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Old 08-25-05, 07:06 PM   #1
Illusion
 
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Default Yankees -400 on Friday

Randy Johnson and the Yankees are -400 tomorrow against the Royals at Cris.
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Old 08-25-05, 07:08 PM   #2
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You have to be nuts to do that

I am taking KC
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Old 08-25-05, 07:17 PM   #3
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i'm passing on the game.
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Old 08-25-05, 07:21 PM   #4
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-375 at Pinnacle.
KC + 345
Just might take a shot with KC. Johnson has been so so.
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Old 08-25-05, 07:22 PM   #5
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KC did sweep the yankees last time they played. but, still passing on this game.
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Old 08-25-05, 07:24 PM   #6
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-400 is insane! whats the alt run line with KC -1.5? +750?
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Old 08-25-05, 07:26 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SBR_John
-400 is insane! whats the alt run line with KC -1.5? +750?


Fri 8/26969Kansas City Royals
M. Wood -1.5 +527 04:05 PM970New York Yankees
R. Johnson +1.5 -577
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Old 08-25-05, 08:05 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigboydan
Fri 8/26969Kansas City Royals
M. Wood -1.5 +527 04:05 PM970New York Yankees
R. Johnson +1.5 -577
I know who Mudcat will be on tomorrow.
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Old 08-25-05, 08:13 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Illusion
I know who Mudcat will be on tomorrow.
Yeah - he'll be on KC -3.5.

Seriously, Randy has been having a nightmare recently. The Royals are looking OK at the moment - series win against Oakland, spanking Boston at the moment and on for another series win.

KC -1.5 is +527 at Pinny. That is definately worth a punt.
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Old 08-25-05, 08:18 PM   #10
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I will be on Royals all 3 games. BIG
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Old 08-25-05, 08:25 PM   #11
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last time these two teams met, i nailed every game in that series. if you don't believe me, just ask JJ
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Old 08-25-05, 08:52 PM   #12
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Royals pounded Schilling tonight. The Unit shouldn't be too much of a problem for them tomorrow, especially with how he's thrown lately.

Even though the game isn't over, I knew I shouldn't have passed on the Royals tonight.

Senator 7
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Old 08-25-05, 10:30 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator7
Royals pounded Schilling tonight. The Unit shouldn't be too much of a problem for them tomorrow, especially with how he's thrown lately.

Even though the game isn't over, I knew I shouldn't have passed on the Royals tonight.

Senator 7
Same here, I threw that game out at the last minute. Should have trusted my gut.
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Old 08-25-05, 11:07 PM   #14
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Yeah I'll be on kc -1.5, no doubt. I bet I'll be able to get better than +527.

Value like that, I don't let pass.
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Old 08-25-05, 11:30 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mudcat
I bet I'll be able to get better than +527.
I wouldn't be shocked if you got +570 or higher.
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Old 08-26-05, 03:15 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Illusion
I wouldn't be shocked if you got +570 or higher.

i would, i think they bet the line down.
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Old 08-26-05, 03:17 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigboydan
i would, i think they bet the line down.
You are right bbd, but it should go back up by gametime.
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Old 08-26-05, 03:17 AM   #18
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i wouldn't bet on it Ill
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Old 08-26-05, 10:40 AM   #19
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Well I did get better than kc -1.5 +527.

I got +534. Yee haw!! No, I shouldn't joke - my whole philosophy is based on the idea of working for every cent I can get.

If this was the last couple of years I would wait until closer to gametime. It was pretty reliable that these kind of lines would go up. This year has been different though and I am finding that the best time to pull the trigger is right around now (11:30 - noon EST) soon after WWTS posts their openers. (This line of +534 is from Pinnacle BTW.)

Some dog alt. runlines will still go up during the day but I have been doing some tests and more are actually decreasing this year.
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Old 08-26-05, 11:27 AM   #20
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Basically, unless you do what Mudcat is doing, this game is unplayable unless you want to take a shot at the Royals. You have to be either one of four things to bet on the Yankess today.

1. A beginner (i.e. guy who just opened up a sportsbook account a few days ago and does not have much experience betting sports)

2. A recreational player (i.e. guy who just bets for fun)

3. A homer (i.e. guy from NY or a big Yankee fan).

4. A guy who is chasing (i.e. lost big last night or on the Cubs/Marlins game this afternoon...and begins to think NYY is the only way to win it back b/c it is a "locK"

These are the only possible type of people who would bet the Yankees. IMO, I would stay away from a line like this...even betting KC has a lot of risks attached to it. There are far better games to take a look at tonight.

Last edited by BuddyBear; 08-26-05 at 11:52 AM..
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Old 08-26-05, 11:38 AM   #21
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The mistake rookie baseball bettors make is a game like this when they see these big lines and bet favorites especially with locals
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