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Old 04-21-08, 05:18 PM   #1
imgv94
 
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Thumbs up Fading the Giants every game til May 4th thread. 13 games overall.

Alright guys. I'm fading the Giants in every game til May 4th. This is a 13 game span and I wouldn't be surprised if they end up 4-9 in this span.


Here is the schedule:

21
@ ARI
6:40 PM


22
@ ARI
6:40 PM


23
@ SD
7:05 PM


24
@ SD
7:05 PM


25
vs CIN
7:15 PM


26
vs CIN
6:05 PM


27
vs CIN
1:05 PM


28
vs COL
7:15 PM


29
vs COL
7:15 PM

30
vs COL
12:45 PM


2
@ PHI
4:05 PM

3
@ PHI
4:05 PM


4
@ PHI
10:35 AM
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Old 04-21-08, 05:19 PM   #2
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April 21st:

FIRST WAGER

0.83* Arizona -1 (-120)

Hopefully ARZ wins by more than 1.
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Old 04-21-08, 05:20 PM   #3
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Tough schedule for a crap team...on the D'backs -1.5 today.
GL bro.
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Thats it. I'm out. Fvck this gambling shit.
Today is just one day among many.

On to Tomorrow.
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Old 04-21-08, 05:27 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by diogee View Post
Tough schedule for a crap team...on the D'backs -1.5 today.
GL bro.

Exactly brother.. Schedule is tough, I think I picked a good 13 game span. ARI should beat them twice in a row so if we start off 2-0 that is golden..


I don't see them sweepin SD @ Petco, it could happen probably won't. Cincy series is an interesting one, I think that ends up 1-2 2-1 either way..

Colorado might sweep them or at least get two out of three. And Phillies bats are too much for SF..

Think this has a good shot to be profitable if wagered accordingly.
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Old 04-21-08, 05:29 PM   #5
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Good luck imgv. Should be interesting to see this.

How many days is Lincecum supposed to pitch during this stretch? 2 or 3?
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Old 04-21-08, 05:32 PM   #6
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interesting ...5 different series 3 series on the road ...I'm in already for today
AZ -180 2 units
AZ -1.5 +110 1 unit

GL GUYS...
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Old 04-21-08, 05:36 PM   #7
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You should consider doing this fade system on the Nationals. Lord Gawd, if this team won back to back games it would shock me into the grave. They are AWFUL. This team cannot cope with getting a win, and if they are in a game late, they will find a way to lose it. Worst offense in the majors. Worse than the Giants, and even more psychologically damaged than the Giants cause Nats have nothing in the farm. The whole organization is bone dry. I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!
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Old 04-21-08, 05:40 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Kid View Post
Good luck imgv. Should be interesting to see this.

How many days is Lincecum supposed to pitch during this stretch? 2 or 3?
It will be fun nonetheless. Good question, but since I'm not flat betting the games where he is pitching will not be larger unit plays. That was the great thing about doing this last season, when you are following one team so closely you start getting a good feel for them..

I hate betting against that kid, he's lights out.
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Old 04-21-08, 05:41 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WestsidePete View Post
interesting ...5 different series 3 series on the road ...I'm in already for today
AZ -180 2 units
AZ -1.5 +110 1 unit

GL GUYS...
Exactly my brother Also those games at home won't be easy. Cincy is no pushover and Colorado has big sticks.

We got this man.
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Old 04-21-08, 05:42 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by St. Andrew View Post
You should consider doing this fade system on the Nationals. Lord Gawd, if this team won back to back games it would shock me into the grave. They are AWFUL. This team cannot cope with getting a win, and if they are in a game late, they will find a way to lose it. Worst offense in the majors. Worse than the Giants, and even more psychologically damaged than the Giants cause Nats have nothing in the farm. The whole organization is bone dry. I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!

You should start a thread dude.. I'm serious. If you really believe this then you should start a thread and fade the Nationals all season or for as long as you feel is right..
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Old 04-21-08, 05:43 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by St. Andrew View Post
You should consider doing this fade system on the Nationals. Lord Gawd, if this team won back to back games it would shock me into the grave. They are AWFUL. This team cannot cope with getting a win, and if they are in a game late, they will find a way to lose it. Worst offense in the majors. Worse than the Giants, and even more psychologically damaged than the Giants cause Nats have nothing in the farm. The whole organization is bone dry. I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!
Let's hope this holds true for today. I tailed you on that D'Backs/Braves parlay
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Old 04-21-08, 05:44 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by St. Andrew View Post
I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!

Yes, they are very weak. But be very very careful with this mentality about betting against them always. This is virtually the same team from last year, a team that ended up being one of the most profitable bets you could make in MLB last year. I think they were the #4 money team last year. They'll get hot soon....
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Old 04-21-08, 05:44 PM   #13
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I remember when you did this type of thread last year in the RX Forum and you made a killing on the Dodgers for a brief spell. Did I get that right? Was that you?
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Old 04-21-08, 05:46 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BuddyBear View Post
Yes, they are very weak. But be very very careful with this mentality about betting against them always. This is virtually the same team from last year, a team that ended up being one of the most profitable bets you could make in MLB last year. I think they were the #4 money team last year. They'll get hot soon....
I remember that.. Everybody wrote them off and then they starting winning games.. As bad as they were last season they still won 45% of their games and went .500 @ home.

Good point.
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Old 04-21-08, 05:50 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by St. Andrew View Post
I remember when you did this type of thread last year in the RX Forum and you made a killing on the Dodgers for a brief spell. Did I get that right? Was that you?
Dodgers and Giants last season, did it here too.

This time I'm predicting the Giants start losing Betting &Tracking BeTWeen 8/31-9/19

I'm predicting Dodgers go on a run. Tracking and betting everyday between 8/16-8/29


Following Dodgers 9-4 +7.02
Fading Giants 12-6 +7.91
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Old 04-21-08, 05:52 PM   #16
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I'm thinking we go 8-5 or 9-4 on this try. Really hope we start off 2-0 on this because 6-5 or 7-4 in those last 11 games looks extremely attainable.
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Old 04-21-08, 11:21 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WestsidePete View Post
interesting ...5 different series 3 series on the road ...I'm in already for today
AZ -180 2 units
AZ -1.5 +110 1 unit

GL GUYS...
Nice start for us IMGV... let's do it again tomorrow
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Old 04-21-08, 11:35 PM   #18
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Quote:
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I remember that.. Everybody wrote them off and then they starting winning games.. As bad as they were last season they still won 45% of their games and went .500 @ home.

Good point.
Exactly. Team got hot and they were still getting prices of +150 and higher routinely. You'll get no dispute from me about WSH and SF being bad teams, but if you want to bet against them you'll have to pay a pretty large price especially on the road. I don't blame you guys for fading some of these teams, just be careful b/c sometime this season you'll see teams like Pitt, WSH, SF, Texas, etc... put together winning streaks where they win like 12 of 14 or something like that.

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Old 04-21-08, 11:36 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BuddyBear View Post
Exactly. Team got hot and they were still getting prices of +150 and higher routinely. You'll get no dispute from me about WSH and SF being bad teams, but if you want to bet against them you'll have to pay a pretty large price especially on the road. I don't blame you guys for fading some of these teams, just be careful b/c sometime this season you'll see teams like Pitt, WSH, SF, Texas, etc... put together winning streaks where they win like 12 of 14 or something like that.

I will fade Washington in parlays until they beat me.
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Old 04-21-08, 11:39 PM   #20
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I won't bet against Lincecum on the Giants..everyone else is fair game...
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Old 04-21-08, 11:45 PM   #21
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Right there with you WSP...I will likely bet FF on the Giants again when Lincecum is pitching.
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Today is just one day among many.

On to Tomorrow.
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Old 04-22-08, 12:04 AM   #22
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diogee...I bet on the Giants Sat with him pitching and they won...I think the team tries harder for him as well...he's 3-0 so far ...miracle on this AAA team...
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Old 04-22-08, 12:08 AM   #23
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Yeah no kidding...I have bet FF the last 2 times he has pitched. He is definitely a pitcher that I would not want to fade at this point.
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Today is just one day among many.

On to Tomorrow.
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Old 04-22-08, 02:35 AM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BuddyBear View Post
Exactly. Team got hot and they were still getting prices of +150 and higher routinely. You'll get no dispute from me about WSH and SF being bad teams, but if you want to bet against them you'll have to pay a pretty large price especially on the road. I don't blame you guys for fading some of these teams, just be careful b/c sometime this season you'll see teams like Pitt, WSH, SF, Texas, etc... put together winning streaks where they win like 12 of 14 or something like that.

I think it can profitable to fade a team if they have a somewhat difficult schedule and you have it all planned out. I wouldn't fade the Giants all season but with their remaining schedule I think it could be profitable because they have some tough teams ahead..

We'll see how it goes..
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Old 04-22-08, 02:36 AM   #25
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Alright so far

1-0 +0.83 Units

Still undecided about what I'm going to do tomorrow.
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Old 04-22-08, 06:05 AM   #26
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Lincecum really know how to pitch a game and keeps getting better. He is capable of pitching a shutout, no hitter and a perfect game. He is the ace of the giants pitching staff. Right now he has the upperhand. Major league hitters have not figured out how to hit him. He did take a beating in a couple of games but those were after a winning streak. But be careful on 3-0 pitchers because they do get pounded too. And last year, the giants won 3 in row for Lincecum and they did this twice in 2007. After winning streaks, Lincecum also had losing sreaks where the giants lost 3 in a row and 5 in a row. Be careful on taking Lincecum on his next start. I would bet against Lincecum on his next start.
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Old 04-22-08, 03:13 PM   #27
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so far in Giant fade plays 2-0 +2.22 units

today Dbacks -1.5 -120 one unit
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Old 04-22-08, 08:02 PM   #28
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Let's do this WSP..

Here is what I decided to do.

4/22:

1.5*ML Parlay (-153)
D'Backs ML
Pistons ML (NBA WED)


I don't know why but the RL scares me for some reason. I'd be floored if the Pistons lost two in a row at home to the Sixers..

GL Everyone
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Old 04-22-08, 08:06 PM   #29
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nice parlay....Zito is done...walks too many guys...fastball is now only in the 80's...get's himself in trouble almost every inning if Webb is on they should cover the RL... GL tonite
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Old 04-22-08, 09:49 PM   #30
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Giants will win tonite against unbeaten Webb. I am fading Webb for a loss.
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Old 04-22-08, 09:58 PM   #31
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Are you serious tab? Why say something like that in the 4th inning?
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Old 04-22-08, 10:04 PM   #32
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I had predicted giants 5 dbacks 4 on the jinx thread

Last edited by tab; 04-22-08 at 10:14 PM..
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Old 04-22-08, 10:04 PM   #33
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Quote:
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Giants will win tonite against unbeaten Webb. I am fading Webb for a loss.
Thanks... Dbacks back in the lead...Zito is done
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Old 04-22-08, 10:06 PM   #34
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Quote:
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I had predicted giants 5 dbacks 4 on the diamondbacks rally thread.
hopefully you're not right....Webb is definitely not on so pens may be a factor...
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Old 04-22-08, 10:09 PM   #35
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Webb will pitch better with a two run lead..
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