[Wilforth]

I'm asking this seeing as BoSox has been installed -160 favorites even with debutant Zink taking the mound against Feldman and the runs-productive Texas. It's true a baseball game isn't all about the starting pitchers but how much of an edge do BoSox have over Texas in other departments to warrant being -160 favorites with a debutant on the mound?
Anyone got any estimate on debutant winning percentage?

[fifawcs]

Fenway Park is a safe haven for the Red Sox. No matter who the pitcher is, most of the time they will get the support they need. Even Clay Buchholz has decent numbers there.

[Wilforth]

Originally Posted by fifawcs

Fenway Park is a safe haven for the Red Sox. No matter who the pitcher is, most of the time they will get the support they need. Even Clay Buchholz has decent numbers there.

The Texan batters should scare the hell out of this Zink guy. I just played Texas before reading your post. The Texans can follow the Angels' footsteps and at least win Game 1 of this series. No Majors debutant should be allowed to win a game against a .500 team. Go Feldman, Go Texas.

[rake922]

Originally Posted by Wilforth

Anyone got any estimate on debutant winning percentage?

70%

Seems more often that not this year when a guy is called up the minors to start and pitch... his team wins

[Wilforth]

Originally Posted by rake922

70%

Seems more often that not this year when a guy is called up the minors to start and pitch... his team wins

Wow! That's way much higher than I would have thought.
Well, Texas can still beat the Red Sox tonight. I've committed myself so I can only wish myself luck.

[Willie Bee]

As far as this season goes, pitchers making their MLB debuts as starters are 9-5 with 11 no-decisions. Team records are 15-10 with pitchers making their MLB debuts as starters so far in '08.

Won
Collin Balester, WAS vs. FLA, July 1
Eddie Bonine, DET vs. LAD, June 14
Johnny Cueto, CIN vs. ARZ, Apr 3
Matt Harrison, TEX vs. LAA, July 8
Hiroki Kuroda, LAD vs. SDP, Apr 4
Charlie Morton, ATL vs. LAA, June 14
Jeff Niemann, TAM vs. BAL, Apr 13
Ryan Tucker, FLA vs. CIN, June 8
Chris Waters, BAL vs. LAA, Aug 5

Lost
Jimmy Barthmaier, PIT vs. TAM, June 27
Gio Gonzalez, OAK vs. TOR, Aug 6
Garrett Mock, WAS vs. SFG, June 8
Greg Reynolds, COL vs. SDP, May 11
Scott Richmond, TOR vs. TAM, July 30

No Decision
Nick Adenhart, LAA vs. OAK, May 1 (LAA los)
Yoslan Herrera, PIT vs. STL, July 12 (PIT win)
Tommy Hunter, TEX vs. TOR, Aug 1 (TEX win)
Eric Hurley, TEX vs. KCR, June 12 (TEX lose)
Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. STL, May 25 (LAD win)
Justin Masterson, BOS vs. LAA, Apr 24 (BOS lose)
David Purcey, TOR vs. DET, Apr 18 (DET lose)
Clayton Richard, CWS vs. TEX, July 23 (CWS win)
Max Scherzer, ARZ vs. HOU, Apr 29 (ARZ lose)
Greg Smith, OAK vs. TOR, Apr 9 (OAK win)
Daryl Thompson, CIN vs. NYY, June 21 (CIN win)

[Irish Lumberjack]

Don't forget that Zink is pitching on 3 days rest tonight. Boston is killer at home, but the -160 has to be because Feldman has a high ERA on the road and so does the texas pen, while boston's pen is right around a 3.5 for the season and about a 3 at fenway park. I wanted to bet texas but i'm just staying away from this one.

[juuso]

Zink on 3 days rest and in last 27 IP in the minors, he has given up 39 hits and 22 runs. He might of course bounce back with a great start here, but I think there was some value on Texas at +150 earlier. Quite possibly still a decent bet at current odds.