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04-05-2008, 11:02 PM
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#1 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-09-08
Posts: 1,431
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The Kid's Official "Take The Mets When Johan Santana Pitches" Thread
Johan Santana is the best pitcher in baseball and he has a very potent offense backing him. Starting now and going through the end of the regular season, I will be wagering on the Mets RL whenever Santana is scheduled to start. Even if the Mets can't manage to score a lot, Santana will keep them in the game, or shut out the opponent with his arm.
I will officially start keeping track of my record tomorrow. I did bet the RL for the Mets on opening day, but that will not count. This is not an experiment or anything like that. It is just something I'd like to keep track of for fun. Anyone is welcome to follow, and I am open to any opinions or comments.
Good luck the rest of the MLB season. 
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04-06-2008, 07:35 AM
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#2 (permalink)
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SBR Posting Legend
Join Date: 10-27-06
Posts: 10,073
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I think this is a terrible idea because you will never get any value with Santana pitching. It is better to follow pitchers that are underrated by the oddsmakers than the marquee studs that everybody knows about. Then again, I am more of a bullpen guy anyway.
__________________
If you don't bet Hockey, you must not like money!
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04-06-2008, 11:01 AM
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#3 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-28-08
Location: High Park, Ontario
Posts: 2,194
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-130 is not bad.
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04-06-2008, 11:50 AM
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#4 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-09-08
Posts: 1,431
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits
I think this is a terrible idea because you will never get any value with Santana pitching. It is better to follow pitchers that are underrated by the oddsmakers than the marquee studs that everybody knows about. Then again, I am more of a bullpen guy anyway.
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Thanks for the input LT. I know where you're coming from.
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04-06-2008, 11:52 AM
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#5 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-09-08
Posts: 1,431
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4/6/08
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Johan Santana vs John Smoltz
Mets RL @ +110
Risking 1 unit to win 1.1
Good luck today fellas. 
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04-06-2008, 02:45 PM
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#6 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 11-28-07
Posts: 3,106
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not looking good pal. double up on the next one.
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04-06-2008, 02:51 PM
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#7 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 11-23-07
Posts: 3,548
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horrible idea. That gave me smoltz +145 at home.
I'll take that bet every single time.
__________________
Handicapping Operator Extraordinaire
Quote:
Originally Posted by WE EAT FISH
Can I take a guy like YOU SERIOUSLY for an MLB HANDICAPPING operator? I find that can be HARD TO BELIEVE:thumbsdow
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NCAAB Picks 55% +47 units
MLB Pickshttp://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...tml#post659293 50.6% +32.43 units YTD
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04-06-2008, 03:14 PM
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#8 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-09-08
Posts: 1,431
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Horrible start. We'll get'em next time. Mets offense just didn't show up today.
Santana kept them in the game, but the offense was just dead.
Record: 0-1 [-1.0 units]
Last edited by The_Kid : 04-12-2008 at 02:09 PM.
Reason: Correction
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04-06-2008, 03:44 PM
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#9 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 11-23-07
Posts: 3,548
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You really should try the "fade santana on the road".
Just cus they are an Ace, doesnt mean jack.
This type of system will show no/loss profit over enough plays
__________________
Handicapping Operator Extraordinaire
Quote:
Originally Posted by WE EAT FISH
Can I take a guy like YOU SERIOUSLY for an MLB HANDICAPPING operator? I find that can be HARD TO BELIEVE:thumbsdow
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NCAAB Picks 55% +47 units
MLB Pickshttp://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...tml#post659293 50.6% +32.43 units YTD
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04-06-2008, 06:34 PM
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#10 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-09-08
Posts: 1,431
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BOT, it's for fun. Don't take it so seriously. It's not a system either.
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04-06-2008, 06:35 PM
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#11 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 11-23-07
Posts: 3,548
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Kid
BOT, it's for fun. Don't take it so seriously. It's not a system either.
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Sorry Kid, thought you were trying it as a system. And taking an Ace every time out, will get you buried. Trying to say your money 
Good luck bud 
__________________
Handicapping Operator Extraordinaire
Quote:
Originally Posted by WE EAT FISH
Can I take a guy like YOU SERIOUSLY for an MLB HANDICAPPING operator? I find that can be HARD TO BELIEVE:thumbsdow
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NCAAB Picks 55% +47 units
MLB Pickshttp://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...tml#post659293 50.6% +32.43 units YTD
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04-06-2008, 06:38 PM
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#12 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-09-08
Posts: 1,431
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Thanks for looking out for me man. I know you're just giving me some input.
Good luck the rest of the season. 
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04-12-2008, 01:08 AM
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#13 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-09-08
Posts: 1,431
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Take Santana Part 2. Sheets vs. Santana. I'm feeling a pitcher's duel.
4/12/08
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets
Ben Sheets vs Johan Santana
Mets RL @ +160
Risking 1 unit to win 1.6
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04-12-2008, 11:28 AM
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#14 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-23-08
Posts: 1,446
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I very nearly pulled the trigger on Milwaukee +133. Brew Crew has a 50-50 chance of winning today in my opinion. Sheets has been statistically more impressive than Santana so far this year and Brewers have the better line-up and hitting stats. Dog betters who scatter multiple plays in one day ought to gobble up the Brewers in this spot./
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04-12-2008, 11:43 AM
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#15 (permalink)
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SBR Hustler
Join Date: 03-22-08
Posts: 90
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Small bet for me on Mets -1.5 +178
GL
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04-12-2008, 11:48 AM
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#16 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 07-25-07
Location: South Carolina
Posts: 5,508
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Quote:
Originally Posted by St. Andrew
I very nearly pulled the trigger on Milwaukee +133. Brew Crew has a 50-50 chance of winning today in my opinion. Sheets has been statistically more impressive than Santana so far this year and Brewers have the better line-up and hitting stats. Dog betters who scatter multiple plays in one day ought to gobble up the Brewers in this spot./
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I gobbled 
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04-12-2008, 01:34 PM
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#17 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-23-08
Posts: 1,446
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