[LT Profits]

Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

*IMPORTANT*
All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

6. And here’s the fine print:

• Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
• One entry per home and computer.
• Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
• Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
• Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
• All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
• SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.

[LT Profits]

There are some simply AMAZING records at the top of the standings. Great going guys!

STANDINGS 
Name            W       L       Units
shantystar 	9	2	10.34
bbyhill      	9	3	8.98
Wrigley     	8	4	7.17
soli        	8	5	6.21
fifawcs    	8	5	6.04
mr. leisure 	8	5	5.05
Cabo        	6	3	4.80
MOONCRICKET	6	5	3.41
Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
pats3peat 	4	3	2.90
Sportsgirl	6	5	2.70
wtt0315    	4	3	2.52
SexyMit     	4	3	2.35
TexAg001   	4	3	2.20
Checkerboard	5	6	2.19
Shooter    	5	4	2.16
stevek173 	3	2	2.16
szaidi99    	5	4	1.93
pimike        	1	0	1.53
indy62      	4	4	1.37
stump      	3	3	1.29
sharktank1  	6	8	1.13
billmunny   	5	5	1.06
dog       	5	6	1.05
juuso      	6	7	1.01
Pigpen     	2	2	0.26
THE HITMAN	5	6	0.20
diogee    	4	5	0.06
brock      	5	7	-0.17
mofome    	4	6	-0.36
greg66     	2	3	-0.51
clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
louisvillekid  	6	8	-0.64
EaglesPhan36	5	7	-0.69
MonkeyF0cker	4	6	-0.75
marley33   	1	2	-0.77
regularguy  	4	6	-0.84
Cee          	3	5	-0.93
Bills Hooligan	3	5	-0.93
oakas      	6	8	-1.00
anjac      	0	1	-1.00
ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
LB         	2	4	-1.16
Meestermike	3	5	-1.20
rjt721      	3	5	-1.21
awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
elguason  	2	4	-1.42
dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
msubulldog	1	3	-1.89
HedgeHog   	5	8	-1.92
GoHeels12	4	8	-1.96
Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
aca          	0	2	-2.00
Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
Kaps       	2	5	-2.14
frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
mundane   	3	6	-2.24
rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
rake922      	5	9	-2.47
Microphone	2	5	-2.49
rm18        	1	4	-2.55
20Four7     	2	5	-2.63
ChuteBoxe  	2	5	-2.68
THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
gummo     	0	3	-3.00
sportsfun   	3	7	-3.03
doye      	3	7	-3.06
luciano    	4	8	-3.27
chipski      	2	6	-3.58
element1286	2	6	-3.72
goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
junkman773	2	7	-4.32
Bshark    	2	7	-4.70
trytrytry   	1	6	-4.73
mbr 18      	0	5	-5.00
Junkyard Dog	3	11	-6.53
LT Profits	3	11	-6.90
Mr KLC      	0	7	-7.00
pokernut9999	2	10	-7.12
treece     	1	11	-9.77

[chipski]

rockies +145
rocks come to play , webbs perfection ends .rocks are 7 - 1 when cook starts . cook is a great starter as well and will be up for this game as much as any all year and so will the whole rocks team .
going against the looks ez on paper ..

[ChuteBoxe]

Athletics +137

I look for the Athletics to avoid the sweep in Cleveland today. Both teams struggle against LHP, but the Athletics are the better day game team, both as far as hitting and starting pitching is concerned. It also definitely helps that the A's have the better bullpen.

[diogee]

Oakland + posted #:
Oakland is the slightly better hitting team and has the 2nd ranked bullpen in the game. Laffey has been lights out his last 2 games but I expect Oakland to get at least a few out of him while trying to avoid the sweep.

[LT Profits]

OK guys, I am traveling this morning so I need to get the lines up early. So it could be a field day for all stale line players.


Thu 5/15 951 Los Angeles Dodgers Billingsley +119
1:05PM (EST) 952 Milwaukee Brewers

Thu 5/15 953 Washington Nationals +156
1:10PM (EST) 954 New York Mets

Thu 5/15 955 Pittsburgh Pirates +114
1:15PM (EST) 956 St Louis Cardinals

Thu 5/15 959 Houston Astros +127
3:45PM (EST) 960 San Francisco Giants

Thu 5/15 961 Atlanta Braves +158
7:05PM (EST) 962 Philadelphia Phillies

Thu 5/15 965 Colorado Rockies +148
9:40PM (EST) 966 Arizona Diamondbacks

Thu 5/15 967 Oakland Athletics +136
12:05PM (EST) 968 Cleveland Indians

Thu 5/15 973 New York Yankees +133
4:10PM (EST) 974 Tampa Bay Rays

[LT Profits]

ATHLETICS +136: I am aware that Cleveland’s Aaron Laffey has not allowed an earned run in his last two starts, covering 14 innings, and that the Indians starting pitchers have now tossed an unbelievable 43.1 consecutive scoreless innings. However, all of that is built in to this inflated line, and as great as Laffey has been, this line gives too much respect to someone that has made just three starts this year. Besides, when Oakland’s Greg Smith allowed four runs at Texas in his last start, it snapped an impressive streak of six consecutive starts by Smith of allowing three earned runs or less to start the season. He is facing a Cleveland lineup here that is batting a pathetic .203 over the last 10 games, and Oakland has the far superior bullpen between these two teams, leading the American League with a bullpen ERA of 2.95. If the A’s could scratch out some runs vs. Laffey here, and that incredible scoreless streak by Cleveland starters has to end eventually, I'll take my chances with Smith and the Oakland pen at a nice price.

[stevek173]

Im gonna join the consencus gere and take the A's (+136) as well. Good lineup compared to a cold Tribe lineup (WTF is up w/ Hafner he is killing my fantasy team!), great BP, and a tight pitching matchup. Book it.

[HedgeHog]

Wash +156

Mets are vulnerable with Pelfrey on the mound. He's lost his last 3 with a 6.61 ERA.

[shantystar]

Thu 5/15 953 Washington Nationals +156 ,so far confirmed only.

[fifawcs]

Astros +127
While Chris Sampson's ERA has been less than stellar this year, his road era is a mere 3.24. Besides, how often do you get plus money on an offensive team like the Astros against arguably the worst team in baseball?

[oakas]

Oakland Athletics +136

Have to take my A's here. I know Oakland does not hit lefties very well,but they are going to play hard to avoid the sweep. I also like the rookie Smith for the A's.

[indy62]

New York Yankees +133 as i took the yanks as a road dog yesterday, and hit iwill take them again as they are even a nicer price and im not buying into the great rays just yet

[Junkyard Dog]

953 Washington Nationals +156 - the nats have had the mets number on the road

[mbr_18]

Atlanta Braves +158
like braves bats to stay hot.

[billmunny]

I'd pass on today's card, but I've had a few too many days of late with no action in here so my pick is...

959 Houston Astros +127

Sampson pitched a hell of a game in his last outing, and he's been good against the Giants in the past-- an ERA of 1.50 v Lincecum's 1.20 against the 'stros.

I look for this game to be lost by a bullpen-- and SF is in worse shape there, especially considering Houston's better offensive power.

[Wrigley]

953 Washington Nationals +156
both starting pitchers have era over 6.5 in last 3 , so this is a good value play worth taking a shot at

[junkman773]

676 Oak +136

Look for A's not to be swept 3-1 on Thurs., 9-5 on day games and top bull pen era

Cleve 12-16 after shut out and 5-8 day games

Oak is the play

[pimike]

Dido A's +137 5 units

[Cabo]

New York Yankees +133

Don't like today's card so much, so just taking a shot with the Yanks!

[Microphone]

951 LA Dodgers +119

Simple math:
Dodgers losing streak ends + Brewers miserable pen=WIN

At a great price.

[LB]

Astros +127

Don't feel that good about today's card either, Lincecum is good, but if sampson stays in there, stros can pull this one off in the long run

[mundane]

Colorado Rockies +148
Rockies are 7-0 in Cooks last 7 starts.

[MOONCRICKET]

LA Dodgers +119:Play Against
Any team (MILWAUKEE)
with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.550 to 1.650 on the season-NL

179-117 since 1997.
60.5% (63.4 units)

[THE HITMAN]

Tampa has walloped the Red Sox, stuck it to the Yanks on Tuesday night and they are playing considerably better than the Yankees can even dream about right now. And their ace Kazmir is on the mound for them today.
Pick: YANKEES + 133

[TexAg001]

Thu 5/15 973 New York Yankees +133

Not much to pick from today in my opinion. Kennedy hasnt been to good but the payroll difference in theese two teams leads me to take the yankess as a dog.

[doye]

965 Colorado Rockies +148

The Rockies have dropped four straight games and have lost seven of the eight meetings this season but if there is a game that they can take, this is the one. Note that the one victory that Colorado has in this series this year was with Aaron Cook on the hill. Despite not scoring many runs of late, the potential is there for the Rockies as they have hit a solid .296 over their last 10 games.

[louisvillekid]

#959 Hou +127 : this is just a gut play on Hou., they are supposed to rest some key players and the betting is heavy on S.F., so that means the Stro's come through, or so i hope.

[juuso]

961 Atlanta Braves +158

While Hamels is great, James is not totally bad and Atlanta has at leat equal lineup. If Hamels is not 100% on, this might be much tighter than the odds suggest.

[elguason]

Thu 5/15 965 Colorado Rockies +148
9:40PM (EST) 966 Arizona Diamondbacks

Some day Brandon Webb, I believe this day is today.

Cook won his sixth straight game on Friday night against the Padres.

[regularguy]

Colorado Rockies +148

Rockies came close last night. I think there is a decent chance they can get this one. Cook has been awesome; he's a pitcher who could beat Webb. Looks worth a play, on a day when it's tough for me to find a dog I like much.

[GoHeels12]

Houston +127: Sampson has done pretty well vs SF and Houston may be able to get a couple off Lincecum, should be low scoring

[pokernut9999]

Colo +148 : will ride the Rockies one more time.

[SexyMit]

Rockies +148

Can Brandon Webb go 9-0? I think he gets a loss tonight no one can be perfect forever. Cook is 6-1 he is almost perfect this year. Both ERA'S are almost the same Cooks is a little better should be a good game. Colorado avoids the sweep tonight with Cook already getting a win against the Diamondbacks this yr lets make it 2.

[bbyhill]

Thu 5/15 959 Houston Astros +127
Stros are 5-2 their last 7 and SF is only 3-4.Stros are 2-1 against SF this season