Capping and Discussions 4/5

Illusion · 04-04-2006, 08:51 PM

Post your comments and leans in this thread. If you have a play post it in the regular best bets thread. Remember, this is for comments and leans only. No results will be tracked from this thread.

mlwitchking · 04-04-2006, 08:58 PM

bought yankee's early at -105. i just think they have too much offense not to take that. anyone else agree or disagree?

Razz · 04-04-2006, 11:45 PM

5Dimes
1* Reds (Rusch/Arroyo) -103
1* White Sox (Lee/Contreras) -121

Wrong thread.

Illusion · 04-04-2006, 11:47 PM

I really love your Reds play Razz. I'm probably gonna throw 3-4 units on this one.

mlwitchking · 04-05-2006, 12:31 AM

not sure what to do:
when i don't bet on my gut feelings the gut is 6-0
when i bet on my gut feelings the gut is 0-6 now.
i don't have an infinite bankroll!!!
i guess i will back down to two or three bets only a day.

Razz · 04-05-2006, 12:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mlwitchking

i guess i will back down to two or three bets only a day.

Probably a good idea early in the season.

mlwitchking · 04-05-2006, 12:39 AM

looking to add one more. here are some value choices from this forum and statfox:
Rangers (Loe) Over Red Sox (Beckett) ML (+135)
Reds (Arroyo) Over Cubs (Rusch) ML (-110)
Rockies (Cook) Over Diamondbacks (Hernandez) ML (-125)
Any thoughts on these three?

PhilRizzo · 04-05-2006, 12:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mlwitchking

looking to add one more. here are some value choices from this forum and statfox:
Rangers (Loe) Over Red Sox (Beckett) ML (+135)
Reds (Arroyo) Over Cubs (Rusch) ML (-110)
Rockies (Cook) Over Diamondbacks (Hernandez) ML (-125)
Any thoughts on these three?

I love the Rockies play, I'm putting 2 units on it. Cook is the best pitcher on the staff, he does well at Coors. I'm also taking Under 11. Again, improved Rockies bullpen and a solid closer. Neither one of these offenses scare me.

mlwitchking · 04-05-2006, 01:40 AM

interesting stat for all of you picking the reds:
glendon rusch is hitting .667 against bronson arroyo

mlwitchking · 04-05-2006, 01:51 AM

after looking at espn's stats, i have decided on a different game: STL over PHI. Here is why:
Mulder and Myers have similar stats. However, look how the Cardinals Big Three are batting against Myers:
Pujols is 7 for 17 (.412) with 1 HR
Rolen is 7 for 13 (.538) with 1 HR
Edmonds is 5 for 11 (.455) with 1 HR
These three are a combined 19 for 41 (.462) with 3 HRs. They are healthy now and have too much talent for Saint Louis not to score. Mulder is still a solid pitcher who can eat innings. Money Line on the Cardinals is a good pick.

Wassymac · 04-05-2006, 02:07 AM

Mulder did seem to figure out his delivery in the spring and I expect a solid year from him but he's not one I trust in that ridiculous ballpark. I do think the Cards will win (i'm a homer) but I think the value is in the Over. By my count the last 10 games between these two have gone over...I'll stick with that trend.

Wassymac · 04-05-2006, 03:00 AM

Its taking a lot of self control to keep from laying another unit or two on the Reds tomorrow. Anytime I can get even money with any team at home against Rusch I feel like I have to take my chances...(although he did finish the year strong last year).

imgv94 · 04-05-2006, 03:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mlwitchking

bought yankee's early at -105. i just think they have too much offense not to take that. anyone else agree or disagree?

Well Yankees just lost, so I expect them to win
this game or their next for sure.

imgv94 · 04-05-2006, 03:27 AM

I am really looking at the Cards as a play tomorrow!!

presley177 · 04-05-2006, 03:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by imgv94

Well Yankees just lost, so I expect them to win
this game or their next for sure.

I'd pass on this game all-together...the A's have a much superior pitcher going for them tommorow.

imgv94 · 04-05-2006, 04:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by presley177

I'd pass on this game all-together...the A's have a much superior pitcher going for them tommorow.

I am not going to bet, I know when the Yankees are
going to win!! When I have more than 2 units on them
follow me. I agree game is a pass. That oriental pitcher
scares me off.

Wassymac · 04-05-2006, 09:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by presley177

I'd pass on this game all-together...the A's have a much superior pitcher going for them tommorow.

# Athletics are 7-2 in Haren's last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
# Athletics are 17-5 in Haren's last 22 starts on Grass.
# Athletics are 10-3 in Haren's last 13 home starts.