 11-3 +3.51 units (79%) (as of 9-12-2009)
2008 MMA Individual Matches: 59-32-3 (73%)
2008 MMA Bets: 50-46-3 +43.34 Units (52%)
*updated on 11-14-09 @ 18:24*
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Old 03-29-09, 08:17 PM   #16
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googluck next time too,message me for any help.
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