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Old 08-18-08, 04:36 PM   #1
ryanXL977
 
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Default Laa/tb

is garland really any worse than sonnanstine?

no

is the angels offense 2x as good as tb's with no craw or longoria

yes

who has the better pen

this line is a gem
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Old 08-18-08, 05:07 PM   #2
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That's not an in-depth look at the game at all. TB is at home and have proven they have a distinct advantage there. And the SP matchup is NOT even:

Sonnanstine: 3.55 FIP 4.27 xFIP .318 BAbip
Garland: 4.71 FIP 4.61 xFIP .306 BAbip

Sonnanstine is a finesse, average GB/FB pitcher
Garland is a finesse, groundball pitcher

TB OPS vs. RHP: .772
TB OPS vs. finesse pitcher: .798
TB OPS vs. groundball pitcher: .761

LAA OPS vs. RHP: .734
LAA OPS vs. finesse pitcher: .720
LAA OPS vs. average GB/FB pitcher: .783

Of course, the TB offensive numbers must be taken with a grain of salt because of no Crawford and Longoria, but that hasn't seemed to slow the TB offense recently.
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Old 08-18-08, 05:16 PM   #3
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losing your top two hitters hurts a lot, and thats what tb has done. yes, they won 2 of 3 in texas, rining up 14 runs in 3 games
to me, thats quite a hit
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Old 08-18-08, 05:21 PM   #4
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ryan... answer my emails
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Old 08-18-08, 05:24 PM   #5
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well the line dropped all day, Angels for +110 or better was a gem indeed...wish i took it
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Old 08-18-08, 05:25 PM   #6
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I took LAA. The one thing that may keep me from betting LAA again for the rest of the year is that they already took the division. The only thing they are playing for is the top spot and best record.
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Old 08-18-08, 05:45 PM   #7
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i guess its a tossup game with a lean towards laa
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Old 08-18-08, 05:51 PM   #8
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The Angels just lost their first series to an AL team since May, which is incredible. I'm a little worried that with a 15 game lead they are going to cruise a little. I know Scoscia is amazing at going one game at a time, but so is Joe Maddon and he has a LOT more to play for. I'm off the Halos until the playoffs start unless I see a really stupid number and this ain't it.
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Old 08-18-08, 05:54 PM   #9
ryanXL977
 
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good points, all of those
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Old 08-18-08, 05:59 PM   #10
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On Tampa.
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Old 08-18-08, 06:00 PM   #11
ryanXL977
 
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why element
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Old 08-18-08, 06:04 PM   #12
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Angels is a great pic today
I liike garland even though he usually sucks.
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Old 08-18-08, 06:05 PM   #13
ryanXL977
 
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he is the same as sonnanstine to me
so it comes down to offense

laa has a better offense
no play for me after debating it though
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Old 08-18-08, 06:07 PM   #14
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no if u can still get it hit it hard .
no joke this is a solid play.
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Old 08-18-08, 06:07 PM   #15
ryanXL977
 
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laa has the division locked upo
tb has a lot more to play for
i lean laa slightly
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Old 08-18-08, 06:08 PM   #16
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no pressure on laa which keeps them loose and the bats swingin nice
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Old 08-18-08, 06:10 PM   #17
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juss trust me and take it for a unit at least
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Old 08-18-08, 06:10 PM   #18
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Go Angels. Statement series. They will prove to Tampa as they did to Boston that they are the team to beat.
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Old 08-18-08, 06:12 PM   #19
ryanXL977
 
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no play for me
good luck
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Old 08-18-08, 06:12 PM   #20
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i like the way you think dash.
lets cash this one ...I think it will be an easy win.
go Angels
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Old 08-18-08, 06:12 PM   #21
khaliagent
 
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not even a half unit ryan?
cash it
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Old 08-18-08, 06:13 PM   #22
ryanXL977
 
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no bet for me
only minne
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Old 08-18-08, 06:15 PM   #23
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im with you on minne.
what do you think about the under in minn
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Old 08-18-08, 06:15 PM   #24
ryanXL977
 
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i have no idea, durscher is not a big deal anymore so i have no idea if minne gets 7 or just 3
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Old 08-18-08, 06:17 PM   #25
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where is z boi.lol
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Old 08-18-08, 06:17 PM   #26
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hey ryan no hard feelings man i always get too defensive about my picking
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Old 08-18-08, 06:23 PM   #27
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i didnt rip your pick dude, i just wont be betting it
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Old 08-18-08, 07:15 PM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ryanXL977 View Post
why element
Have been using a pure numbers approach recently Ryan. Garland has a 4.03 era in his last three starts, which is decent. But Sonnanstine has a 2.33 era in his last three starts, which is very good.

The Angels have a 712 OPS in their last 7 games, while Tampa has a 779 OPS in the last 7 games.

Thought the line was fair, and I actually took it Tampa last night at -122. But I wish I would have waited and got them a lot lower today.
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Old 08-18-08, 07:16 PM   #29
ryanXL977
 
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i didnt do thegame, thank god

only twins though
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Old 08-18-08, 07:42 PM   #30
Dashwood Clipper
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dashwood Clipper View Post
Go Angels. Statement series. They will prove to Tampa as they did to Boston that they are the team to beat.
Quite a statement.
Stupid me
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Old 08-18-08, 08:46 PM   #31
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BJ Upton needs to seriously un-fvck himself quickly. His getting tagged out standing up at 2B was one of the most ridiculous things I've ever seen in a baseball game.
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