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Prop Joe's Bets Thread
Hey guys. Instead of making a new thread for every event, I'll just post all of my bets in here.
11/12/11 - UFC on Fox 1
Benson Henderson (-220) to win 200
Pablo Garza (+240) to risk 50
Paul Bradley (+300) to risk 50
Mackens Semerzier (-110) to win 50
Aaron Lucas (+125) to win 125
11/12/11 - Bellator 57
Douglas Lima (+125) to risk 50
Alexander Schlemenko (-215) to win 200
why not go for rosa matt? he is much better!
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Originally Posted by bjpenn85
might be worthwhile to go back and check youtube for rosa`s other fights at 205...he wasn`t bad when he was in shape...but who knows how that weight gain and drop will affect him.........
on garza and bendo...g.l.,joe...
I think Rosa/Lucas is a no play. I can't speak on behalf of everyone here but I don't know nearly enough about either fighter to make a confident play
I'm on Garza and Lucas, as well. GL
I do agree with you rock, but I'll add that I think all his wins at lhw were against +.500 competition. However, the same can be said about lucas too. The few decent to 'good' fighters rosa fought at lhw he lost to (and his best recent win at hw was really close against D. cole, cole could have done a little more in round 3 and would have won imo).
I'd like to add on Vitoch's comment below - lucas/rosa is a no play - I agree. Initially I was all about this fight in the main ufc on fox thread, but I've researched it A LOT today, and its a risky play. Yet I am still making a play, but probably just a line play where before I thought I would be risking around 3 or 4 hundo on lucas at that price. So I will be with you prop joe on this one, I just will be going smaller than planned and it really is a no play, I just think rosa is not really that good at anything and lucas appears to have some refined skill.
Last edited by MMAbetMASTA; 11-11-11 at 10:25 PM.
Hope you're wrong on pierce joe, and for my sake let's both hope bradley loses, because I paid the juice and made a double line play on pierce~!!! Nervous as shit....haha. So yea, let's hope I don't lose 630 instead of you losing 50
Like all the other plays man, GL my friend. I'll post mine in your thread when I make them later tonight if you don't mind (pierce is all I've placed).
What I'm looking at and probably going to place in the next few hours:
Looking at going rather large on lamas. I've looked at this fight long and hard and have kept my mouth shut on it, but I'm leaning rather heavy on lamas.
Gonna make the line play on lucas.
Pussed out of D. Johnson, just can't pay that juice on that man - even though I think he beats havirson rather easily - I just think johnson is too inconsistent.
GL man and gl everyone else!!!
Hope you don't mind joe, gonna post my plays here. I would make my own thread, but I've shyed away from it for too long now and am kinda over it at this point. I'll just continue posting my plays here and there in other people's threads if that's cool! GL brother.
[COLOR=#000000 !important]Here are my str8 plays ofr UFC on Fox:
40064294-1 11/11/2011 8:48 PM Money Line 96 -110Other Sports - 24437 M Lucas +115 for Game
Here are my parlays (sorry the format, I just copy and paste):
First two are pending from past events (obviously got lucky with hioki and I'm regretting hendo on these...)
92201835-110/13/11 2:32am$25.00$214.79Pending4 Team ParlayWin10/29/11 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Hatsu Hioki -300 vs George Roop Pending11/19/11 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1001 Dan Henderson +100* vs Mauricio Rua Pending11/19/11 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1602 Chris Weidman -335* vs Tom Lawlor Pending11/12/11 11:00pm Props Fighting 1005 Santos wins inside distance +177* vs Not Santos inside distance
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92201879-110/13/11 2:36am$25.00$277.99Pending4 Team ParlayWin10/29/11 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Hatsu Hioki -300 vs George Roop Pending11/19/11 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1001 Dan Henderson +100* vs Mauricio Rua Pending11/19/11 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1602 Chris Weidman -335* vs Tom Lawlor Pending11/12/11 11:00pm Props Fighting 1003 Santos/Velasquez goes 5 round distance +250* vs Fight won't go 5 round distance
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95787482-111/11/11 11:36pm$15.00$51.55Pending3 Team ParlayPending11/12/11 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Ricardo Lamas -140* vs Cub Swanson Pending11/12/11 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Mike Pierce -340* vs Paul Bradley Pending11/12/11 9:30pm Props Fighting 1009 Velasquez wins inside distance +100* vs Not Velasquez inside distance
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95787552-111/11/11 11:38pm$10.00$107.64Pending6 Team ParlayPending11/12/11 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Ricardo Lamas -140* vs Cub Swanson Pending11/12/11 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 DaMarques Johnson -270* vs Clay Harvison Pending11/12/11 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Norifumi Yamamoto -370* vs Darren Uyenoyama Pending11/12/11 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Cole Escovedo -260* vs Alex Caceres Pending11/12/11 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Mike Pierce -340* vs Paul Bradley Pending11/12/11 5:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Matt Lucas +120* vs Aaron Rosa
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95787647-111/11/11 11:39pm$13.00$106.16Pending6 Team ParlayPending11/12/11 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Ricardo Lamas -140* vs Cub Swanson Pending11/12/11 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 DaMarques Johnson -270* vs Clay Harvison Pending11/12/11 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Norifumi Yamamoto -370* vs Darren Uyenoyama Pending11/12/11 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Cole Escovedo -260* vs Alex Caceres Pending11/12/11 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Mike Pierce -340* vs Paul Bradley Pending11/12/11 5:00pm UFC Fighting 1902 Aaron Rosa -140* vs Matt Lucas
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Hail mary for shits and giggles:
95788630-111/11/11 11:43pm$5.00$167.80Pending8 Team ParlayPending11/12/11 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Ben Henderson -270* vs Clay Guida Pending11/12/11 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Ricardo Lamas -140* vs Cub Swanson Pending11/12/11 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 DaMarques Johnson -270* vs Clay Harvison Pending11/12/11 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Norifumi Yamamoto -370* vs Darren Uyenoyama Pending11/12/11 6:30pm UFC Fighting 1601 Mackens Semerzier/Robert Peralta Over 2½ -205* Pending11/12/11 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Cole Escovedo -260* vs Alex Caceres Pending11/12/11 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Mike Pierce -340* vs Paul Bradley Pending11/12/11 9:30pm Props Fighting 1005 Santos wins inside distance +217* vs Not Santos inside distance
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95789625-111/11/11 11:46pm$2.00$22.72Pending5 Team ParlayPending11/12/11 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Ricardo Lamas -140* vs Cub Swanson Pending11/12/11 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 DaMarques Johnson -270* vs Clay Harvison Pending11/12/11 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1502 Norifumi Yamamoto -370* vs Darren Uyenoyama Pending11/12/11 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1701 Alex Caceres +220* vs Cole Escovedo Pending11/12/11 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Mike Pierce -340* vs Paul Bradley[/COLOR]
Need Pierce to win as well, got him at +250 and it hasn't been voided so I could potentially making a lot of money of a risk-free bet (arbing it with Bradley at +285)! Bradley did look bigger though and Pierce didnt look as ripped as he has in past - but hopefully Bradley's muscles will lead to him gassing by mid-2nd round.Hope you're wrong on pierce joe, and for my sake let's both hope bradley loses, because I paid the juice and made a double line play on pierce~!!! Nervous as shit....haha. So yea, let's hope I don't lose 630 instead of you losing 50
Like all the other plays man, GL my friend. I'll post mine in your thread when I make them later tonight if you don't mind (pierce is all I've placed).
What I'm looking at and probably going to place in the next few hours:
Looking at going rather large on lamas. I've looked at this fight long and hard and have kept my mouth shut on it, but I'm leaning rather heavy on lamas.
Gonna make the line play on lucas.
Pussed out of D. Johnson, just can't pay that juice on that man - even though I think he beats havirson rather easily - I just think johnson is too inconsistent.
GL man and gl everyone else!!!
SBR POKER TOURNEY13th Place 5/19/2012
+250!!! THis fuckin' guy...you're the line king...! YOu're stoked man, I wouldn't be too worried if I were you at that price!
Yea bradley did look ripped, but like you said hopefully that muscle will gas. Gl brother!
LOL. oops.
thanks, i hope we hit both pablo and benson!!
LOL. I'm cool with Pierce winning for the good of the community as long as a few of my others hit.Hope you're wrong on pierce joe, and for my sake let's both hope bradley loses, because I paid the juice and made a double line play on pierce~!!! Nervous as shit....haha. So yea, let's hope I don't lose 630 instead of you losing 50
Like all the other plays man, GL my friend. I'll post mine in your thread when I make them later tonight if you don't mind (pierce is all I've placed).
What I'm looking at and probably going to place in the next few hours:
Looking at going rather large on lamas. I've looked at this fight long and hard and have kept my mouth shut on it, but I'm leaning rather heavy on lamas.
Gonna make the line play on lucas.
Pussed out of D. Johnson, just can't pay that juice on that man - even though I think he beats havirson rather easily - I just think johnson is too inconsistent.
GL man and gl everyone else!!!
And yeah dude, it's totally fine with me to post your pics in here, I always like seeing what everyone else is playing. Good luck to you bro.
I think that at least one will hit. Good luck to you too man.
UFC on Fox/Bellator 57 Results: + $212.50
11/19/11 - UFC 139
Seth Baczynski (+150) to risk 200
Martin Kampann (+120) to risk 50
Nick Pace (+275) to risk 25
Tom Lawlor (+275) to risk 25
Big night for betting on dogs, in my opinion. Pace and Lawlor are rightful underdogs but I see value in both lines. I pegged Baczynski as being around a
-200 when doing my preliminary analysis. Big value there.
Congrats!
Thanks
Added:
Gleison Tibau (-175) to win 50
Dan Henderson (+125) to risk 50
UFC 139 Results: + $422.50
Thread totals: + $635.00
11/26/11 - Bellator 59
Patricky Freire (+135) to risk 100
Good job
Was def a night for the dogs
SBR POKER TOURNEY13th Place 5/19/2012
Thanks VaughanyGood job
Was def a night for the dogs
It certainly was. I felt particularly lucky to get such a great line on Baczynski. One of the few times in my short gambling career that I felt the oddsmakers were WAY, WAY off.
12/3/11 - TUF 14 Finale
Tony Ferguson (-255) to win 200
Michael Bisping (-200) to win 100
Marcus Brimage (+140) to risk 100
Dennis Bermudez (+265) to risk 100
John Dodson (+185) to risk 50
Jonathan Clopton (+145) to risk 50
Dustin Neace (+325) to risk 25
Like all of them, joe. Good value on this card. Parlay that shitt just for the hell of it, $2 on that would probably win you around $500+ I'm guessing!!! Gl meng!
Thanks bud.
I would love to parlay Bisping, Ferguson, and Brimage as another play but my book (local) doesn't offer that option, unfortunately.
Bellator 59 results: + $135
TUF 14 Finale results: + $357.50
Thread totals: + $1127.50
12/10/11 - UFC 140
Frank Mir (-250) to win 200
Brian Ebersole (-125) to win 200
Chan Sung Jung (+300) to risk 25
More to come later.
Anyone have thoughts on Gilbert Melendez/Jorge Masvidal for the 155 lb. in Strikeforce on Dec. 17th? 2nd question....any suggestions for a better MMA book than Bodog. I think Masvidal has a decent to good chance and somewhere around +300 but someone pointed out I should look for Masvidal by stoppage since the odds would be much bigger and Melendez has too much cardio to lose a decision. Thanks for any feedback.
Lots of people here like 5dimes.
I only bet -300 or more if I simply can't see the favorite losing. I've already locked in 500 on Melendez at -350. That should answer your question as far as my opinion on that fight.
Ok thanks....maybe its just the limited fights I've seen personally. I've seen Masvidal look a monster and crush people and battle at 170. Melendez in the splits with Josh Thompson and Masvidal looks like the better striker to me. Can't wish you gl there but thanks
12/10/11 - UFC 140 (continued)
Nik Lentz (+145) to risk 200
Lyoto Machida (+455) to risk 100
Rich Attonito (-210) to win 100
Dennis Hallman (+160) to risk 50
25 more on Zombie at 445
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