I also really like that Atl/Fla over. Olsen has an average 4.11 ERA but his FIP is 4.85 and xFIP is 5.06. He is a finesse fly ball pitcher. Atlanta versus:
Finesse: .762
Fly ball: .772
Jurrjens has a stellar 3.28 ERA, and his 3.39 FIP and 3.89 xFIP suggest that is mostly legit. But he is an average ground ball pitcher, and Florida versus:
Average P/F: .810
Ground ball: .768
Righty: .766
Road: .771
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