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Old 06-27-08, 07:15 AM   #1
bet_to_win
 
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Default Handicapping?

Hi all,

Can anyone point me in the direction on different ways to handicap bases? Now I just look at a few factors like records,era,L/R stats.Any help would be appreciated.

GL
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Old 06-27-08, 03:08 PM   #2
chipski
 
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do single wagers all for the same amount on the 1st and 2nd place team in 3 divisions every day . ( 6 wagers total ) give up the 1.5 when you feel like it or when the ml is just too high ..
the 3 divisions you incorporate each day will vary depending on the matchups ..

example
al east friday
rsox
rays

al central
wsox
twins

al west
angels
a's

this can be a safe strategy as usually the worst result is one loses and one wins ..
depends on when you put this into effect and if you give up the 1.5 and as always how much you wager .. lots of factors on how you will do .
the example i gave was al teams .. i would never want to mess with the nl west really/as an example . but you may see them getting hot at a certain time / see them sweeping a particular 3 game series ... so you would jump on nl west in that timeframe all 3 games .

is just one strategy of a 1000
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Old 06-27-08, 03:22 PM   #3
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Try to use saber stats as much as possible. FIP instead of ERA, IsoP instead of SLG, etc...
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Old 06-27-08, 04:03 PM   #4
EaglesPhan36
 
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Personally, I find stats alot more applicable to choosing totals in baseball. Choosing a side on a given day seems much harder to me, unless you ride the hot & cold streaks of teams closely. Otherwise, there are certain pitchers & clubs that have alot of trends that will point you in the direction of an over or under.
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Old 06-27-08, 11:07 PM   #5
chipski
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chipski View Post
do single wagers all for the same amount on the 1st and 2nd place team in 3 divisions every day . ( 6 wagers total ) give up the 1.5 when you feel like it or when the ml is just too high ..
the 3 divisions you incorporate each day will vary depending on the matchups ..

example
al east friday
rsox > $$
rays > $$

al central
wsox > $$
twins > $$

al west
angels > lost
a's > $$

this can be a safe strategy as usually the worst result is one loses and one wins ..
depends on when you put this into effect and if you give up the 1.5 and as always how much you wager .. lots of factors on how you will do .
the example i gave was al teams .. i would never want to mess with the nl west really/as an example . but you may see them getting hot at a certain time / see them sweeping a particular 3 game series ... so you would jump on nl west in that timeframe all 3 games .

is just one strategy of a 1000
aww damn , only started out 4 - 0 or 5 - 0 . no one here makes alot of $$ . awwwww . sports betting is just toooooo hard . lmao
omg , just think if you parlayed them up like i did how rotten that would have turned out to be , yep . impossible to make alot of $$ . there it is , proof before your eyes it just cant be done .

bury this thread asap , no feedback from the naked woman avartar i'm sure . or any of the others that knock the people that post on forums and try and help out people with things they may not know .. (been reading the main forum where people try and say people that post dont make alot of $$ , just because they post .. jj , slick fazzer , don juan , too many to name really as sbr forum names are like shoes .

why even go there ? why ? what are you trying to accomplish ? honestly ?????????

JUST BECAUSE YOU MAY SUCK DONT KNOCK OTHERS ! TRY AND REMEMBER THAT . TRY HARD !!!

Last edited by chipski; 06-28-08 at 01:51 AM.. Reason: angels kill the 6 - 0 perfect storm
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Old 06-28-08, 01:36 AM   #6
chipski
 
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light shine in > of course these same people root against people like me so your mission is accomplished somewhat (irritating mo fos for real) prove you/me wrong game is pretty lame to say the least .. i for one will rarely post who will win from now on ..
people/organized boo birds that root against you has no place really and is straight up being in the wrong room period ..
i will continue to try and put great ideas and strategies in good people's mind's on this forum though . dont block that playa's <>
30% my azz . you kill me ! i didn't even want to go there but really you should dig yourself man , seriously .

Last edited by chipski; 06-28-08 at 01:52 AM..
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Old 06-28-08, 02:33 AM   #7
pat venditto
 
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don't bet against good teams. bet dominant pitchers with teams with good offenses vs bad pitchers with weak lineups.
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